NBA · resolved market
Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x99401a5d293ba3d5d4cf7036f06b980f1a4bb8a97bfa7e004fc78beb6d12ac42
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,888
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,325
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,888 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 43c | 1,115$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.28 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 28c | 1,030$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.47 | 258 | 40.7%105 W · 153 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Yes | 58c | 733.23$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.48 | 235 | 53.6%126 W · 109 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed No | 42c | 731.24$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.83 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 57c | 579.3$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.3 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff8…8a76backed No | 41c | 499.98$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.99 | 137 | 51.1%70 W · 67 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Yes | 58c | 499.69$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.34 | 256 | 57%146 W · 110 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1495…d3f9backed Yes | 58c | 498.8$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.08 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30bb…f258backed Yes | 59c | 332.44$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.38 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9caf…e8bdbacked Yes | 56c | 247.07$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.36 | 330 | 49.1%162 W · 168 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed No | 8c | 211.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2baf…8023backed No | 42c | 209.98$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.19 | 437 | 52.6%230 W · 207 L | +18.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc0…7faabacked No | 47c | 206.77$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.22 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Yes | 54c | 199.97$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.99 | 690 | 49.4%341 W · 349 L | -30.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7987…884abacked Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 258 | 50%129 W · 129 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4f…3216backed Yes | 57c | 174.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.12 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e75…b009backed Yes | 57c | 152.56$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.96 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.25per pick | 64cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad8…5004backed Yes | 57c | 141.82$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.98 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked No | 44c | 141.16$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.11 | 854 | 49.4%422 W · 432 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed No | 46c | 105.45$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.45 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…ca45backed Yes | 56c | 104.46$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8956…755fbacked Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 209 | 51.7%108 W · 101 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed No | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 560 | 43.9%246 W · 314 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x206b…3c33backed Yes | 57c | 87.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.53 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed No | 44c | 83$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.52 | 361 | 53.5%193 W · 168 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed No | 43c | 80$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.6 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed No | 43c | 80$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x802e…76fdbacked Yes | 69c | 75.63$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.45 | 58 | 87.9%51 W · 7 L | +13.6wins | +0.24per pick | 64cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x03c8…becfbacked Yes | 56c | 71.51$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.51 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ed…244abacked No | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e40…1945backed Yes | 56c | 59.28$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.38 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed No | 46c | 54.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbfb…550cbacked Yes | 56c | 53.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.75 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91bc…28d6backed Yes | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2b…51debacked Yes | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde74…77abbacked No | 43c | 49.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 126 | 42.9%54 W · 72 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd31a…28f5backed Yes | 59c | 45.93$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.93 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78ca…b3f3backed Yes | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a1…7c9dbacked Yes | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 137 | 64.2%88 W · 49 L | +15.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3893…8afbbacked Yes | 56c | 39.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +9.5wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9816…8ff4backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 57c | 34.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.02 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd69e…3393backed Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e4…c62abacked No | 45c | 26.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 44c | 25.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 908 | 63.9%580 W · 328 L | +80.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3063…65b3backed Yes | 58c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked No | 45c | 22.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 269 | 57.2%154 W · 115 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a7…e5d4backed No | 46c | 21.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 188 | 53.7%101 W · 87 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Yes | 57c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 267 | 55.1%147 W · 120 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 4.5this page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-3.5)Cavaliers won
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-4.5)Cavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. KnicksKnicks won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 105.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 106.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 207.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 210.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 218.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 222.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 225.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: Odd/Even ScoreOdd won
- Dean Wade: Points O/U 0.5Yes won
- Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 27.5Yes won
- Jalen Brunson: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- James Harden: Points O/U 19.5No won
- James Harden: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 1.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5Yes won
- Mikal Bridges: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Mikal Bridges: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- OG Anunoby: Points O/U 16.5No won
- OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-11.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Knicks (-14.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Knicks (-17.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-5.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-6.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-7.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-8.5)Knicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.