TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 207.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$309,759
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$329,587

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $309,759 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 288 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3751…7dfdbacked Under0c81,796$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.82429.2%7 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+24.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under54c16,836$9,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,143.671,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Over44c10,679$4,699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,980.4620155.7%112 W · 89 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under46c9,403$4,362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,361.5269848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf2f…77bbbacked Under25c7,992$1,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,998.05650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Over45c7,097$3,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,899.3732846.6%153 W · 175 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb184…b6c6backed Over40c5,880$2,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,536.033729.7%11 W · 26 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-26%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under25c5,267$1,293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,293.262,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under52c4,611$2,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,375.361,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Over46c4,353$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,353.367963.3%50 W · 29 L+7.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+18.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfada…0228backed Over75c4,342$3,257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,085.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under44c4,332$1,916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,915.671,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Over53c4,000$2,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,879.9936243.9%159 W · 203 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ef8…8712backed Under56c3,942$2,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,213.126048.3%29 W · 31 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Over52c3,829$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,828.7111034.5%38 W · 72 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf12…afb8backed Over68c3,684$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,184.37580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+49.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30d9…41c7backed Over69c3,621$2,494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,126.823745.9%17 W · 20 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Over72c3,480$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$979.9224159.8%144 W · 97 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over46c3,444$1,573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,871.164948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe8aa…81ecbacked Over52c3,330$1,732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,598.41844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over17c3,093$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,556.742,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa2f7…4899backed Over75c2,700$2,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6751471.4%10 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick69cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0979…8d9bbacked Over76c2,632$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.6820352.7%107 W · 96 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc5b…3f6abacked Under42c2,491$1,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,052.0611946.2%55 W · 64 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7a9…7b35backed Over75c2,450$1,838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.55100%5 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd81e…e3d0backed Under26c2,386$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.436445.3%29 W · 35 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7ad…eb58backed Over77c2,297$1,765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.863100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+48.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under49c2,246$1,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,105.342,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e9c…1fcabacked Over45c2,190$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,214.511952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+32.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbbd…d6f0backed Under25c2,108$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.047248.6%35 W · 37 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Under25c2,108$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52795651.5%492 W · 464 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1543…baafbacked Over51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98012741.7%53 W · 74 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Under26c1,772$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.221,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xad7c…6244backed Over41c1,700$697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0033444.1%15 W · 19 L+4.3wins+0.13per pick32cpaid+21.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9e86…fce6backed Under54c1,460$782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781.834652.2%24 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x229b…331fbacked Under53c1,410$747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$747.2920%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over42c1,398$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$817.488,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over21c1,207$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$953.6793148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e9c…addfbacked Over75c1,200$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3003100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd23f…0b63backed Over42c1,162$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$676.991060%6 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+23.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Over42c1,136$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661.5628838.2%110 W · 178 L-17.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe583…95ebbacked Over75c1,125$845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.181060%6 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick70cpaid-18.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbcb8…2f90backed Over56c1,071$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.438844.3%39 W · 49 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Over41c1,064$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$627.81,10941.8%464 W · 645 L-20.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb502…9d8bbacked Over76c1,051$801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.1630055.7%167 W · 133 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c4…3e8fbacked Under76c1,008$766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$765.822536%9 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-20.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Under50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50028056.8%159 W · 121 L+22.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+50.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3e9c…ab80backed Over76c1,000$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2404158.5%24 W · 17 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xef85…2c38backed Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5003647.2%17 W · 19 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick43cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10981%1 W · 97 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-49%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c39…56dcbacked Under52c993.52$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.635425.9%14 W · 40 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Under59c952.13$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.0656646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Over63c932.09$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.725840.7%105 W · 153 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…e7a9backed Under49c900$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0af5…154cbacked Over49c844.03$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.83164.5%20 W · 11 L+5.3wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+27.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8d93…b34dbacked Over63c808.47$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.477146.5%33 W · 38 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under38c797.18$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.6752150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc71…2c40backed Under63c783.38$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.534738.3%18 W · 29 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+85%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa535…9e5ebacked Under24c641.67$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15414049.3%69 W · 71 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under47c638.72$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30095452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ee…45cebacked Under47c583.15$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.31per pick47cpaid-67.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x45d1…83dabacked Over45c555.56$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.565160.8%31 W · 20 L+5.2wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+19.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbaac…ff10backed Over75c528.52$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.4212454.8%68 W · 56 L-7.9wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Under52c527.63$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27726233.6%88 W · 174 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x156e…cf6fbacked Over47c506.38$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.382650%13 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae8f…1cc3backed Over45c506$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.425446.3%25 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Over24c490.87$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.2931222.1%69 W · 243 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+79.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Over54c475.72$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.652461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc8f…d0e4backed Under7c460.29$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.222532%8 W · 17 L+3.6wins+0.15per pick17cpaid+95.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over21c459$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.611,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0705…a86fbacked Over44c454.55$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.554146.3%19 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under50c454.3$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.0889850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82a1…ed3dbacked Under58c450$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2612347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6dd9…bfe8backed Under32c435.35$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.2665762.3%409 W · 248 L+27.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a1c…5a9cbacked Over35c434.45$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.455525.5%14 W · 41 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-26.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x90d4…2deebacked Under9c434.28$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.121643.8%7 W · 9 L+4.2wins+0.26per pick18cpaid+168.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x82e5…7e2fbacked Over76c409.99$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.41478.6%11 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick72cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under23c400.19$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.0560049.8%299 W · 301 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcebf…832ebacked Over75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001283.3%10 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.18per pick65cpaid+30.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Under55c363.64$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011558.3%67 W · 48 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+88.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under24c360.58$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.931,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddc4…0270backed Over56c357.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.1427745.8%127 W · 150 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Over48c312.99$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.7535849.7%178 W · 180 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb238…4961backed Under60c311$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.762832.1%9 W · 19 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-29.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc76…8c37backed Over48c309.36$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.361283.3%10 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.20per pick63cpaid+31.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Over21c300.06$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.0561151.4%314 W · 297 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over52c298$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.8876653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x782c…38c2backed Over51c294.12$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.126555.4%36 W · 29 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under24c281.07$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.31,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x764f…6b8abacked Over75c261.81$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.818540%34 W · 51 L-16.2wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-35.4%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Over77c258.94$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.9447651.7%246 W · 230 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x850a…7dcbbacked Over76c258.83$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.832070%14 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Under8c255$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4969.4%9 W · 87 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick8cpaid+16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe49…7a4cbacked Over69c250$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.51457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d3e…986cbacked Over44c249.99$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1402360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under62c249.29$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.653,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1733…dc80backed Over45c244.44$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.4419741.6%82 W · 115 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Under62c230$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.4780440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x769e…44c4backed Over44c227.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.411464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.