NBA · resolved market
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x516915a338da0649486c337a74b21fa0798a2656782ac735c354d6b384bf6635
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Knicksof Cavaliers, Knicks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $90,122
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $81,333
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,122 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2b3c…8039backed Knicks | 15c | 10,000$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,519.74 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc71…2c40backed Knicks | 4c | 5,761$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,530.87 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +85%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Cavaliers | 18c | 5,131$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.95 | 166 | 33.7%56 W · 110 L | -11.6wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Cavaliers | 25c | 5,041$1,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,243.04 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Knicks | 49c | 3,912$1,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,007.31 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Knicks | 44c | 3,039$1,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,691.7 | 342 | 55.6%190 W · 152 L | +28.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +36%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cavaliers | 79c | 2,388$1,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,877.25 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Cavaliers | 65c | 2,214$1,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,436.3 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Knicks | 35c | 1,986$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290.56 | 250 | 45.6%114 W · 136 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Knicks | 80c | 1,813$1,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.78 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +12.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Knicks | 76c | 1,622$1,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.04 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Knicks | 16c | 1,546$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,303.94 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Knicks | 8c | 1,500$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,375 | 539 | 45.3%244 W · 295 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Cavaliers | 54c | 1,497$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.38 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa62a…f05bbacked Knicks | 79c | 1,266$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.82 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 68cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1543…baafbacked Cavaliers | 25c | 1,241$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.33 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Knicks | 11c | 1,064$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.32 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5df…382dbacked Cavaliers | 31c | 1,021$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.3 | 163 | 35.6%58 W · 105 L | -12.2wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Knicks | 75c | 1,012$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.29 | 521 | 50.9%265 W · 256 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Knicks | 12c | 899.98$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.98 | 448 | 21.4%96 W · 352 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Cavaliers | 62c | 845.37$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.68 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Cavaliers | 56c | 833$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.48 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Cavaliers | 26c | 782.36$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.41 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Knicks | 50c | 767.18$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.38 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Knicks | 50c | 764.57$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.77 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed Knicks | 8c | 750$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.5 | 266 | 39.8%106 W · 160 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Knicks | 4c | 731$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.76 | 164 | 29.9%49 W · 115 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cavaliers | 55c | 627.33$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.27 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6303…9556backed Cavaliers | 36c | 551.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…df1abacked Knicks | 75c | 531.75$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.75 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Knicks | 43c | 520.71$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.81 | 205 | 58.5%120 W · 85 L | +19.6wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Knicks | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 253 | 52.6%133 W · 120 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Knicks | 75c | 488.64$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.23 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Cavaliers | 34c | 481.05$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.56 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Cavaliers | 48c | 447.67$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.11 | 428 | 42.5%182 W · 246 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…9748backed Knicks | 23c | 441.92$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.92 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +6.3wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeba7…57d9backed Cavaliers | 24c | 409.31$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.23 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x914d…41cabacked Cavaliers | 24c | 399.33$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.84 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Knicks | 35c | 387.75$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.72 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Knicks | 37c | 371$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.44 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe80f…b81bbacked Cavaliers | 52c | 344.58$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.21 | 75 | 62.7%47 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x268c…19aabacked Knicks | 52c | 328.62$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.49 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed Cavaliers | 46c | 326$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.96 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…eda7backed Knicks | 74c | 313$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.85 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Knicks | 75c | 300.81$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.32 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Cavaliers | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 262 | 33.6%88 W · 174 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Knicks | 49c | 297$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.4 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec6d…804bbacked Cavaliers | 76c | 262.71$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Knicks | 38c | 259.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.76 | 228 | 44.7%102 W · 126 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf8…03b2backed Knicks | 41c | 255.7$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.09 | 275 | 49.5%136 W · 139 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Knicks | 76c | 251.89$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.59 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…bbb2backed Cavaliers | 26c | 241.95$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.16 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2768…2e81backed Knicks | 35c | 227.55$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.8 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Knicks | 8c | 224.93$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.94 | 166 | 40.4%67 W · 99 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x750c…d430backed Cavaliers | 25c | 200.