MLB · resolved market
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9224301b48a82748040fb52223c0ea79776c202056a6e2658d7ac6387cd0fdd3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Boston Red Soxof Boston Red Sox, Athletics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,623
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,823
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,623 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Athletics | 47c | 33,982$15,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,985.97 | 4,368 | 47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L | -79.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Boston Red Sox | 53c | 16,171$8,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,653.77 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Boston Red Sox | 53c | 12,462$6,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,919.06 | 1,884 | 53%998 W · 886 L | +16.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Boston Red Sox | 53c | 11,640$6,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,470.91 | 1,414 | 49.5%700 W · 714 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Athletics | 48c | 6,370$3,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,050.15 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Athletics | 48c | 4,444$2,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,110.9 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Boston Red Sox | 53c | 4,423$2,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,079 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 2,523$1,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,126.46 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c98…f4f4backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Boston Red Sox | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.79 | 1,215 | 40.5%492 W · 723 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Athletics | 48c | 1,667$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.16 | 1,922 | 53.4%1,027 W · 895 L | +28.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb638…20b0backed Athletics | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -6.7wins | -0.35per pick | 51cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Athletics | 46c | 1,037$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.49 | 2,093 | 51.1%1,070 W · 1,023 L | +44.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Athletics | 53c | 929.09$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.99 | 3,041 | 48%1,461 W · 1,580 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Athletics | 27c | 881.94$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Athletics | 49c | 746.02$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.61 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Athletics | 49c | 603$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.47 | 736 | 50.7%373 W · 363 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Athletics | 47c | 510$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.7 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Athletics | 49c | 486.94$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.71 | 965 | 53%511 W · 454 L | +18.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Athletics | 48c | 457.77$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.96 | 260 | 56.5%147 W · 113 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2000…df78backed Boston Red Sox | 35c | 364.72$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.07 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Boston Red Sox | 55c | 315.64$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.04 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Boston Red Sox | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 592 | 52.7%312 W · 280 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Athletics | 50c | 299$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.5 | 1,845 | 50.7%936 W · 909 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Athletics | 50c | 295.48$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.74 | 399 | 53.6%214 W · 185 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Athletics | 50c | 295.48$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.74 | 390 | 51.5%201 W · 189 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Athletics | 51c | 215.7$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.01 | 3,841 | 42.2%1,622 W · 2,219 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35fa…2bd4backed Boston Red Sox | 50c | 210.7$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.36 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13ce…35f0backed Boston Red Sox | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 157 | 57.3%90 W · 67 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Athletics | 48c | 189.99$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.74 | 2,413 | 49.9%1,205 W · 1,208 L | +22.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff0…2fbabacked Boston Red Sox | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Athletics | 19c | 178$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.76 | 4,405 | 44.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L | +80.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Boston Red Sox | 50c | 163.19$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.6 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Boston Red Sox | 52c | 142.78$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.53 | 370 | 52.2%193 W · 177 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Athletics | 30c | 141.11$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Athletics | 49c | 136$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.64 | 2,329 | 49.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L | +41.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7a…f252backed Athletics | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Boston Red Sox | 59c | 103.6$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.24 | 1,939 | 41.2%799 W · 1,140 L | -30.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1d…f2dfbacked Athletics | 17c | 100.54$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd439…21d3backed Athletics | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 448 | 45.8%205 W · 243 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa23c…ae92backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 167 | 51.5%86 W · 81 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Athletics | 25c | 93.16$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.51 | 548 | 15.9%87 W · 461 L | -41.1wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ede…e99cbacked Boston Red Sox | 53c | 90.57$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.57 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Boston Red Sox | 70c | 87.83$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.93 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a3…d760backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 87.02$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.02 | 246 | 44.7%110 W · 136 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12de…bb0fbacked Boston Red Sox | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Athletics | 19c | 76.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 68.63$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.63 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Boston Red Sox | 56c | 65.91$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.33 | 570 | 58.4%333 W · 237 L | +27.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Athletics | 48c | 62.64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.07 | 1,848 | 49.6%917 W · 931 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 546 | 54.9%300 W · 246 L | +12.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cf…0e95backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 55.4$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.15 | 145 | 45.5%66 W · 79 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Athletics | 49c | 49.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.17 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecb…87ddbacked Boston Red Sox | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Athletics | 32c | 45.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 2,172 | 39.9%866 W · 1,306 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…9dc2backed Boston Red Sox | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Athletics | 50c | 40.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 2,995 | 47.9%1,435 W · 1,560 L | +12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a10…2a2ebacked Athletics | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84e…b520backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 38.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -5.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a47…3b21backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 37.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.38 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Boston Red Sox | 52c | 33.88$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.26 | 428 | 49.1%210 W · 218 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Athletics | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Athletics | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 348 | 46.8%163 W · 185 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b16…1290backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 27.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Boston Red Sox | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Athletics | 50c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 792 | 47.5%376 W · 416 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38ef…8800backed Athletics | 47c | 26.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 425 | 48.2%205 W · 220 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Athletics | 41c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 1,819 | 49.3%896 W · 923 L | -24.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…18a2backed Boston Red Sox | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Boston Red Sox | 74c | 23.95$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 21.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 554 | 48.2%267 W · 287 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Boston Red Sox | 53c | 21.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 1,212 | 50%606 W · 606 L | +5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x914a…9642backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | -8.9wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)this page
- Boston Red Sox vs. AthleticsBoston Red Sox won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Athletics: O/U 4.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Athletics: O/U 5.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Athletics: O/U 6.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Athletics: O/U 7.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Athletics: O/U 8.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Athletics (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Athletics (-2.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5)Athletics won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Boston Red Sox vs. AthleticsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.