NBA · resolved market

Spread: Knicks (-11.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x660af6f2cf20921e7601841ea707bf727dbe3f2dd6b94f7eda82330cca2dfe1e

Rebuilt 1 hour ago.

Winning outcome: Cavaliersof Knicks, Cavaliers
Resolved: May 20, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $37,105
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $40,408

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,105 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Knicks	11c	5,212$568 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$568.25	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Cavaliers	66c	3,466$2,276 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,190.41	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2942…59abbacked Knicks	34c	2,500$850 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$849.99	180	44.4%80 W · 100 L	+15.8wins	+0.09per pick	36cpaid	+36.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x27d2…a66cbacked Cavaliers	66c	2,228$1,462 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$766.36	214	50%107 W · 107 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Knicks	34c	1,886$633 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$632.51	663	52.6%349 W · 314 L	+30.1wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cf0…8b2bbacked Cavaliers	55c	1,650$907 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$742.41	59	45.8%27 W · 32 L	-3.4wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x53e4…6f6bbacked Knicks	35c	1,429$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	19	57.9%11 W · 8 L	+1.7wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	+13%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x69e4…9bacbacked Knicks	45c	1,415$637 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$636.93	67	49.3%33 W · 34 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1543…baafbacked Knicks	41c	1,200$492 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$492	127	41.7%53 W · 74 L	+4.8wins	+0.04per pick	38cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Cavaliers	75c	1,000$750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$250	2,153	51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L	+76.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Knicks	5c	742.24$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.22	428	42.5%182 W · 246 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf36e…f91cbacked Knicks	33c	714.35$236 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$235.74	36	44.4%16 W · 20 L	+3.9wins	+0.11per pick	34cpaid	+22.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x48cf…c7dfbacked Cavaliers	65c	699.99$455 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$245	364	53%193 W · 171 L	-17.0wins	-0.05per pick	58cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Knicks	13c	688.28$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.77	538	42%226 W · 312 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked Cavaliers	66c	672.63$444 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$228.69	143	38.5%55 W · 88 L	-18.4wins	-0.13per pick	51cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x09f1…8332backed Cavaliers	76c	610$461 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$149.2	42	69%29 W · 13 L	+4.2wins	+0.10per pick	59cpaid	+18.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Cavaliers	56c	600$339 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$261	841	50.3%423 W · 418 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdc04…1c43backed Knicks	33c	598.97$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	105	48.6%51 W · 54 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8e4…ff59backed Cavaliers	67c	522.39$350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$172.39	45	46.7%21 W · 24 L	-4.4wins	-0.10per pick	57cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed Knicks	44c	486.37$214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$214	186	51.1%95 W · 91 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x78a2…9d46backed Cavaliers	67c	447.76$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$147.76	66	62.1%41 W · 25 L	+4.3wins	+0.06per pick	56cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x59a4…260fbacked Knicks	33c	444.45$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.67	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-1.2wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4e0…ffbebacked Knicks	18c	443.32$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.38	32	46.9%15 W · 17 L	-3.7wins	-0.12per pick	58cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xde3d…6b1fbacked Knicks	35c	439.97$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.99	53	32.1%17 W · 36 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	29cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23f9…3c2dbacked Knicks	35c	430$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.5	186	43.5%81 W · 105 L	+5.4wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8dd4…7401backed Knicks	11c	415.99$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.08	249	36.9%92 W · 157 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Knicks	23c	413.01$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.67	258	40.7%105 W · 153 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c02…d4b7backed Cavaliers	65c	302.4$197 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105.84	27	44.4%12 W · 15 L	-3.4wins	-0.12per pick	57cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2d0c…1249backed Cavaliers	57c	299.99$171 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$129	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-17%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2490…aa08backed Cavaliers	67c	298.51$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.51	13	76.9%10 W · 3 L	+2.3wins	+0.18per pick	59cpaid	+37.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Knicks	44c	282.11$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.13	1,282	43.4%557 W · 725 L	-51.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Cavaliers	66c	270.92$179 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.39	489	48.5%237 W · 252 L	-9.4wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a54…7c49backed Knicks	38c	260.53$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99	44	65.9%29 W · 15 L	+8.9wins	+0.20per pick	46cpaid	+55.7%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Cavaliers	70c	234$163 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.98	2,468	50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L	+38.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Knicks	7c	200$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	272	45.6%124 W · 148 L	+7.5wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Cavaliers	56c	191.05$107 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.06	906	50.2%455 W · 451 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Cavaliers	56c	191.05$107 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.06	637	46.6%297 W · 340 L	-16.1wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Cavaliers	66c	186.62$124 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.88	1,277	47.2%603 W · 674 L	-3.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xefa3…d08bbacked Knicks	45c	180$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81	22	59.1%13 W · 9 L	+3.4wins	+0.16per pick	44cpaid	+92.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Cavaliers	69c	165.42$114 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.89	521	50.9%265 W · 256 L	+18.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfaa5…fa07backed Cavaliers	66c	151.67$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.67	34	52.9%18 W · 16 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf908…0aafbacked Cavaliers	68c	147.06$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.06	4	100%4 W · 0 L	+1.7wins	+0.42per pick	58cpaid	+75.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbd60…396cbacked Knicks	33c	124.88$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.21	56	57.1%32 W · 24 L	+4.8wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	+22.