TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,454
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,613

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,454 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xedf7…8f79backed No53c207.31$110 inLost-$110.361,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e67…a39bbacked Yes45c151.03$68 inWon+$82.633154.8%17 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes10c150$15 inWon+$13542842.5%182 W · 246 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked No54c135.51$73 inLost-$73.3785449.4%422 W · 432 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8dc…263cbacked No55c111.64$61 inLost-$61.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick67cpaid-49.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x30bb…f258backed Yes47c106.38$50 inWon+$56.382748.1%13 W · 14 L+3.3wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+49.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd424…bf7bbacked Yes43c105.09$45 inWon+$60.095750.9%29 W · 28 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9023…1143backed Yes46c100$46 inWon+$543050%15 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd73b…6b37backed No58c86$50 inLost-$49.883435.3%12 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x802e…76fdbacked Yes79c82.48$65 inWon+$17.325887.9%51 W · 7 L+13.6wins+0.24per pick64cpaid+35.1%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed Yes42c76.06$32 inWon+$44.1111852.5%62 W · 56 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x88a2…68a0backed Yes47c66.86$31 inWon+$35.7715351%78 W · 75 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7398…29ebbacked No58c52.03$30 inLost-$30757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x204f…ba2cbacked No54c45$24 inLost-$24.326957.2%154 W · 115 L+11.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9caf…e8bdbacked No52c42.28$22 inLost-$22.133049.1%162 W · 168 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5aeb…42d4backed Yes46c36.96$17 inWon+$19.9627539.6%109 W · 166 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x815b…a1c7backed No58c34.51$20 inLost-$203740.5%15 W · 22 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x230b…c2c4backed No42c27.15$11 inLost-$11.4650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-20.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed No62c25.83$16 inLost-$16.1220558.5%120 W · 85 L+19.6wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+26.3%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xfcff…4f4bbacked Yes46c22$10 inWon+$11.881747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26c2…0cdfbacked No53c18.7$10 inLost-$104736.2%17 W · 30 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.