Cricket · resolved market
Will Sri Lanka win?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x622d36d69b80a515627acfcb248dbdc5d27d13f6df8ebc843a6883c6799424cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $93,343
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $81,661
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,343 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Yes | 2c | 19,374$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.77 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb19…e7a3backed Yes | 1c | 12,370$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.32 | 187 | 13.4%25 W · 162 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee1…9801backed Yes | 2c | 6,389$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.67 | 132 | 27.3%36 W · 96 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44b3…28a1backed Yes | 1c | 4,893$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.28 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +35%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2de…e4bdbacked Yes | 1c | 3,618$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8d…30a5backed Yes | 10c | 2,336$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.18 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dca…c48dbacked Yes | 6c | 2,225$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.6 | 299 | 32.4%97 W · 202 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked Yes | 5c | 2,020$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.98 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | -7.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Yes | 40c | 2,000$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.83 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fff…9b0abacked Yes | 8c | 2,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 40 | 10%4 W · 36 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Yes | 2c | 1,546$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.47 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9065…3275backed Yes | 3c | 1,443$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.07 | 127 | 59.1%75 W · 52 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f2…2cb0backed Yes | 9c | 1,142$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 129 | 48.8%63 W · 66 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed Yes | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 159 | 40.9%65 W · 94 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…dc20backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3483…4637backed Yes | 3c | 905.91$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.86 | 85 | 27.1%23 W · 62 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd8…c789backed Yes | 5c | 880$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bbc…90d5backed Yes | 13c | 823$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.99 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 27c | 668.67$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.13 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe41d…8797backed Yes | 4c | 573.32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.52 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…11fdbacked Yes | 2c | 551.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe153…d9e8backed Yes | 5c | 488.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x290d…dc40backed Yes | 7c | 431.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f96…fdc5backed Yes | 13c | 398.66$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.78 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +102.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 6c | 361.23$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.87 | 58 | 24.1%14 W · 44 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x287d…f29ebacked Yes | 5c | 339.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 67 | 29.9%20 W · 47 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Yes | 23c | 315.84$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.06 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ab…3c32backed Yes | 24c | 211.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 99 | 56.6%56 W · 43 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5e…fecfbacked Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 15c | 190.5$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.97 | 456 | 47.6%217 W · 239 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a69…8caabacked Yes | 11c | 150.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd294…7065backed Yes | 17c | 149.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed No | 74c | 86.27$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.59 | 196 | 54.1%106 W · 90 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes | 17c | 83.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 16c | 82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 318 | 39.9%127 W · 191 L | -14.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 77c | 76.66$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.52 | 258 | 48.4%125 W · 133 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde36…f41cbacked Yes | 16c | 75.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x472e…5425backed Yes | 24c | 63.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ae…2ff5backed Yes | 30c | 50.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x144e…d596backed Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked No | 72c | 36.31$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.19 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a0e…cdedbacked No | 78c | 30.43$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.59 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 62cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 77c | 20.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sri Lanka win?this page
- Will India win?Yes won
- Will the match end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.