TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$160,223
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$149,896

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $160,223 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf438…9559backed Under54c45,000$24,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,699.931855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Over46c30,494$14,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,027.241,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5d9…9e0ebacked Over47c11,000$5,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,1701942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under53c10,614$5,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,988.669848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ca9…ea67backed Over47c10,101$4,719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,719.473636.1%13 W · 23 L-3.9wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-25.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over46c7,603$3,513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,512.8164948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Over7c5,299$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.9327937.3%104 W · 175 L+57.6wins+0.21per pick17cpaid+187%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over46c4,963$2,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,278.224,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa66d…6daabacked Under55c4,938$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,237.722356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Under54c4,000$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,839.995269.2%36 W · 16 L+8.7wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+32.4%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under53c3,499$1,854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,644.3155251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb184…b6c6backed Over46c3,249$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5003729.7%11 W · 26 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-26%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd793…1c4abacked Over47c3,179$1,494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,494.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Over46c2,965$1,364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,363.948352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under53c2,809$1,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,308.281,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1543…baafbacked Over46c2,761$1,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,270.2112741.7%53 W · 74 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over46c2,411$1,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,101.484,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb307…be4abacked Over47c2,128$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00018842.6%80 W · 108 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under53c2,124$1,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$998.451,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Over11c2,000$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22536243.9%159 W · 203 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked Under55c1,820$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81917247.7%82 W · 90 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under54c1,740$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800.464651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Over46c1,728$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$794.8820155.7%112 W · 89 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Over10c1,610$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.5378639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8dd4…7401backed Over10c1,531$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.3824936.9%92 W · 157 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Over11c1,472$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.0680440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under54c1,460$781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$678.4562051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under61c1,307$799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.138,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6303…9556backed Under55c1,266$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.1118853.2%100 W · 88 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3bbb…48f2backed Under55c1,015$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.551040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-28.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Over7c1,000$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7025150.6%127 W · 124 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49f7…4871backed Under54c999.98$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.996055%33 W · 27 L+7.5wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+17%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under54c998.17$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.616,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b0c…a1aabacked Over46c978.26$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked Under78c838.21$656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.4714334.3%49 W · 94 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over8c700$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5325045.6%114 W · 136 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc71…2c40backed Over6c561.2$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.674738.3%18 W · 29 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+85%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe22a…cb75backed Under55c550$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.53948.7%19 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0580…f78bbacked Over9c533$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.426334.9%22 W · 41 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under53c505.02$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.3656843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Under55c454.55$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.5529554.6%161 W · 134 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b4c…1715backed Over13c429.97$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.9316429.9%49 W · 115 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+24.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec2d…896cbacked Over47c425.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007944.3%35 W · 44 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Under53c413.4$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.581,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc63b…6e4ebacked Over7c400.83$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.0631238.5%120 W · 192 L+15.3wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+5.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under54c400$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18460049.8%299 W · 301 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf280…d801backed Over45c399$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.552441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f2d…318bbacked Over3c375$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10437%3 W · 40 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick4cpaid-24.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48ec…8f36backed Under45c333$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.154734%16 W · 31 L-4.5wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Over63c317.46$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20046959.1%277 W · 192 L+28.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2374…a426backed Under55c309.09$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.0914443.8%63 W · 81 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe558…dcd2backed Over55c306.52$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.579349.5%46 W · 47 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+22.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe2df…ca29backed Over45c305.77$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.0817247.7%82 W · 90 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee62…bc6abacked Under53c300$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14126745.3%121 W · 146 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5c…9a2bbacked Under54c298.61$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.368052.5%42 W · 38 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96ef…cca4backed Over14c270.19$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.352638.5%10 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over45c260.86$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.3932045.3%145 W · 175 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over54c221.17$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.4176653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc0c8…97b4backed Under55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$906645.5%30 W · 36 L-9.3wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-27.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over45c199.23$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.6366352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8fd…3e24backed Under55c192$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.41952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Over77c191.98$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.2119548.2%94 W · 101 L+12.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Under44c190$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.5910941.3%45 W · 64 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d15…8026backed Under54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1927854.7%152 W · 126 L-0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfaa5…fa07backed Under54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.193452.9%18 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7677…37c0backed Under54c180.92$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.2714148.2%68 W · 73 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under53c178.76$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.0225651.2%131 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32f9…9725backed Under55c177.64$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.9412753.5%68 W · 59 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over51c174.53$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.952,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6383…6e28backed Over65c156.03$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.186038.3%23 W · 37 L-9.6wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-28.5%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Under38c150$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.491050.9%463 W · 447 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3751…7dfdbacked Over62c141.79$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.052429.2%7 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+24.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd053…307abacked Over46c130.43$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608252.4%43 W · 39 L+7.0wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5f56…a330backed Under78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.213844.7%17 W · 21 L-5.8wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-28%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xba5c…c5edbacked Under55c117.82$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.02862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+21.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf79c…94eabacked Over47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503452.9%18 W · 16 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6cb1…1002backed Under54c104.48$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.068846.6%41 W · 47 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xee4d…5413backed Under55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a1c…5a9cbacked Over30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305525.5%14 W · 41 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-26.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1fc4…7ae7backed Over11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116950.7%35 W · 34 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e45…39dabacked Over46c99.94$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.9710746.7%50 W · 57 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5b3…4756backed Over46c99.94$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.9710743.9%47 W · 60 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x389d…995fbacked Over46c99.94$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.978843.2%38 W · 50 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Under70c91.39$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.4255751.9%289 W · 268 L+1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Over17c83.93$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5825840.7%105 W · 153 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Over46c82.35$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.8815759.2%93 W · 64 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x66da…69b0backed Under55c73$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.851526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.5wins-0.24per pick50cpaid-48.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1c66…7f9bbacked Under70c71.45$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.451540%6 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc392…595dbacked Over47c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.240548.4%196 W · 209 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under71c54.7$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.1219360.1%116 W · 77 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5fc…faedbacked Under54c53.7$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.71428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-40.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7242…ac6fbacked Over47c51$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9710240.2%41 W · 61 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd5f5…bb11backed Under53c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.55738.6%22 W · 35 L-8.5wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-28.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Over63c49.26$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.0352861.9%327 W · 201 L+32.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over60c48.99$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.391,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2754…1668backed Under46c48.5$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.0413950.4%70 W · 69 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Over40c45.38$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1525554.5%139 W · 116 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f75…cc2abacked Over46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+19.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x71b6…4e91backed Over46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2036350.1%182 W · 181 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa48a…df3dbacked Over46c43.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-63.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.