TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Germany score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$46,998
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$38,029

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,998 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes17c6,271$1,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,082.4414920.8%31 W · 118 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-34.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9337…a410backed Yes10c3,882$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.2911811.9%14 W · 104 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-40.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes12c2,171$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.8832629.1%95 W · 231 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa3e9…63d0backed No78c1,500$1,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.55561.8%34 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2936…7be9backed No69c1,304$894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.979516.8%16 W · 79 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-28.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Yes29c1,259$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36314715.6%23 W · 124 L-0.3wins0.00per pick16cpaid+19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes4c1,200$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486098.4%51 W · 558 L+0.2wins0.00per pick8cpaid+16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f14…026ebacked Yes26c1,111$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.866835.3%24 W · 44 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+31.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2374…a426backed Yes16c1,108$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.5210448.1%50 W · 54 L+8.3wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Yes22c1,103$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.7231545.4%143 W · 172 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30ee…a587backed Yes35c1,100$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3858240.2%33 W · 49 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x69b9…1284backed Yes12c991.66$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick62cpaid+21.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9219…d304backed Yes13c984.33$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.136235.5%22 W · 40 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-24.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes36c974.45$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.4726330%79 W · 184 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick25cpaid+0.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x042d…0720backed Yes33c949.98$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.4915246.1%70 W · 82 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb229…8e56backed No72c930.63$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.583517.1%6 W · 29 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-28.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes5c919.46$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.077799.6%75 W · 704 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-44.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fbc…30a4backed Yes10c794.68$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.766720.9%14 W · 53 L+0.3wins0.00per pick20cpaid-26.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8bc…fa0fbacked Yes17c653.05$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.09100%0 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf133…928dbacked Yes15c483.64$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.874839.6%19 W · 29 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac36…08dabacked Yes22c449.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-44%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes12c430.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.4879231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No78c430.32$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.592,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb410…7736backed No67c429.08$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.613957.6%80 W · 59 L+18.4wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+26.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x4ace…98e6backed Yes28c421.9$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202630.8%8 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-40.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x186c…11cebacked Yes19c420$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.54425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick14cpaid+70.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dd6…5a97backed Yes27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100825%2 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick18cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes22c368.18$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8141231.6%130 W · 282 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5555…823bbacked No78c366.68$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.675064%32 W · 18 L+6.1wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+45.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb0d6…7475backed No78c341.84$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.6437644.9%169 W · 207 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd91…32b8backed No78c319.28$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.4264850.6%328 W · 320 L-13.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes28c296.38$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.9930241.4%125 W · 177 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Yes14c277.58$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.552,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9ac…c5d1backed No73c274.24$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.0424539.6%97 W · 148 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes29c272.12$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.671,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7dc9…525ebacked Yes10c261.62$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0211611.2%13 W · 103 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-66.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x04a0…1e79backed Yes14c254.89$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351060%6 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+15%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9b5…9db1backed No74c247.69$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.7519939.7%79 W · 120 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4435…786fbacked No67c240.9$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.6712847.7%61 W · 67 L+0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf69…dd01backed Yes25c238.25$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606233.9%21 W · 41 L-7.8wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-19.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xab2d…b1aabacked No66c224.9$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.4716540.6%67 W · 98 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-23.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f99…6734backed Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011636.2%42 W · 74 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc0eb…6d57backed No79c200$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424862.5%30 W · 18 L+4.7wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+45.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0255…4eb0backed Yes22c200$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.7612263.9%78 W · 44 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb3…1367backed Yes18c175.25$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3714839.2%58 W · 90 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x476c…ce52backed No65c173.53$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6125443.7%111 W · 143 L+0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12bf…314ebacked Yes27c170.83$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.16944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+55.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Yes16c168.15$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1692038.5%354 W · 566 L-21.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x823c…d828backed Yes15c166.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-55.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee03…6edbbacked No80c156.29$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.2916854.8%92 W · 76 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6183…c0a9backed Yes16c156.25$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2530%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes13c150.68$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.132937.5%22 W · 271 L-13.2wins-0.05per pick12cpaid-53.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x360e…f2f3backed Yes14c142.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202025%5 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-40.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x269c…d005backed No71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.853348.5%16 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5159…03cebacked Yes15c133.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202025%5 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb31b…b140backed No72c123.9$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.2422243.7%97 W · 125 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf08f…8840backed Yes26c122.39$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321020%2 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-34.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes29c121.74$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351,01931.6%322 W · 697 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes27c120.54$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.831,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefab…258ebacked Yes30c115.32$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352941.4%12 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+21.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe933…6c3fbacked No78c114.73$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89b5…ab4cbacked Yes27c111.58$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302227.3%6 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-43.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa67f…e165backed Yes26c103.44$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.261457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+22.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked No67c100.1$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.0348636.6%178 W · 308 L-48.4wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-32.9%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0xb5e0…2b19backed No79c100$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214100%4 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x604e…f1cdbacked Yes13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134257.1%24 W · 18 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1176445.9%351 W · 413 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3912…c081backed Yes26c99.99$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267736.4%28 W · 49 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d92…0aaabacked Yes32c94.44$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306443.8%28 W · 36 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x291b…34bebacked Yes21c93.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010743.9%47 W · 60 L+11.2wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+38.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7e92…395abacked Yes28c89.29$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255520%11 W · 44 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-30.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x288c…c9cabacked Yes35c86.68$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-56.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x570a…e1f0backed Yes23c85.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201723.5%4 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e14…7c43backed Yes16c82.47$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.24337.2%16 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-14.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x077c…8b1fbacked No76c80$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.621749.8%108 W · 109 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaee8…1154backed Yes30c80$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.613437.3%50 W · 84 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb099…3560backed Yes20c76.34$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154211.9%5 W · 37 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-55.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes22c75.4$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.842,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x5901…9456backed Yes14c74.04$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+32.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5afc…2995backed Yes20c70.07$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.187935.4%28 W · 51 L-0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid+13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4068…f40cbacked Yes29c68$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204030%12 W · 28 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick32cpaid+22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93a0…74debacked Yes38c63.89$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.287215.3%11 W · 61 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-35.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfa4e…5973backed Yes35c57.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204052.5%21 W · 19 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf0e…c02bbacked Yes24c52$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4816333.7%55 W · 108 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-29.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9495…468fbacked Yes24c52$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4819445.4%88 W · 106 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1237…06afbacked No74c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138041.3%33 W · 47 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x090a…0fa6backed No74c46.8$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.3317953.6%96 W · 83 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57c8…1aa5backed Yes27c45.25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123321.2%7 W · 26 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-50.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x98a4…3c7abacked Yes31c41.59$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-37.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7250…50d3backed No73c41.1$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.11050%5 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+38%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x271b…16d8backed No69c28.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.992254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd47…805abacked No77c25.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.97633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-57.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc76…5f55backed No69c22$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.82520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-71%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5425…ee29backed No77c19.48$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.481060%6 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No73c19.07$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.1566239.6%262 W · 400 L-48.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-25.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.