TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Boston Red Sox vs. Athletics

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Boston Red Soxof Boston Red Sox, Athletics
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$698,402
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$720,814

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $698,402 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 384 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5e94…5ba1backed Athletics37c175,675$65,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64,999.6246949%230 W · 239 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Boston Red Sox63c91,950$57,931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,019.124,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Boston Red Sox63c77,460$49,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,424.311,38549.5%685 W · 700 L-4.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b20…3ab0backed Athletics37c50,000$18,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,5005851.7%30 W · 28 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8bfe…2d74backed Boston Red Sox64c42,500$27,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,125.12365.2%15 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Boston Red Sox79c41,653$33,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,611.6610,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Athletics22c39,704$8,921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,921.472,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Athletics35c28,215$9,875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,875.2785645.3%388 W · 468 L+18.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+36.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Athletics28c24,822$6,882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,881.9811,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Athletics22c24,449$5,482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,482.368,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x335d…8c00backed Athletics17c18,489$3,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,100.962962.1%18 W · 11 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Boston Red Sox63c17,505$11,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,476.8571650.7%363 W · 353 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59f4…c1f1backed Athletics15c16,129$2,419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,419.397243.1%31 W · 41 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Athletics10c16,044$1,593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,593.2798149.9%490 W · 491 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Boston Red Sox51c16,001$8,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,792.736666.7%44 W · 22 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+6.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x50d0…a6fcbacked Boston Red Sox63c15,778$9,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,837.783354.5%18 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Athletics24c15,039$3,635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,635.4648952.8%258 W · 231 L+16.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Athletics36c12,635$4,568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,567.7526056.5%147 W · 113 L+13.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf668…5c69backed Boston Red Sox63c10,423$6,566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,856.455276.9%40 W · 12 L+11.8wins+0.23per pick54cpaid+45.6%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Boston Red Sox65c10,408$6,784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,623.9895045.2%429 W · 521 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Boston Red Sox63c9,951$6,247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,704.143,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc31…971fbacked Boston Red Sox53c8,850$4,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,199.532850.3%165 W · 163 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed Athletics51c8,776$4,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,471.927651.3%39 W · 37 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Athletics36c7,335$2,666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,666.36,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Boston Red Sox62c6,500$4,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,469.9523357.9%135 W · 98 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Boston Red Sox65c5,410$3,512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,897.611,06348.2%512 W · 551 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Boston Red Sox59c4,176$2,457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,719.028,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Athletics37c4,000$1,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4805,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec37…85bdbacked Athletics6c3,808$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.349831.6%31 W · 67 L-13.1wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-33.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x04e6…3914backed Athletics56c3,778$2,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,115.589766%64 W · 33 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Boston Red Sox72c3,751$2,693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,057.9934756.5%196 W · 151 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cbb…f8a3backed Boston Red Sox55c3,582$1,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,611.8230242.4%128 W · 174 L-1.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x613b…823abacked Athletics11c3,272$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.9216053.1%85 W · 75 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Athletics37c3,235$1,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,182.912,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Boston Red Sox63c3,180$2,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,176.669453.6%372 W · 322 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09c6…291ebacked Boston Red Sox63c3,048$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,127.62548%12 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x98d0…f14abacked Boston Red Sox63c2,702$1,702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.7419951.8%103 W · 96 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Athletics37c2,472$915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$914.6473748.4%357 W · 380 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6451…b57abacked Athletics38c2,264$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$869.8814841.2%61 W · 87 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Athletics36c2,220$799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.21,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x816b…d69dbacked Athletics54c2,135$1,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,142.511759%69 W · 48 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Boston Red Sox63c2,062$1,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$762.9492054%497 W · 423 L+23.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c0c…7c83backed Boston Red Sox63c2,000$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7403545.7%16 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10e0…c736backed Boston Red Sox54c1,952$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901.8517951.4%92 W · 87 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed Athletics28c1,949$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.391,77749.5%880 W · 897 L+25.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f82…9ae1backed Boston Red Sox50c1,907$954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$953.622948.9%112 W · 117 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61f1…7aefbacked Boston Red Sox63c1,905$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$704.7639953.6%214 W · 185 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3453…8524backed Boston Red Sox63c1,905$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$704.7638551.4%198 W · 187 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Athletics53c1,898$1,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,005.581,07558.3%627 W · 448 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b15…fa73backed Boston Red Sox53c1,893$1,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$880.9533864.2%217 W · 121 L+23.1wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+11.