TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x73d5…74c8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
111
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 56 out of 100; worst MLB at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT5358.5%31 W · 22 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$975Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+145.6%+$1,419.3
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.4
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$995Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$995.4
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+115.8%+$161
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$201.25
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$418Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$418.22
Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$39
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$50
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.65
Will Spain reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$56
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$501Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+34.8%+$174.25
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+28.6%+$57.85
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.11
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+100%+$102
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$527Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$283.5
Mexico vs. England: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+124.7%+$31.18
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$153.92
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$142
Will France reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$35.7
Will Canada reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$19
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$284Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+86.4%+$245.7
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
Cricketlast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT2458.3%14 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the match end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.56
Will Bangladesh win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+55.2%+$21.33
Will Australia win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.59
ODI Series England vs India: England vs Indiabacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$394Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+55.2%+$217.19
ODI Series England vs India: England vs Indiabacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.87
ODI Series England vs India: England vs Indiabacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$31
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs Australiabacked Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$351Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+42.5%+$149
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs South Africabacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+62.2%+$72.75
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs Indiabacked Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$58.58
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs New Zealandbacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+37%+$27
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: South Africa vs Indiabacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.6
T20 Series Bangladesh vs. Australia: Bangladesh vs Australiabacked Bangladesh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.02
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australiabacked Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+72.1%+$36.06
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
T20 World Cup: England vs Indiabacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+49.3%+$10.34
T20 World Cup: India vs West Indiesbacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+44.9%+$9.3
T20 World Cup: West Indies vs South Africabacked South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+44.9%+$6.74
T20 World Cup: Sri Lanka vs New Zealandbacked New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+61.1%+$8.55
T20 World Cup: India vs South Africabacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$50.25
Women's Cricket World Cup Final Stage: India vs South Africa (Game Final)backed India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+35.4%+$14.8
Australia T20 Series: Australia vs India (Nov 2)backed India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+78.6%+$15.71
ICC World Test Championship: Australia vs. South Africabacked Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.84
Punjab Kings vs. Royal Challengers Bangalorebacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$121.89
Mumbai Indians vs. Punjab Kingsbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 24 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick63cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+31%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+17.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+56.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.93
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.