TailMyPicks
Market

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Cavaliers, Knicks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$90,122
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$81,333

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,122 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2b3c…8039backed Knicks15c10,000$1,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,519.741464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+55.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc71…2c40backed Knicks4c5,761$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,530.874738.3%18 W · 29 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+85%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Cavaliers18c5,131$903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902.9516633.7%56 W · 110 L-11.6wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-26.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Cavaliers25c5,041$1,243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,243.0464948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Knicks49c3,912$1,905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,007.3169848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Knicks44c3,039$1,348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,691.734255.6%190 W · 152 L+28.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+36%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Cavaliers79c2,388$1,877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,877.258,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Cavaliers65c2,214$1,436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,436.393148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Knicks35c1,986$695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,290.5625045.6%114 W · 136 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Knicks80c1,813$1,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.7819548.2%94 W · 101 L+12.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Knicks76c1,622$1,227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.0466352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Knicks16c1,546$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,303.941,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed Knicks8c1,500$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,37553945.3%244 W · 295 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Cavaliers54c1,497$808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808.381,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa62a…f05bbacked Knicks79c1,266$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.823158.1%18 W · 13 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick68cpaid-14.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1543…baafbacked Cavaliers25c1,241$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.3312741.7%53 W · 74 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Knicks11c1,064$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$946.322,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe5df…382dbacked Cavaliers31c1,021$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.316335.6%58 W · 105 L-12.2wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-17.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Knicks75c1,012$755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.2952150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Knicks12c899.98$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$789.9844821.4%96 W · 352 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Cavaliers62c845.37$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.681,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Cavaliers56c833$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.4830551.5%157 W · 148 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Cavaliers26c782.36$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.418348.2%40 W · 43 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Knicks50c767.18$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.3863746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Knicks50c764.57$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.7790650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb0f…b652backed Knicks8c750$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$687.526639.8%106 W · 160 L+13.0wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b4c…1715backed Knicks4c731$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701.7616429.9%49 W · 115 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+24.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Cavaliers55c627.33$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.271,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6303…9556backed Cavaliers36c551.97$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20018853.2%100 W · 88 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa61d…df1abacked Knicks75c531.75$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.752867.9%19 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Knicks43c520.71$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.8120558.5%120 W · 85 L+19.6wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+26.3%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Knicks75c500$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12525352.6%133 W · 120 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Knicks75c488.64$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.2362051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Cavaliers34c481.05$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.562,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Cavaliers48c447.67$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.1142842.5%182 W · 246 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x755a…9748backed Knicks23c441.92$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.925259.6%31 W · 21 L+6.3wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+35.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xeba7…57d9backed Cavaliers24c409.31$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.23616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick28cpaid-59.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x914d…41cabacked Cavaliers24c399.33$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.846131.1%19 W · 42 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick27cpaid+17.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Knicks35c387.75$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.721,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Knicks37c371$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.4445445.2%205 W · 249 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe80f…b81bbacked Cavaliers52c344.58$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.217562.7%47 W · 28 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x268c…19aabacked Knicks52c328.62$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.49666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48ec…8f36backed Cavaliers46c326$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.964734%16 W · 31 L-4.5wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfb85…eda7backed Knicks74c313$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.851145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Knicks75c300.81$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.321,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Cavaliers27c300$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8126233.6%88 W · 174 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Knicks49c297$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.489850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec6d…804bbacked Cavaliers76c262.71$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008655.8%48 W · 38 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+24.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Knicks38c259.76$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.7622844.7%102 W · 126 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bf8…03b2backed Knicks41c255.7$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.0927549.5%136 W · 139 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Knicks76c251.89$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.591,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a61…bbb2backed Cavaliers26c241.95$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.164551.1%23 W · 22 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+28.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2768…2e81backed Knicks35c227.55$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.81861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+22.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a72…0a38backed Knicks8c224.93$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.9416640.4%67 W · 99 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x750c…d430backed Cavaliers25c200.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011258.9%66 W · 46 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Knicks68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Knicks74c200$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.518653.2%99 W · 87 L+9.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1355…a695backed Knicks9c200$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1822948.3%14 W · 15 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+53.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3d7d…b015backed Knicks51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.354327.9%12 W · 31 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-42.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Cavaliers51c197.02$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.4832045.3%145 W · 175 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xecff…8d1cbacked Knicks37c188.76$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.69757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Knicks39c188.07$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.1353842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5501…fe9abacked Knicks50c181.96$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.98650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0ff…a806backed Cavaliers26c178.31$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.3616030.6%49 W · 111 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-30.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Knicks13c161.99$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.931,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0580…f78bbacked Knicks9c160$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.66334.9%22 W · 41 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Knicks9c145$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.9580440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Knicks75c143.25$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.2925554.5%139 W · 116 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53f1…35f8backed Cavaliers74c135.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005763.2%36 W · 21 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+19.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0bea…87b7backed Knicks74c131.3$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.21090%9 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick68cpaid+28.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Knicks12c127.68$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.3689048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42e3…35dcbacked Cavaliers74c127.63$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f7d…2cabbacked Cavaliers25c120.2$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.531241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-30.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1155…2315backed Knicks70c120$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3622170.6%156 W · 65 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c80…9564backed Knicks76c117.87$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8212159.5%72 W · 49 L-0.5wins0.00per pick60cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x038f…ecc5backed Cavaliers26c115.38$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302766.7%18 W · 9 L+6.8wins+0.25per pick41cpaid+52.2%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xdae6…7d39backed Cavaliers26c109.5$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.471136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-19.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb8f…9166backed Cavaliers47c105.68$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfc6b…9ce0backed Knicks39c102.77$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.77450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2490…aa08backed Knicks49c101.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.441376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.18per pick59cpaid+37.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb98b…7e18backed Cavaliers24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2441227.4%113 W · 299 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+94.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74d6…3b10backed Knicks40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-24.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4bec…37d3backed Knicks48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524864.6%31 W · 17 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick58cpaid-2.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7242…ac6fbacked Cavaliers26c89.25$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2110240.2%41 W · 61 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed Knicks14c83.71$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.9915648.1%75 W · 81 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e99…8475backed Cavaliers25c80.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.073129%9 W · 22 L-6.3wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-40.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed Knicks77c76.96$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.968247.6%39 W · 43 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Cavaliers64c74.05$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.6376653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1e20…a1aabacked Knicks71c70.77$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.774447.7%21 W · 23 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-24.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc263…1e83backed Knicks79c68.56$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.713836.8%14 W · 24 L-6.4wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-36.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x70ec…81bebacked Cavaliers47c62.96$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.53825%2 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-41.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x461c…f74bbacked Knicks40c61.75$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.754856.3%27 W · 21 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+17.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2827…64f6backed Cavaliers24c57$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.969655.2%53 W · 43 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a73…df96backed Knicks53c56.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.61266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+20.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Knicks75c56.58$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.0329449.7%146 W · 148 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d2f…0f76backed Cavaliers27c55.75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153537.1%13 W · 22 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Knicks43c55.48$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.5725840.7%105 W · 153 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3893…8afbbacked Knicks25c54$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.55664.3%36 W · 20 L+9.5wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+63.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x0e45…39dabacked Knicks52c50.08$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0410746.7%50 W · 57 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5b3…4756backed Knicks52c50.08$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0410743.9%47 W · 60 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.