TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Baltimore Orioles vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$58,257
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$57,492

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,257 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over63c13,709$8,615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,094.314,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Under60c3,300$1,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,98023357.9%135 W · 98 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2a0…b16bbacked Under26c2,806$719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$718.919643.8%42 W · 54 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under33c2,794$914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$913.842,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78cc…a081backed Under60c2,632$1,579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5796446.9%30 W · 34 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0df…5974backed Under60c2,500$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50022257.2%127 W · 95 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Under61c2,458$1,495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,494.6220455.9%114 W · 90 L+0.5wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over39c2,419$942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,477.374,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over40c2,090$843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,246.436,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under37c1,714$629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$628.524,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over40c1,439$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8615,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over68c1,274$861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.5777752.1%405 W · 372 L+36.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9621…0a73backed Under59c1,271$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75018658.6%109 W · 77 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Under60c1,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60011655.2%64 W · 52 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-8.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd52…aa25backed Under59c847.46$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50028152%146 W · 135 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over40c824$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.712,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2972…3f29backed Under60c815$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4897950.6%40 W · 39 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Under60c795$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4771,85153.1%982 W · 869 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under69c760.87$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5253,20851.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L+146.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Over46c729$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.669165.9%60 W · 31 L+11.1wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+20.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over30c700$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4901,79643.8%786 W · 1,010 L-33.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2afc…23c9backed Under59c661.31$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.173145.2%14 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x584f…54b9backed Over41c607.63$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.518741.2%77 W · 110 L-11.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-15.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over40c585$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3511,55548.9%761 W · 794 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under42c581.34$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.3111,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under51c550.16$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.4410,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6d0…712dbacked Under59c510$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.99950.5%50 W · 49 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69b0…293fbacked Under59c508.47$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002450%12 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over45c464.11$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.169,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under68c456.34$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.248,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc72…2888backed Under25c435.76$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.9412924.8%32 W · 97 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+2.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc22e…eab8backed Over40c375$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22548851.6%252 W · 236 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a49…651abacked Under60c350$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21023052.6%121 W · 109 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07ea…f3a4backed Under59c338.98$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005754.4%31 W · 26 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Under30c335.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.721,87940.6%763 W · 1,116 L-39.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed Over41c303.79$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.341,77749.5%880 W · 897 L+25.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe94c…944dbacked Under59c300$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1773655.6%20 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over44c250.02$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.013,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a3d…9351backed Under60c250$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1508256.1%46 W · 36 L-0.3wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa845…6b8fbacked Under60c250$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1508351.8%43 W · 40 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x212b…0ba5backed Over40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15053655.8%299 W · 237 L+22.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over36c216.69$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.6812,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6cdf…58e1backed Over40c187.5$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.546255.8%258 W · 204 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee8a…69acbacked Under59c177.97$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10514655.5%81 W · 65 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ad8…5004backed Under60c177.26$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.7118855.3%104 W · 84 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e4e…8413backed Under60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over41c162$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.582,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over73c152.89$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.838,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc670…b781backed Over40c151.1$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.665149%25 W · 26 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Over44c138$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.2854642.5%232 W · 314 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0477…631cbacked Under61c131.15$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8017155.6%95 W · 76 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc9e…5a9ebacked Under61c131.15$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8034255.3%189 W · 153 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d23…251cbacked Under75c131.07$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.311751.3%60 W · 57 L+0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Over41c130$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.71,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb176…fcb2backed Under59c127.12$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa422…d210backed Under59c127.12$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7512555.2%69 W · 56 L+0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c80…e19bbacked Over40c125$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7522450%112 W · 112 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b46…fd16backed Under60c116.67$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706556.9%37 W · 28 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c1e…befebacked Over40c112.5$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.528553%151 W · 134 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28e8…6080backed Over40c112.24$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.3447350.7%240 W · 233 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Over43c109.01$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.761,20653.7%648 W · 558 L+29.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Over40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6054146.8%253 W · 288 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over64c90.32$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.85,78643.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L-192.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c3e…d412backed Under60c83.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017557.1%100 W · 75 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeccc…f0f8backed Under59c80$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.88653.5%46 W · 40 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe481…d138backed Over43c69$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.3988247.7%421 W · 461 L+3.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91bc…28d6backed Under59c67.8$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4019754.8%108 W · 89 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf655…7f1abacked Over40c53.75$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.2541236.7%151 W · 261 L-16.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x67d3…b524backed Under59c50.85$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3013748.2%66 W · 71 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Under68c46.41$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.561,19550%597 W · 598 L+5.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x205d…2ad2backed Over43c45.32$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.837753.2%41 W · 36 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Under32c40$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.847549.7%236 W · 239 L+17.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Under30c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1254651.3%280 W · 266 L+29.8wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b0f…b7aebacked Over40c34.45$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.6752638.4%202 W · 324 L+1.5wins0.00per pick38cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32e2…af02backed Under58c34.41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013850.7%70 W · 68 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x78ca…b3f3backed Under60c33.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201681.3%13 W · 3 L+3.8wins+0.23per pick58cpaid+43.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Under55c33$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1544451.1%227 W · 217 L+1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x847e…cc57backed Over70c32$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.613554.8%74 W · 61 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Under74c29$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.538,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbe0a…b267backed Over40c28.85$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2612154.5%66 W · 55 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7884…1fb0backed Under60c25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157659.2%45 W · 31 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73d5…74c8backed Under61c23$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.03742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick63cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x23df…640abacked Over45c22.64$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.4240048.5%194 W · 206 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over44c22.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.623,45751.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L+108.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x998a…802bbacked Under65c18$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7714.3%1 W · 6 L-3.2wins-0.45per pick60cpaid-77.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3563…a0a2backed Under79c14.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.922,22355.4%1,231 W · 992 L+73.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.