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 112 | 58.9%66 W · 46 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Knicks | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Knicks | 74c | 200$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.5 | 186 | 53.2%99 W · 87 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…a695backed Knicks | 9c | 200$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7d…b015backed Knicks | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.35 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Cavaliers | 51c | 197.02$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.48 | 320 | 45.3%145 W · 175 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecff…8d1cbacked Knicks | 37c | 188.76$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.69 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Knicks | 39c | 188.07$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.13 | 538 | 42%226 W · 312 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5501…fe9abacked Knicks | 50c | 181.96$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.98 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ff…a806backed Cavaliers | 26c | 178.31$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.36 | 160 | 30.6%49 W · 111 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Knicks | 13c | 161.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.93 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0580…f78bbacked Knicks | 9c | 160$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.6 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Knicks | 9c | 145$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.95 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Knicks | 75c | 143.25$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.29 | 255 | 54.5%139 W · 116 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53f1…35f8backed Cavaliers | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0bea…87b7backed Knicks | 74c | 131.3$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 68cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Knicks | 12c | 127.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.36 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42e3…35dcbacked Cavaliers | 74c | 127.63$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7d…2cabbacked Cavaliers | 25c | 120.2$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.53 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1155…2315backed Knicks | 70c | 120$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 221 | 70.6%156 W · 65 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c80…9564backed Knicks | 76c | 117.87$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x038f…ecc5backed Cavaliers | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +6.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdae6…7d39backed Cavaliers | 26c | 109.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.47 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8f…9166backed Cavaliers | 47c | 105.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc6b…9ce0backed Knicks | 39c | 102.77$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.77 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2490…aa08backed Knicks | 49c | 101.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.44 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Cavaliers | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 412 | 27.4%113 W · 299 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d6…3b10backed Knicks | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bec…37d3backed Knicks | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7242…ac6fbacked Cavaliers | 26c | 89.25$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.21 | 102 | 40.2%41 W · 61 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Knicks | 14c | 83.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.99 | 156 | 48.1%75 W · 81 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e99…8475backed Cavaliers | 25c | 80.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.07 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -6.3wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Knicks | 77c | 76.96$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.96 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Cavaliers | 64c | 74.05$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.63 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e20…a1aabacked Knicks | 71c | 70.77$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.77 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Knicks | 79c | 68.56$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.71 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -6.4wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x70ec…81bebacked Cavaliers | 47c | 62.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.53 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x461c…f74bbacked Knicks | 40c | 61.75$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed Cavaliers | 24c | 57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a73…df96backed Knicks | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Knicks | 75c | 56.58$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.03 | 294 | 49.7%146 W · 148 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2f…0f76backed Cavaliers | 27c | 55.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Knicks | 43c | 55.48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.57 | 258 | 40.7%105 W · 153 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3893…8afbbacked Knicks | 25c | 54$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +9.5wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0e45…39dabacked Knicks | 52c | 50.08$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.04 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b3…4756backed Knicks | 52c | 50.08$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.04 | 107 | 43.9%47 W · 60 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-3.5)Cavaliers won
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-4.5)Cavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. KnicksKnicks won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 105.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 106.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 207.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 210.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 218.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 222.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 225.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: Odd/Even ScoreOdd won
- Dean Wade: Points O/U 0.5Yes won
- Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 27.5Yes won
- Jalen Brunson: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- James Harden: Points O/U 19.5No won
- James Harden: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 1.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5Yes won
- Mikal Bridges: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Mikal Bridges: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- OG Anunoby: Points O/U 16.5No won
- OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Knicks (-11.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Knicks (-14.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Knicks (-17.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-5.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-6.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-7.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-8.5)Knicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.