TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$57,147
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$52,904

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,147 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf28e…cab2backed Over30c4,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,799.956646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under47c3,249$1,527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,526.8169848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6303…9556backed Over62c3,225$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,224.918853.2%100 W · 88 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Over33c3,000$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,009.936243.9%159 W · 203 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over9c2,030$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,857.462,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over28c1,873$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,339.758,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under38c1,618$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.8566352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under38c1,610$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.8232045.3%145 W · 175 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc71…2c40backed Over14c1,581$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,359.574738.3%18 W · 29 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+85%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under38c1,518$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576.591,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Under38c1,374$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.4628643%123 W · 163 L-1.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x495d…68d8backed Over62c1,290$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.321070%7 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under39c1,255$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.251,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Over10c973.7$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$876.3325150.6%127 W · 124 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1d7…d31abacked Over65c916.7$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.721640.3%87 W · 129 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+43.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4490…fe8bbacked Over62c906.81$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.593450%17 W · 17 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Over62c811.87$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.8724159.8%144 W · 97 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over61c799.68$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.4564948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x52f8…ad19backed Under77c779.22$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60013342.9%57 W · 76 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under57c701.51$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.862,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Over28c694.19$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.8225840.7%105 W · 153 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Under76c657.89$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50011558.3%67 W · 48 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+88.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1af3…b3b4backed Under38c579.42$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.543740.5%15 W · 22 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under39c538.07$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.8578648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ac2…f949backed Over62c537.1$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.16956.5%39 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a5f…1070backed Over62c497.65$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.11944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick58cpaid-31.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over62c466.26$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.182860.7%17 W · 11 L+3.2wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+27.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under48c431.78$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.571,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b90…672ebacked Over62c403.31$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.3113759.9%82 W · 55 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under38c399.99$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1521,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbde6…764bbacked Over52c384.77$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.7744052.5%231 W · 209 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over49c371.78$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.6676653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x48ec…8f36backed Under45c333$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.854734%16 W · 31 L-4.5wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd360…2eabbacked Under40c332.5$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1331838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over9c325.99$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.021,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9453…6952backed Over62c321.8$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.833749.3%166 W · 171 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb14d…8f95backed Over6c318.67$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.554431.8%14 W · 30 L-4.9wins-0.11per pick43cpaid+3.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x78a2…9d46backed Over61c276.35$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.356662.1%41 W · 25 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under38c266$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.086,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbbc…3122backed Under79c253.89$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007953.2%42 W · 37 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe49…7a4cbacked Over61c253.08$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.71457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under38c250.2$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.0860049.8%299 W · 301 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d2c…17d2backed Under70c247.24$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.99633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-42.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4951…3038backed Under39c246.15$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963652.8%19 W · 17 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under31c245.32$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.4278639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over9c243.6$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.6389048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Over62c241.94$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.9490957.6%524 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4c9…8803backed Over7c196.24$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.243265.6%21 W · 11 L+8.2wins+0.26per pick40cpaid+109.4%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Over63c193.65$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.6515846.8%74 W · 84 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7970…eccabacked Under40c192$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.82560%15 W · 10 L+3.5wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+38.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under38c181.63$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.5817043.5%74 W · 96 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Over73c177.88$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.7652461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Under37c172.95$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.9921147.4%100 W · 111 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08be…bea8backed Over62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2910861.1%66 W · 42 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7e79…10c0backed Over61c160.66$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.662378.3%18 W · 5 L+5.0wins+0.22per pick57cpaid+38.9%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed Over11c149.97$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.2115648.1%75 W · 81 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf5e…95e3backed Over24c149.58$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.6821046.2%97 W · 113 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked Under37c144$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.2814338.5%55 W · 88 L-18.4wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-28.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Over53c141$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.2745251.1%231 W · 221 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Over9c125.47$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.3862144%273 W · 348 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Under38c113.51$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.131,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Over13c111.38$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.961151.4%314 W · 297 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x31c5…270abacked Over23c109.61$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.442035%7 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over14c107.02$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.525045.6%114 W · 136 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57e6…7c61backed Over24c106.03$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.041952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa11f…1252backed Over24c101.73$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.3620247.5%96 W · 106 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x144e…d596backed Over27c100$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+76.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf610…741cbacked Over10c100$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$907154.9%39 W · 32 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid+9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb547…ba49backed Over47c99.71$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.856100%6 W · 0 L+2.8wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1c25…6bbcbacked Over61c96.98$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.662070%14 W · 6 L+3.6wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+26.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x61d3…189abacked Over24c96.69$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.4921849.5%108 W · 110 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x250e…cf07backed Over27c96.48$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.73650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+18.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under38c94.86$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.971,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over17c92.3$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.851,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over27c91.78$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1252…e6e0backed Over58c91.5$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.264949%24 W · 25 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d2f…0f76backed Under38c91.24$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.673537.1%13 W · 22 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7baa…03b7backed Under53c85.39$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.2233159.2%196 W · 135 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x041f…4af7backed Over61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.971471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+19.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Under57c81.63$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.5355751.9%289 W · 268 L+1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7a8…9c50backed Over63c79.99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.7518735.8%67 W · 120 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc059…a1edbacked Over61c77.49$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.2212254.9%67 W · 55 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb8f…9166backed Over33c75.76$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.763056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4e67…a39bbacked Under80c75$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603154.8%17 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2978…b511backed Over42c73.9$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.97835.9%28 W · 50 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ee…878ebacked Under64c72.99$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.62356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b72…29d9backed Over61c70$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.32100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc02…ce2abacked Under76c65.79$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe665…79bbbacked Under40c62.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253943.6%17 W · 22 L-4.3wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-21.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under53c60.52$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.851,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8912…1712backed Over24c59.99$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.594151.2%21 W · 20 L+4.6wins+0.11per pick40cpaid+32.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under38c56.91$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.551,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d30…5f85backed Under57c56.12$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9916653.6%89 W · 77 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Under38c54.2$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.61,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e88…697dbacked Over61c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.56633.3%22 W · 44 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-25.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7805…1baebacked Over60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203767.6%25 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc392…595dbacked Over60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2040548.4%196 W · 209 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Under65c50$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.561253.1%325 W · 287 L-20.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6385…2afabacked Over61c49.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.183237.5%12 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2879…8a1abacked Over60c44.42$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.622441.7%10 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.