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Knicks	33c	121$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.93	1,633	41.2%672 W · 961 L	+26.3wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc185…7020backed Knicks	40c	120$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58be…2517backed Knicks	35c	113.71$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.8	37	45.9%17 W · 20 L	+4.5wins	+0.12per pick	34cpaid	+41.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8912…1712backed Knicks	34c	109.99$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.4	41	51.2%21 W · 20 L	+4.6wins	+0.11per pick	40cpaid	+32.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Cavaliers	66c	107.66$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.32	649	48.2%313 W · 336 L	-3.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x5c0c…b626backed Knicks	33c	100$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	159	27%43 W · 116 L	-15.4wins	-0.10per pick	37cpaid	-31.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Knicks	27c	98.11$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.92	1,317	47.8%629 W · 688 L	+15.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Knicks	32c	91.75$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.36	1,901	48.7%925 W · 976 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb035…d989backed Cavaliers	61c	87.62$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.17	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	58cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde56…c2f9backed Cavaliers	66c	75.76$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.76	36	33.3%12 W · 24 L	-5.2wins	-0.14per pick	48cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0xdd45…a81dbacked Cavaliers	66c	70.56$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.99	65	52.3%34 W · 31 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x310b…19ccbacked Cavaliers	57c	70.18$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.18	100	45%45 W · 55 L	+4.2wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x56bd…e58dbacked Knicks	34c	61.21$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.81	50	44%22 W · 28 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+29.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf114…e4efbacked Knicks	33c	60.61$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe11c…24efbacked Cavaliers	76c	60.54$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.49	56	55.4%31 W · 25 L	+3.3wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc392…595dbacked Knicks	50c	60$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	405	48.4%196 W · 209 L	+8.9wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf247…e269backed Knicks	34c	58.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	247	31.2%77 W · 170 L	+11.8wins	+0.05per pick	26cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Cavaliers	56c	53$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.32	898	50.9%457 W · 441 L	+19.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa820…2dcebacked Knicks	38c	52.63$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	85	44.7%38 W · 47 L	-3.9wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaaf5…e71cbacked Cavaliers	57c	52.63$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.63	56	35.7%20 W · 36 L	-8.4wins	-0.15per pick	51cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	38-0.10 edge/pick
0x0435…cf1dbacked Cavaliers	76c	39.47$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.47	169	47.3%80 W · 89 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x978f…e14dbacked Knicks	33c	39.39$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	26	42.3%11 W · 15 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Knicks	34c	34.85$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.85	186	53.2%99 W · 87 L	+9.5wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc987…123abacked Cavaliers	50c	31.8$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.9	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.5wins	+0.39per pick	36cpaid	+80.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf02d…9b64backed Cavaliers	67c	31.34$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.34	40	45%18 W · 22 L	-3.7wins	-0.09per pick	54cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0444…55a5backed Cavaliers	66c	30.08$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.28	7	85.7%6 W · 1 L	+2.2wins	+0.32per pick	54cpaid	+138.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9c9b…7349backed Cavaliers	76c	26.32$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.32	215	74.4%160 W · 55 L	+8.5wins	+0.04per pick	70cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe2b…51debacked Knicks	42c	26.19$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	102	47.1%48 W · 54 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Cavaliers	55c	24.36$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.96	698	48.6%339 W · 359 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x61d3…189abacked Cavaliers	50c	21.8$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.9	218	49.5%108 W · 110 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbbf…388ebacked Cavaliers	67c	21.31$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.03	50	42%21 W · 29 L	-4.1wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Cavaliers	66c	21.3$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.24	211	49.3%104 W · 107 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb64…4db9backed Cavaliers	58c	20.69$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.69	9	77.8%7 W · 2 L	+1.3wins	+0.15per pick	63cpaid	+20.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa06f…cbadbacked Cavaliers	67c	20$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.6	37	73%27 W · 10 L	+4.5wins	+0.12per pick	61cpaid	+22.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xed1b…7ebdbacked Cavaliers	68c	16.03$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.18	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+0.5wins	+0.06per pick	61cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Knicks (-11.5)this page
1H Spread: Knicks (-3.5)Cavaliers won
1H Spread: Knicks (-4.5)Cavaliers won
Cavaliers vs. KnicksKnicks won
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 105.5Under won
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 106.5Under won
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 207.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 210.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 218.5Over won
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5Under won
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 222.5Under won
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 225.5Under won
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: Odd/Even ScoreOdd won
Dean Wade: Points O/U 0.5Yes won
Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 3.5No won
Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 27.5Yes won
Jalen Brunson: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
James Harden: Points O/U 19.5No won
James Harden: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 1.5Yes won
Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 18.5No won
Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5Yes won
Mikal Bridges: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
Mikal Bridges: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
OG Anunoby: Points O/U 16.5No won
OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)Knicks won
Spread: Knicks (-14.5)Cavaliers won
Spread: Knicks (-17.5)Cavaliers won
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Knicks won
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)Knicks won
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)Knicks won
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)Knicks won
Spread: Knicks (-8.5)Knicks won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Knicks (-11.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event