Will France score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8444fb816c7ad24dd4405c912451cf437cdedfa4408e5894eca94944be9aeb9

Rebuilt 20 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 19, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $677,547
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $652,813

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $677,547 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 308 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x6b88…fffbbacked Yes	0c	80,371$206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205.99	23	17.4%4 W · 19 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	23cpaid	+37.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb886…81b3backed Yes	1c	73,601$1,001 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,001.46	100	12%12 W · 88 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-46.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes	1c	47,295$301 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300.62	757	29.3%222 W · 535 L	-23.2wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	2c	41,814$781 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$780.77	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x562a…2a2cbacked Yes	0c	34,333$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.36	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-2.0wins	-0.18per pick	27cpaid	-68.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x617e…550abacked Yes	0c	28,975$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.98	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-3.1wins	-0.24per pick	55cpaid	-50.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x82a0…33a1backed Yes	1c	9,886$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.33	127	9.4%12 W · 115 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-50.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes	4c	6,445$284 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$284.04	1,067	49.1%524 W · 543 L	+7.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f58…0ff0backed Yes	0c	6,000$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	46	50%23 W · 23 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	8c	5,851$463 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$462.59	792	31.1%246 W · 546 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x262d…8efebacked Yes	9c	5,739$501 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$501	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+1.4wins	+0.27per pick	33cpaid	+95.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d9b…7db4backed Yes	8c	4,893$384 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$383.82	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa02d…07b3backed Yes	2c	4,488$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.77	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	+2.1wins	+0.13per pick	18cpaid	+23.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	5c	4,379$222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$222.05	221	25.8%57 W · 164 L	-10.0wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-47.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0404…8353backed Yes	35c	3,265$1,147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,146.9	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-1.7wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf6db…d4aabacked Yes	7c	3,235$219 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$218.6	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes	1c	3,037$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.99	1,019	31.6%322 W · 697 L	-10.2wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Yes	60c	3,009$1,811 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,811.3	315	45.4%143 W · 172 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d6f…3d1abacked Yes	6c	2,843$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-1.8wins	-0.18per pick	38cpaid	-48.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4b5b…529abacked Yes	9c	2,824$254 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$253.68	39	38.5%15 W · 24 L	+2.9wins	+0.07per pick	31cpaid	+95.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No	68c	2,770$1,884 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$885.68	1,945	42.7%831 W · 1,114 L	-11.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed Yes	7c	2,612$183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$182.55	426	40.1%171 W · 255 L	-7.9wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21c1…692cbacked Yes	20c	2,463$494 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$493.58	76	52.6%40 W · 36 L	+4.1wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x753b…89b7backed Yes	0c	2,442$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.87	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Yes	7c	2,366$166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165.84	698	26.1%182 W · 516 L	-21.7wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd91…32b8backed No	75c	2,192$1,636 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$556.21	648	50.6%328 W · 320 L	-13.5wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf70f…26dcbacked Yes	31c	2,169$670 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$670	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.10per pick	23cpaid	+351.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes	3c	2,136$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.58	609	8.4%51 W · 558 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	4c	2,055$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.65	1,686	20.6%347 W · 1,339 L	-28.4wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbd8…4027backed No	73c	2,042$1,493 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$548.26	175	58.9%103 W · 72 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	7c	1,784$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.47	779	9.6%75 W · 704 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No	56c	1,762$982 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$779.87	219	58%127 W · 92 L	+13.4wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+27.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x613a…2185backed Yes	6c	1,756$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.17	462	30.1%139 W · 323 L	-13.8wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x235e…5673backed Yes	35c	1,756$615 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$614.59	56	30.4%17 W · 39 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No	73c	1,470$1,076 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$393.19	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked No	70c	1,360$957 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$403.61	185	45.9%85 W · 100 L	+5.3wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33b6…1bccbacked Yes	3c	1,351$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-65.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No	45c	1,350$608 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$742.02	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe3ff…805cbacked Yes	7c	1,338$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	82	14.6%12 W · 70 L	-3.8wins	-0.05per pick	19cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8aac…0e7abacked Yes	1c	1,258$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.3	456	27.9%127 W · 329 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	+6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3701…1b5ebacked Yes	52c	1,251$646 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$645.62	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	+1.4wins	+0.10per pick	33cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc094…c8d4backed Yes	2c	1,241$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.04	337	29.1%98 W · 239 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed No	74c	1,171$862 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$309.74	1,135	40.2%456 W · 679 L	+5.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9559…4913backed Yes	16c	1,167$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185	40	47.5%19 W · 21 L	+2.7wins	+0.07per pick	41cpaid	+31.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4512…c4a9backed Yes	4c	1,119$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.66	36	22.2%8 W · 28 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f14…026ebacked Yes	26c	1,111$289 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$288.86	68	35.3%24 W · 44 L	+5.0wins	+0.07per pick	28cpaid	+31.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaf25…be9ebacked Yes	9c	1,100$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.5	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.9wins	+0.23per pick	27cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x47e1…95c0backed Yes	49c	1,093$536 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$536	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.6wins	-0.31per pick	51cpaid	-64.