NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 222.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0575a93ec398cb7bfbf21742033292f26a264c0a9d382965abe863aa2bf79b75
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,783
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,121
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,783 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 60c | 1,936$1,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.49 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 66c | 1,520$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.76 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Over | 40c | 1,324$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.53 | 201 | 55.7%112 W · 89 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Over | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 251 | 50.6%127 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 5c | 925$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.25 | 360 | 51.7%186 W · 174 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 40c | 851.13$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.45 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 9c | 824.77$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.96 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Over | 53c | 751.14$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 241 | 59.8%144 W · 97 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Over | 13c | 499.96$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.99 | 362 | 43.9%159 W · 203 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over | 28c | 425.54$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.15 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 14c | 414.4$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.79 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed Under | 45c | 333$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.15 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb14d…8f95backed Over | 57c | 318.66$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.27 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 50c | 244.34$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.17 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 11c | 204.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.55 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Under | 44c | 195$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.47 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 60c | 185.74$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.32 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbbc…3122backed Over | 53c | 169.95$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed Under | 46c | 133.97$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.66 | 249 | 36.9%92 W · 157 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…a330backed Under | 79c | 126.66$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.66 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -5.8wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -28%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d6…f190backed Under | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb238…4961backed Under | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.9 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…7f9bbacked Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c9…0f2bbacked Under | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 135 | 43.7%59 W · 76 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 13c | 98.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Over | 13c | 96.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 156 | 48.1%75 W · 81 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 46c | 94.21$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.48 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e6…83a4backed Under | 62c | 83.46$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…595dbacked Over | 39c | 76.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 405 | 48.4%196 W · 209 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35c9…bc74backed Over | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 346 | 61.6%213 W · 133 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Under | 43c | 62$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.28 | 312 | 38.5%120 W · 192 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ce…e232backed Over | 44c | 55.95$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under | 45c | 52.45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.94 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0580…f78bbacked Under | 43c | 48.55$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 59c | 47.56$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.45 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24f1…6a07backed Under | 61c | 45.87$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.89 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Under | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 596 | 50.3%300 W · 296 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Under | 64c | 32.64$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 148 | 60.1%89 W · 59 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Under | 43c | 31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 330 | 30.9%102 W · 228 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…643cbacked Over | 39c | 30.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 143 | 38.5%55 W · 88 L | -18.4wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 58c | 30.71$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 320 | 45.3%145 W · 175 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcebe…0720backed Under | 48c | 30.1$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.65 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 59c | 29.75$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9b…7349backed Under | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 215 | 74.4%160 W · 55 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…59abbacked Over | 38c | 28.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | +15.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x83f6…25b6backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1e…f51cbacked Under | 47c | 24.06$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -40%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 60c | 17.76$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 211 | 49.3%104 W · 107 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 222.5this page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-3.5)Cavaliers won
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-4.5)Cavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. KnicksKnicks won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 105.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 106.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 207.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 210.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 218.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 225.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: Odd/Even ScoreOdd won
- Dean Wade: Points O/U 0.5Yes won
- Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 27.5Yes won
- Jalen Brunson: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- James Harden: Points O/U 19.5No won
- James Harden: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 1.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5Yes won
- Mikal Bridges: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Mikal Bridges: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- OG Anunoby: Points O/U 16.5No won
- OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-11.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Knicks (-14.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Knicks (-17.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-5.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-6.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-7.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-8.5)Knicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.