MLB · resolved market
Boston Red Sox vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbfcf93d7f2cb5d878ebe68cb01815139c305896929da7e3ee0e55cd3654d4f29
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $255,097
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $255,012
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $255,097 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b20…3ab0backed Under | 50c | 124,346$61,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62,566.37 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…dcd2backed Over | 50c | 77,141$38,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,717.1 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +9.9wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Under | 49c | 35,000$17,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,749.98 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 49c | 31,860$15,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,770.05 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…71bdbacked Over | 50c | 24,398$12,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,199 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +8.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04e6…3914backed Under | 53c | 20,844$11,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,796.49 | 97 | 66%64 W · 33 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 51c | 15,702$7,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,937.92 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 50c | 9,069$4,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,534.54 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09b5…7e72backed Over | 50c | 8,523$4,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,261.54 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Over | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 50c | 4,276$2,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,138.25 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 50c | 3,280$1,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,649.42 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Over | 49c | 3,000$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Under | 50c | 2,300$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Over | 50c | 2,250$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 49c | 2,222$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,144.33 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb638…20b0backed Over | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -6.7wins | -0.35per pick | 51cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 50c | 2,111$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.5 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Over | 50c | 2,041$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.41 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 43c | 1,778$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.75 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 50c | 1,374$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.42 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4940…8204backed Over | 51c | 1,250$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.5 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 70cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 50c | 1,024$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Over | 50c | 800$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 50c | 780$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.84 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Over | 43c | 700.12$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.03 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 57c | 700$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Over | 43c | 613.79$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.93 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed Over | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 326 | 52.5%171 W · 155 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 49c | 449$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 49c | 435.6$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.7 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 50c | 386$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.54 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 51c | 386$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.68 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 50c | 350.59$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.58 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 50c | 340.92$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.22 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 58c | 280$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.6 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 49c | 276$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.24 | 546 | 42.5%232 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ff…f058backed Under | 75c | 213.67$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.47 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Under | 50c | 210$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 318 | 44%140 W · 178 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 51c | 199.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Under | 50c | 199.46$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.73 | 442 | 45.5%201 W · 241 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 36c | 189.66$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.46 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Under | 51c | 183.67$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Over | 45c | 169.58$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 556 | 45.3%252 W · 304 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 51c | 162.12$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.62 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Under | 51c | 156.88$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.87 | 461 | 52.1%240 W · 221 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 52c | 151.79$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.93 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Under | 50c | 151$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.5 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Under | 51c | 145.86$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.47 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 50c | 133.38$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.69 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 51c | 122.91$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.68 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 51c | 120$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Under | 51c | 119.12$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.61 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Under | 51c | 111.74$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.75 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Over | 46c | 110.87$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 546 | 51.3%280 W · 266 L | +29.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 48c | 104.61$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.7 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35fa…2bd4backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Under | 51c | 98.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.4 | 536 | 55.8%299 W · 237 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c80…e19bbacked Under | 51c | 98.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.4 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…362ebacked Under | 50c | 97.32$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.66 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Under | 51c | 95.56$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.82 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x202b…bd32backed Over | 52c | 92.87$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.29 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 50c | 77.38$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.69 | 527 | 50.1%264 W · 263 L | +19.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Under | 51c | 75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 49c | 69.27$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.98 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Over | 45c | 67.92$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.79 | 165 | 39.4%65 W · 100 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 30c | 65.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa822…9459backed Over | 46c | 64.76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 43c | 61$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.05 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Over | 49c | 56.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 50c | 53.28$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.64 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed Under | 51c | 49.2$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.19 | 462 | 55.8%258 W · 204 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked Under | 51c | 48.41$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 285 | 53%151 W · 134 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 47c | 47.91$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.63 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Under | 51c | 46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.54 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked Under | 51c | 46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.54 | 279 | 52%145 W · 134 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa96b…7d92backed Over | 52c | 42.31$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 190 | 41.1%78 W · 112 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0df0…1376backed Under | 51c | 39.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.03 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Over | 51c | 37.44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 50c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb3…b370backed Over | 52c | 33.55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 195 | 55.9%109 W · 86 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x847e…cc57backed Under | 66c | 32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.74 | 135 | 54.8%74 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Under | 51c | 30.8$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.99 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fef…7462backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcb…65fcbacked Under | 50c | 27.43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 73c | 25.65$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99d4…7c0dbacked Under | 50c | 24.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 289 | 48.1%139 W · 150 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Over | 50c | 23.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 348 | 46.8%163 W · 185 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dae…7199backed Under | 49c | 21.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.12 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c27…6390backed Over | 51c | 20.55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.27per pick | 50cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 267 | 47.9%128 W · 139 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a96…b382backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 396 | 52.8%209 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9b…7a9fbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | -10.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Under | 50c | 19.98$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.92 | 404 | 47.8%193 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Boston Red Sox vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5this page
- Boston Red Sox vs. AthleticsBoston Red Sox won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Athletics: O/U 4.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Athletics: O/U 5.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Athletics: O/U 6.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Athletics: O/U 7.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Athletics: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Athletics (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Athletics (-2.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5)Athletics won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Boston Red Sox vs. AthleticsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.