TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x144e…d596

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
84
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NBA, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 54 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4827.1%13 W · 35 L-4.7wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-32.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$87
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+525%+$420
Will France score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.75
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$197.76
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.25
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$84
Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Will Colombia vs. Ghana end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+48.1%+$65
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 0 Ecuador?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Mexico vs. Ecuador end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$22.5
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$62.7
Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+300%+$37.5
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Uruguay vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.6
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.2
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
Cricketlast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT2755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sri Lanka win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Will Bangladesh win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+70.6%+$8.28
The Hundred: Birmingham Phoenix vs Trent Rocketsbacked Trent Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
ODI Series England vs India: England vs Indiabacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$67
T20 Lanka Premier League: Colombo Kaps vs Galle Gallantsbacked Colombo Kaps · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
T20 Lanka Premier League: Dambulla Sixers vs Kandy Royalsbacked Dambulla Sixers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+125.4%+$13.27
T20 Lanka Premier League: Jaffna Kings vs Galle Gallantsbacked Jaffna Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.35
ODI Series England vs India: England vs Indiabacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$574Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$574
T20I Series Zimbabwe vs Bangladesh: Zimbabwe vs Bangladeshbacked Zimbabwe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$521Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+59.3%+$309.1
ODI Series England vs India: England vs Indiabacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+90.7%+$61.81
T20 Series England vs India: England vs Indiabacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
ODI Series Zimbabwe vs Bangladesh: Zimbabwe vs Bangladeshbacked Bangladesh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$968Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+31.2%+$301.98
ODI Series Zimbabwe vs Bangladesh: Zimbabwe vs Bangladeshbacked Bangladesh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$341Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$340.7
T20 Series England vs India: England vs Indiabacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
T20 Series Bangladesh vs. Australia: Bangladesh vs Australiabacked Bangladesh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.5
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australiabacked Bangladesh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$71.68
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australiabacked Bangladesh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+174.1%+$26.03
Will England win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$10.5
ODI Series West Indies vs Sri Lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lankabacked Sri Lanka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+53.1%+$10.4
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titansbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.3
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Punjab Kingsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$20.3
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$16
Will Bangladesh win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$81
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$71
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Gujarat Titansbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+76.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$41
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$73
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.28
All 4 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$16.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$42
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.