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0164…9ed6backed Yes	16c	1,063$166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165.57	197	23.4%46 W · 151 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	+23.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x094a…e4a9backed No	80c	1,061$847 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$213.84	25	60%15 W · 10 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked Yes	16c	1,050$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.64	227	49.3%112 W · 115 L	+5.8wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x27b9…90d0backed Yes	2c	1,026$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.52	163	36.2%59 W · 104 L	-4.1wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9337…a410backed No	33c	1,015$338 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$677.69	118	11.9%14 W · 104 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes	18c	982.08$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.36	550	44.7%246 W · 304 L	-27.4wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Yes	21c	973.94$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	145	28.3%41 W · 104 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes	24c	901.84$215 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$215.23	149	20.8%31 W · 118 L	-3.9wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d07…33d4backed Yes	1c	900$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.5	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-51.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2230…eef5backed Yes	6c	841.02$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	21	28.6%6 W · 15 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd55…f905backed No	63c	810.64$513 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$297.41	282	56.7%160 W · 122 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x000d…99dfbacked Yes	36c	766.55$275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$275	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x39a8…7d57backed Yes	39c	713.33$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280	41	12.2%5 W · 36 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x357c…7dfebacked Yes	1c	711.56$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	35	40%14 W · 21 L	+2.6wins	+0.07per pick	33cpaid	+46.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x166a…d7edbacked Yes	14c	710.01$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.16	29	48.3%14 W · 15 L	+1.3wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb410…7736backed No	79c	709.45$562 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$147	139	57.6%80 W · 59 L	+18.4wins	+0.13per pick	44cpaid	+26.4%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0xbf14…5d95backed Yes	8c	702.77$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.74	65	21.5%14 W · 51 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…87cfbacked Yes	25c	697.69$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177	173	40.5%70 W · 103 L	+11.1wins	+0.06per pick	34cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcfff…673dbacked No	73c	693.9$509 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$184.98	140	55.7%78 W · 62 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9a4b…03d6backed Yes	29c	690.36$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	125	45.6%57 W · 68 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc076…d987backed Yes	41c	686.47$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280.48	102	53.9%55 W · 47 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x89df…f8d0backed Yes	60c	650.4$390 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$390.24	142	45.8%65 W · 77 L	+4.4wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed No	71c	636.02$449 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$187.08	260	37.3%97 W · 163 L	-6.6wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b2a…4911backed Yes	32c	627.45$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30ee…a587backed No	71c	622.99$441 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$182.08	82	40.2%33 W · 49 L	-4.6wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x03f5…882dbacked No	35c	599.98$210 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$389.99	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-2.5wins	-0.23per pick	41cpaid	-54.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6cab…8de4backed Yes	19c	593.03$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.22	87	32.2%28 W · 59 L	-4.7wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a2d…6db9backed Yes	34c	580.45$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	81	39.5%32 W · 49 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc069…cbf1backed Yes	7c	571.29$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+1.0wins	+0.20per pick	20cpaid	+29.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e74…ec81backed Yes	18c	567.34$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	286	26.9%77 W · 209 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa8bc…fa0fbacked Yes	40c	560.72$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225.23	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-0.9wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x41e3…5f58backed Yes	9c	559.99$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x57ab…68b6backed Yes	9c	557.48$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.44	5	20%1 W · 4 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xad70…23f1backed No	74c	542.91$402 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$141.16	19	78.9%15 W · 4 L	+3.9wins	+0.20per pick	59cpaid	+30%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x81f0…0ea2backed Yes	56c	533.98$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299.9	89	60.7%54 W · 35 L	+4.7wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6dd6…5a97backed Yes	19c	524.41$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+0.6wins	+0.07per pick	18cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f1a…7a49backed Yes	38c	499.28$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	-0.9wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-12%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x476c…ce52backed No	41c	498.99$204 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$295.07	254	43.7%111 W · 143 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x008c…b77ebacked Yes	60c	497.41$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	29	79.3%23 W · 6 L	+3.9wins	+0.14per pick	66cpaid	+24.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8ab6…66e3backed Yes	17c	470.59$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	38	15.8%6 W · 32 L	-4.5wins	-0.12per pick	28cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xeb3c…ef5abacked Yes	9c	456.46$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.44	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.10per pick	23cpaid	+26.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1a6…1507backed No	76c	445.1$337 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108.59	104	44.2%46 W · 58 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+10%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc6fd…53dfbacked Yes	54c	444.17$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	454	24.7%112 W · 342 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x942e…be27backed No	69c	443.58$305 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138.72	130	60.8%79 W · 51 L	+6.0wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xca38…0b7dbacked Yes	47c	422.86$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	102	34.3%35 W · 67 L	-13.8wins	-0.14per pick	48cpaid	-41%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x764b…6badbacked No	71c	421.46$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$121.29	148	58.8%87 W · 61 L	+3.9wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x042d…0720backed Yes	31c	420.53$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.43	152	46.1%70 W · 82 L	+7.2wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc359…e8d9backed Yes	8c	407.09$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.18	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc02…f89cbacked Yes	65c	400$258 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$258.27	37	29.7%11 W · 26 L	-5.1wins	-0.14per pick	44cpaid	-46.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc03f…249dbacked No	53c	400$212 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$188	176	32.4%57 W · 119 L	-8.5wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc755…d0c4backed Yes	6c	400$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.4	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+1.3wins	+0.14per pick	41cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x04b8…9b6bbacked Yes	16c	400$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	+1.5wins	+0.09per pick	15cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will France score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event