TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Knicks (-7.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Knicks, Cavaliers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$467,406
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$516,208

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $467,406 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 295 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9495…9a27backed Cavaliers54c65,733$35,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,276.8669848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Cavaliers55c61,301$33,715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,715.2826753.2%142 W · 125 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Knicks45c50,000$22,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,5001,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd14…d62abacked Knicks48c41,263$20,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,263.375036%18 W · 32 L-5.2wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-23.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe5ef…9e7abacked Knicks50c40,000$20,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,00025248.4%122 W · 130 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Knicks50c30,169$15,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,169.229945.5%45 W · 54 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf689…9d83backed Knicks44c22,727$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,727.271747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Cavaliers52c20,000$10,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,40049244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e16…0127backed Knicks46c18,692$8,598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,093.7722143%95 W · 126 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Cavaliers50c17,117$8,558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,558.314538.6%56 W · 89 L-12.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-22.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Cavaliers51c15,000$7,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,65077348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Cavaliers40c9,982$4,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,007.8193148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b2a…7890backed Cavaliers50c9,800$4,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,90020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc6b1…78fdbacked Knicks46c9,200$4,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,9686651.5%34 W · 32 L+6.0wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+24.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked Cavaliers50c8,877$4,438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,438.42268.2%15 W · 7 L+4.2wins+0.19per pick49cpaid+35.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Cavaliers52c8,519$4,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,429.841,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Knicks46c7,564$3,479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,084.5631644.6%141 W · 175 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Cavaliers51c7,500$3,825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,8251,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Cavaliers55c7,208$3,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,959.836,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Cavaliers53c6,000$3,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,18089853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Knicks45c6,000$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,3009447.9%45 W · 49 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86e7…613ebacked Knicks47c6,000$2,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,179.9910049%49 W · 51 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a4b…c943backed Cavaliers51c5,694$2,904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,903.781338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-27.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xafe4…f3f7backed Cavaliers57c4,488$2,558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,558.1615850.6%80 W · 78 L+10.3wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+21.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc936…6029backed Knicks46c4,368$2,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,358.98560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+22.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Cavaliers40c4,295$1,725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,724.732,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xff93…1239backed Cavaliers50c3,614$1,807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,807850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Cavaliers50c3,508$1,765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,765.3932045.3%145 W · 175 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Cavaliers52c3,500$1,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,819.9943438.5%167 W · 267 L-1.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Cavaliers52c3,500$1,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,819.9923742.6%101 W · 136 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Cavaliers52c3,409$1,773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,772.7865939.5%260 W · 399 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d5d…191dbacked Knicks46c3,267$1,503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,763.975442.6%23 W · 31 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Cavaliers50c3,172$1,587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,586.64,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e5a…8f58backed Knicks49c3,020$1,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,540.26241.9%26 W · 36 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Knicks46c3,000$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,620.2144337.9%168 W · 275 L-0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Cavaliers51c3,000$1,544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,544.011,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Cavaliers15c3,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45036243.9%159 W · 203 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Cavaliers52c2,903$1,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,509.7286641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Cavaliers51c2,727$1,391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,390.7770246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Knicks43c2,715$1,168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,547.6229245.5%133 W · 159 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Cavaliers54c2,500$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3502860.7%17 W · 11 L+3.2wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+27.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Knicks48c2,424$1,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,266.3266352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x33d0…f7ebbacked Knicks46c2,400$1,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,296.185119.6%10 W · 41 L-10.1wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-56.1%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Cavaliers54c2,359$1,268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,268.3362051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Cavaliers50c2,277$1,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,138.672,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c8c…c7b4backed Knicks50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00035650%178 W · 178 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Knicks43c2,000$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,14058740%235 W · 352 L+24.3wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f1c…5f43backed Knicks47c1,868$887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$980.552846.4%13 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Knicks49c1,751$858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$893.2512857.8%74 W · 54 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Knicks47c1,707$799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$907.6552951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bbd…5c97backed Knicks45c1,649$742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$906.893256.3%18 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a38…7bc7backed Cavaliers50c1,628$814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$814333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Cavaliers53c1,488$789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$788.6964948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x32f1…c96ebacked Knicks48c1,300$618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68211757.3%67 W · 50 L+9.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+21.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Cavaliers51c1,285$653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653.1449249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Cavaliers50c1,218$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.141,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Cavaliers54c1,208$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656.394,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Cavaliers51c1,200$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61260049.8%299 W · 301 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Cavaliers6c1,193$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.6768838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Cavaliers53c1,140$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.1172648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Cavaliers54c1,119$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.163746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1543…baafbacked Knicks58c1,100$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46212741.7%53 W · 74 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4a2…6fc8backed Cavaliers51c1,100$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5612653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+19.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0dad…4855backed Cavaliers54c1,100$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.998951.7%46 W · 43 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Knicks44c1,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.0156043.9%246 W · 314 L-31.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Cavaliers50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50025651.2%131 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96a3…d944backed Knicks48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5207950.6%40 W · 39 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+9.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x71cf…10fdbacked Cavaliers50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbf7…06acbacked Knicks50c999.99$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50014640.4%59 W · 87 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf33e…0ab8backed Knicks46c999.99$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.99862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+21.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4c6…73a7backed Cavaliers51c992.58$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.22425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-51%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Cavaliers60c937.77$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.5153842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c9d…d34bbacked Cavaliers51c931.48$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4031…92c8backed Knicks45c900$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49512851.6%66 W · 62 L+5.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Cavaliers54c861.98$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.41,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Knicks44c848$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.8856843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Cavaliers56c782.31$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.2725352.6%133 W · 120 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Knicks50c743.33$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.213756.8%21 W · 16 L+5.1wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+14.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x03e5…dd0fbacked Cavaliers56c714.29$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4006622.7%15 W · 51 L-8.4wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-48.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7677…37c0backed Cavaliers54c703.6$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.114148.2%68 W · 73 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf05d…ac5ebacked Cavaliers51c600$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30625155%138 W · 113 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed Cavaliers51c593$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.4325951.4%133 W · 126 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Cavaliers40c587.29$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.9127463.5%174 W · 100 L+34.8wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+19.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x919c…06d8backed Knicks44c557$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.9219852%103 W · 95 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41b4…10dabacked Cavaliers51c530.75$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.68520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-54.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6383…6e28backed Cavaliers57c522.57$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.346038.3%23 W · 37 L-9.6wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-28.5%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xdffd…924fbacked Knicks48c520.83$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.8313949.6%69 W · 70 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Cavaliers52c500$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26033150.8%168 W · 163 L+1.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Knicks42c449.25$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.61,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x03cf…7260backed Cavaliers58c440.14$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.581637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-37.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e82…4cfbbacked Knicks46c434.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.78966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+58.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0c73…750abacked Knicks45c428.13$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.474934.7%17 W · 32 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6a3…1259backed Cavaliers51c410$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.11435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-30.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2146…4279backed Knicks50c410$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2051233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-34.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Knicks38c402.54$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.791,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Cavaliers50c401.12$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.5652150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x291d…2f8bbacked Knicks50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2003351.5%17 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9905…add3backed Cavaliers51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004355.8%24 W · 19 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+16%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x825a…9f6fbacked Knicks50c388$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1941850%9 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe268…0573backed Cavaliers51c388$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.881546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.