NBA · resolved market
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa190add619b444d129ebf50f02d5b53a8b858487c00bcaca384110a025cfba86
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Knicksof Knicks, Cavaliers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $467,406
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $516,208
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $467,406 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 295 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Cavaliers | 54c | 65,733$35,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,276.86 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Cavaliers | 55c | 61,301$33,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,715.28 | 267 | 53.2%142 W · 125 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Knicks | 45c | 50,000$22,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,500 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Knicks | 48c | 41,263$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,263.37 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Knicks | 50c | 40,000$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,000 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Knicks | 50c | 30,169$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,169.22 | 99 | 45.5%45 W · 54 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…9d83backed Knicks | 44c | 22,727$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,727.27 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Cavaliers | 52c | 20,000$10,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,400 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…0127backed Knicks | 46c | 18,692$8,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,093.77 | 221 | 43%95 W · 126 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 17,117$8,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,558.3 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | -12.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Cavaliers | 51c | 15,000$7,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,650 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Cavaliers | 40c | 9,982$4,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,007.81 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…7890backed Cavaliers | 50c | 9,800$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b1…78fdbacked Knicks | 46c | 9,200$4,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,968 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…6bfebacked Cavaliers | 50c | 8,877$4,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,438.4 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +4.2wins | +0.19per pick | 49cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Cavaliers | 52c | 8,519$4,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,429.84 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Knicks | 46c | 7,564$3,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,084.56 | 316 | 44.6%141 W · 175 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Cavaliers | 51c | 7,500$3,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,825 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Cavaliers | 55c | 7,208$3,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,959.83 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Cavaliers | 53c | 6,000$3,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,180 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Knicks | 45c | 6,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,300 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e7…613ebacked Knicks | 47c | 6,000$2,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,179.99 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a4b…c943backed Cavaliers | 51c | 5,694$2,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,903.78 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Cavaliers | 57c | 4,488$2,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,558.16 | 158 | 50.6%80 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc936…6029backed Knicks | 46c | 4,368$2,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,358.98 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Cavaliers | 40c | 4,295$1,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,724.73 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff93…1239backed Cavaliers | 50c | 3,614$1,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,807 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Cavaliers | 50c | 3,508$1,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,765.39 | 320 | 45.3%145 W · 175 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Cavaliers | 52c | 3,500$1,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,819.99 | 434 | 38.5%167 W · 267 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Cavaliers | 52c | 3,500$1,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,819.99 | 237 | 42.6%101 W · 136 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Cavaliers | 52c | 3,409$1,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,772.78 | 659 | 39.5%260 W · 399 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5d…191dbacked Knicks | 46c | 3,267$1,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,763.97 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cavaliers | 50c | 3,172$1,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,586.6 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…8f58backed Knicks | 49c | 3,020$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,540.2 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Knicks | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620.21 | 443 | 37.9%168 W · 275 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Cavaliers | 51c | 3,000$1,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,544.01 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Cavaliers | 15c | 3,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 362 | 43.9%159 W · 203 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Cavaliers | 52c | 2,903$1,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,509.72 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Cavaliers | 51c | 2,727$1,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,390.77 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Knicks | 43c | 2,715$1,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,547.62 | 292 | 45.5%133 W · 159 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Cavaliers | 54c | 2,500$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Knicks | 48c | 2,424$1,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,266.32 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33d0…f7ebbacked Knicks | 46c | 2,400$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,296.18 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | -10.1wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Cavaliers | 54c | 2,359$1,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,268.33 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Cavaliers | 50c | 2,277$1,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,138.67 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8c…c7b4backed Knicks | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 356 | 50%178 W · 178 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Knicks | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 587 | 40%235 W · 352 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1c…5f43backed Knicks | 47c | 1,868$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.55 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Knicks | 49c | 1,751$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.25 | 128 | 57.8%74 W · 54 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Knicks | 47c | 1,707$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$907.65 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…5c97backed Knicks | 45c | 1,649$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.89 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a38…7bc7backed