Cricket · resolved market
Will the match end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x068164f017b01922703a5c1c7611cfd4df92d945c982e7940641a881f4e55fb8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,456
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,920
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,456 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Yes | 9c | 10,665$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.23 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf598…5973backed Yes | 7c | 3,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x290d…dc40backed Yes | 35c | 2,799$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 25c | 2,709$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.36 | 109 | 63.3%69 W · 40 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Yes | 4c | 2,259$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.24 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Yes | 68c | 2,000$1,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,356.98 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Yes | 11c | 1,181$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.08 | 287 | 49.5%142 W · 145 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 27c | 1,138$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.87 | 496 | 47%233 W · 263 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd8…c789backed Yes | 13c | 700$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked No | 75c | 671.28$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.3 | 573 | 37.3%214 W · 359 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 70c | 660.25$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.34 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dca…c48dbacked Yes | 21c | 593.21$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.44 | 299 | 32.4%97 W · 202 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed Yes | 31c | 546.62$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.94 | 159 | 40.9%65 W · 94 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 68c | 514.07$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.75 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d3…5b5ebacked Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8d…30a5backed Yes | 18c | 441.06$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.28 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 79c | 406.09$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.9 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…bc04backed No | 76c | 399.98$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.99 | 202 | 62.9%127 W · 75 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f96…fdc5backed Yes | 11c | 336.93$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.82 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +102.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8373…f0bcbacked No | 56c | 311.6$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.32 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e28…07c3backed Yes | 20c | 310.41$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.58 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ccc…653fbacked Yes | 43c | 304.85$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.3 | 92 | 62%57 W · 35 L | +8.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 50c | 278.75$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.84 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a7b…32a6backed Yes | 54c | 245.86$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.09 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04a…7cffbacked Yes | 46c | 241.36$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.03 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3483…4637backed Yes | 4c | 240$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 85 | 27.1%23 W · 62 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b6…1fdabacked Yes | 23c | 214.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…efaebacked No | 27c | 198.67$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5e…fecfbacked Yes | 25c | 179.85$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.96 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…1a13backed Yes | 26c | 177.04$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.87 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ceb…609dbacked Yes | 18c | 169$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 76c | 161.94$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.56 | 262 | 48.1%126 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked No | 27c | 160.63$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.26 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x73d5…74c8backed Yes | 26c | 156$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.56 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf17d…6f86backed No | 79c | 154$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf361…08f6backed Yes | 18c | 150$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 21c | 129.79$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.41 | 461 | 47.7%220 W · 241 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x940c…b266backed Yes | 10c | 115.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed No | 27c | 115.3$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.17 | 199 | 53.8%107 W · 92 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e49…54f6backed Yes | 23c | 108.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc622…8f86backed No | 68c | 108$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.56 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Yes | 28c | 104.64$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.27 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc554…efffbacked No | 53c | 94.3$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.3 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes | 16c | 92.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 38c | 88.28$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -6.6wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0b…e2a3backed Yes | 27c | 73.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 141 | 22.7%32 W · 109 L | -13.6wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked No | 79c | 69.07$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.39 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f6…0e74backed No | 60c | 66.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a69…8caabacked Yes | 23c | 63.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2929…9266backed Yes | 40c | 60.68$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ae…2ff5backed Yes | 29c | 52.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad1…b4c5backed Yes | 25c | 49.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf5…3ea3backed Yes | 50c | 37.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.61 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 78c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 325 | 40.9%133 W · 192 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed No | 76c | 33.96$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.15 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +209.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde36…f41cbacked Yes | 65c | 31.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfed8…9dd0backed Yes | 48c | 30.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 115 | 24.3%28 W · 87 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked No | 78c | 28.03$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b23…7193backed Yes | 42c | 26.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 77c | 23.7$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fed…a1f9backed No | 78c | 23.11$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a7…3172backed No | 75c | 15.37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.79 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the match end in a draw?this page
- Will India win?Yes won
- Will Sri Lanka win?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.