MLB · resolved market
Baltimore Orioles vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ed0938738e6b38c5e3c82dfd0b15edb351986eee5fa60b31d167e704a16c22a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,257
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,492
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,257 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 63c | 13,709$8,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,094.31 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Under | 60c | 3,300$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980 | 233 | 57.9%135 W · 98 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a0…b16bbacked Under | 26c | 2,806$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.91 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under | 33c | 2,794$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.84 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78cc…a081backed Under | 60c | 2,632$1,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,579 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0df…5974backed Under | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 222 | 57.2%127 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Under | 61c | 2,458$1,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,494.62 | 204 | 55.9%114 W · 90 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 39c | 2,419$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,477.37 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 40c | 2,090$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,246.43 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 37c | 1,714$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.52 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 40c | 1,439$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 68c | 1,274$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.57 | 777 | 52.1%405 W · 372 L | +36.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9621…0a73backed Under | 59c | 1,271$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 186 | 58.6%109 W · 77 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…0c43backed Under | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…aa25backed Under | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 40c | 824$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.71 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2972…3f29backed Under | 60c | 815$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 60c | 795$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 69c | 760.87$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Over | 46c | 729$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.66 | 91 | 65.9%60 W · 31 L | +11.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 30c | 700$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2afc…23c9backed Under | 59c | 661.31$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.17 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Over | 41c | 607.63$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.5 | 187 | 41.2%77 W · 110 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 40c | 585$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 42c | 581.34$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.31 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 51c | 550.16$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.44 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d0…712dbacked Under | 59c | 510$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.9 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69b0…293fbacked Under | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 45c | 464.11$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.16 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 68c | 456.34$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.24 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…2888backed Under | 25c | 435.76$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.94 | 129 | 24.8%32 W · 97 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Over | 40c | 375$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a49…651abacked Under | 60c | 350$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…f3a4backed Under | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Under | 30c | 335.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.72 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Over | 41c | 303.79$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.34 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…944dbacked Under | 59c | 300$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 44c | 250.02$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3d…9351backed Under | 60c | 250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa845…6b8fbacked Under | 60c | 250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Over | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 536 | 55.8%299 W · 237 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 36c | 216.69$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.68 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed Over | 40c | 187.5$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 462 | 55.8%258 W · 204 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee8a…69acbacked Under | 59c | 177.97$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 146 | 55.5%81 W · 65 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad8…5004backed Under | 60c | 177.26$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.71 | 188 | 55.3%104 W · 84 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4e…8413backed Under | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 41c | 162$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.58 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 73c | 152.89$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.83 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc670…b781backed Over | 40c | 151.1$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.66 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 44c | 138$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.28 | 546 | 42.5%232 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0477…631cbacked Under | 61c | 131.15$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 171 | 55.6%95 W · 76 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…5a9ebacked Under | 61c | 131.15$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 342 | 55.3%189 W · 153 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d23…251cbacked Under | 75c | 131.07$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.3 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 41c | 130$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.7 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb176…fcb2backed Under | 59c | 127.12$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa422…d210backed Under | 59c | 127.12$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 125 | 55.2%69 W · 56 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c80…e19bbacked Over | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…fd16backed Under | 60c | 116.67$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked Over | 40c | 112.5$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 285 | 53%151 W · 134 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Over | 40c | 112.24$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.34 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 43c | 109.01$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.76 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 541 | 46.8%253 W · 288 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 64c | 90.32$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.8 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3e…d412backed Under | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 175 | 57.1%100 W · 75 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeccc…f0f8backed Under | 59c | 80$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Over | 43c | 69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.39 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91bc…28d6backed Under | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 197 | 54.8%108 W · 89 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7f1abacked Over | 40c | 53.75$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.25 | 412 | 36.7%151 W · 261 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67d3…b524backed Under | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 68c | 46.41$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.56 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x205d…2ad2backed Over | 43c | 45.32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.83 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 475 | 49.7%236 W · 239 L | +17.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Under | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 546 | 51.3%280 W · 266 L | +29.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Over | 40c | 34.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.67 | 526 | 38.4%202 W · 324 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32e2…af02backed Under | 58c | 34.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78ca…b3f3backed Under | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.23per pick | 58cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Under | 55c | 33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x847e…cc57backed Over | 70c | 32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 135 | 54.8%74 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 74c | 29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.53 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0a…b267backed Over | 40c | 28.85$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.26 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7884…1fb0backed Under | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73d5…74c8backed Under | 61c | 23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 63cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23df…640abacked Over | 45c | 22.64$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 400 | 48.5%194 W · 206 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 44c | 22.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.62 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x998a…802bbacked Under | 65c | 18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -3.2wins | -0.45per pick | 60cpaid | -77.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Under | 79c | 14.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5this page
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Detroit TigersBaltimore Orioles won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Detroit Tigers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 15.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-3.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-6.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Baltimore Orioles vs. Detroit TigersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.