Cavaliers | 50c | 1,628$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Cavaliers | 53c | 1,488$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.69 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32f1…c96ebacked Knicks | 48c | 1,300$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Cavaliers | 51c | 1,285$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.14 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Cavaliers | 50c | 1,218$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.14 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Cavaliers | 54c | 1,208$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.39 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Cavaliers | 51c | 1,200$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612 | 600 | 49.8%299 W · 301 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Cavaliers | 6c | 1,193$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.67 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Cavaliers | 53c | 1,140$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.11 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Cavaliers | 54c | 1,119$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.1 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1543…baafbacked Knicks | 58c | 1,100$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a2…6fc8backed Cavaliers | 51c | 1,100$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dad…4855backed Cavaliers | 54c | 1,100$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.99 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Knicks | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.01 | 560 | 43.9%246 W · 314 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 256 | 51.2%131 W · 125 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96a3…d944backed Knicks | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71cf…10fdbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Knicks | 50c | 999.99$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 146 | 40.4%59 W · 87 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed Knicks | 46c | 999.99$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.99 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c6…73a7backed Cavaliers | 51c | 992.58$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -51%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Cavaliers | 60c | 937.77$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.51 | 538 | 42%226 W · 312 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c9d…d34bbacked Cavaliers | 51c | 931.48$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4031…92c8backed Knicks | 45c | 900$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 128 | 51.6%66 W · 62 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Cavaliers | 54c | 861.98$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.4 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Knicks | 44c | 848$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.88 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Cavaliers | 56c | 782.31$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.27 | 253 | 52.6%133 W · 120 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Knicks | 50c | 743.33$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.21 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +5.1wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x03e5…dd0fbacked Cavaliers | 56c | 714.29$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | -8.4wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Cavaliers | 54c | 703.6$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.1 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Cavaliers | 51c | 600$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 251 | 55%138 W · 113 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Cavaliers | 51c | 593$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.43 | 259 | 51.4%133 W · 126 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Cavaliers | 40c | 587.29$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.91 | 274 | 63.5%174 W · 100 L | +34.8wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x919c…06d8backed Knicks | 44c | 557$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.92 | 198 | 52%103 W · 95 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked Cavaliers | 51c | 530.75$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.68 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Cavaliers | 57c | 522.57$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.34 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -9.6wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdffd…924fbacked Knicks | 48c | 520.83$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.83 | 139 | 49.6%69 W · 70 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Cavaliers | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 331 | 50.8%168 W · 163 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Knicks | 42c | 449.25$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.6 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03cf…7260backed Cavaliers | 58c | 440.14$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.58 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e82…4cfbbacked Knicks | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c73…750abacked Knicks | 45c | 428.13$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.47 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a3…1259backed Cavaliers | 51c | 410$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.1 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…4279backed Knicks | 50c | 410$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Knicks | 38c | 402.54$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.79 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Cavaliers | 50c | 401.12$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.56 | 521 | 50.9%265 W · 256 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x291d…2f8bbacked Knicks | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9905…add3backed Cavaliers | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x825a…9f6fbacked Knicks | 50c | 388$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe268…0573backed Cavaliers | 51c | 388$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.88 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Knicks (-7.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-3.5)Cavaliers won
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-4.5)Cavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. KnicksKnicks won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 105.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 106.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 207.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 210.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 218.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 222.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 225.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Knicks: Odd/Even ScoreOdd won
- Dean Wade: Points O/U 0.5Yes won
- Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 27.5Yes won
- Jalen Brunson: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- James Harden: Points O/U 19.5No won
- James Harden: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 1.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5Yes won
- Mikal Bridges: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Mikal Bridges: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- OG Anunoby: Points O/U 16.5No won
- OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-11.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Knicks (-14.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Knicks (-17.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-5.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-6.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-8.5)Knicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.