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3082…9b55backed Athletics54c1,850$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9991650%8 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09af…9728backed Boston Red Sox64c1,797$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$646.8889153.5%477 W · 414 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9015…281fbacked Athletics50c1,551$776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$775.54153.7%22 W · 19 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f76…dcc9backed Boston Red Sox71c1,368$976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.1485148.5%413 W · 438 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed Athletics34c1,354$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.062,14439.6%849 W · 1,295 L+0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa73a…656abacked Boston Red Sox63c1,344$847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.2857758.1%335 W · 242 L+28.5wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Boston Red Sox49c1,340$661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.088,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Athletics32c1,301$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.743,45751.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L+108.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Athletics57c1,285$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$729.644,03557.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L+72.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Athletics36c1,283$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.954,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7e8…5c8cbacked Boston Red Sox61c1,267$769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.3811057.3%63 W · 47 L+6.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4159…beedbacked Athletics49c1,245$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.271442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x74ab…ee2bbacked Athletics56c1,232$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$690540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-38.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed Athletics13c1,180$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.54839.6%19 W · 29 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x685d…22d6backed Boston Red Sox63c1,167$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.7911547%54 W · 61 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Athletics20c1,051$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.995,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Athletics38c1,024$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.122,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64ef…befcbacked Athletics37c1,000$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37029046.6%135 W · 155 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Boston Red Sox58c958.93$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.424,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Athletics37c934.26$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.6851547%242 W · 273 L+1.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed Athletics50c845$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.8980159.2%474 W · 327 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2a…9c0abacked Boston Red Sox63c809.6$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.551656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84b1…51b8backed Athletics18c800$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1462540%10 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Boston Red Sox63c793.65$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.653357.6%19 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa577…91e3backed Boston Red Sox63c793.65$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.655855.2%32 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7c2…63d8backed Boston Red Sox64c760$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.65955.9%33 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Boston Red Sox78c757.82$591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.5879442.4%337 W · 457 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed Athletics52c750.31$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.048648.8%42 W · 44 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c9b…b6d3backed Boston Red Sox63c731.59$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Boston Red Sox63c700$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2591,29151%658 W · 633 L-15.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Boston Red Sox79c700$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1471,79643.8%786 W · 1,010 L-33.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Boston Red Sox56c679.25$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.3497944.4%435 W · 544 L-22.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x87af…c990backed Athletics38c657.89$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25032742.2%138 W · 189 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b57…de6bbacked Athletics14c649.93$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.9914050.7%71 W · 69 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ea6…9223backed Athletics2c646.69$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.961233.3%4 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69b0…293fbacked Boston Red Sox62c645.16$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.162450%12 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe292…84b8backed Athletics37c644.98$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.791,40243.1%604 W · 798 L+4.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Athletics39c621.33$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.321,83650.8%932 W · 904 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab4a…823abacked Boston Red Sox60c600$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick61cpaid+30.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x307a…d612backed Boston Red Sox62c600$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2281866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Athletics37c585$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.451,55548.9%761 W · 794 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd25…a624backed Boston Red Sox55c550$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.57060%42 W · 28 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Boston Red Sox56c545.67$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.7434139.9%136 W · 205 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Boston Red Sox61c511.53$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.2655645.3%252 W · 304 L-17.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ab7…6978backed Boston Red Sox48c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26014643.2%63 W · 83 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Athletics9c500$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4536729.4%108 W · 259 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a8c…1991backed Boston Red Sox55c500$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2277456.8%42 W · 32 L+5.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xae81…f04bbacked Boston Red Sox61c499.77$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.7737857.4%217 W · 161 L+1.6wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Athletics38c496.5$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.6748339.8%192 W · 291 L+2.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Athletics38c454.15$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.8495252.9%504 W · 448 L+17.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.