TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Baltimore Oriolesof Detroit Tigers, Baltimore Orioles
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$12,727
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$12,422

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,727 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa084…bb99backed Baltimore Orioles36c6,057$2,198 inWon+$3,859.3310748.6%52 W · 55 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x656a…6077backed Detroit Tigers35c1,995$692 inLost-$692.323545.7%16 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Detroit Tigers63c1,901$1,203 inLost-$1,203.0812,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Detroit Tigers48c1,541$740 inLost-$740.452,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Baltimore Orioles65c1,338$869 inWon+$468.1310,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Detroit Tigers63c1,275$803 inLost-$803.378,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Detroit Tigers32c500$160 inLost-$1601,86552%970 W · 895 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Detroit Tigers34c433.96$148 inLost-$148.458,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Detroit Tigers35c376.32$132 inLost-$131.633,45751.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L+108.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d23…251cbacked Baltimore Orioles69c270.13$186 inWon+$83.7411751.3%60 W · 57 L+0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed Detroit Tigers66c239$158 inLost-$157.741,77749.5%880 W · 897 L+25.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Baltimore Orioles46c229.99$107 inWon+$123.275,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8543…ff1bbacked Detroit Tigers36c190.63$69 inLost-$69.3710143.6%44 W · 57 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Detroit Tigers64c169.69$109 inLost-$108.655645.3%252 W · 304 L-17.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Baltimore Orioles66c154.92$102 inWon+$53.254,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Detroit Tigers61c120.8$74 inLost-$749,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecae…c544backed Detroit Tigers63c73.57$46 inLost-$46.3555448.2%267 W · 287 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Detroit Tigers49c69.39$34 inLost-$3447345.7%216 W · 257 L+2.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6701…d7d2backed Detroit Tigers32c50$16 inLost-$1613545.2%61 W · 74 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Detroit Tigers52c47$24 inLost-$24.441,87940.6%763 W · 1,116 L-39.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc22e…eab8backed Detroit Tigers64c46.88$30 inLost-$3048851.6%252 W · 236 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Baltimore Orioles29c40$12 inWon+$28.3643954.7%240 W · 199 L+30.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6ec7…4b43backed Detroit Tigers35c39.79$14 inLost-$13.9311153.2%59 W · 52 L+8.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+14.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Baltimore Orioles64c38.52$25 inWon+$13.8711,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Detroit Tigers41c32.78$13 inLost-$13.425,78643.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L-192.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x847e…cc57backed Detroit Tigers48c31.5$15 inLost-$15.2613554.8%74 W · 61 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x212b…0ba5backed Detroit Tigers64c31.25$20 inLost-$2053655.8%299 W · 237 L+22.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e4d…1cb0backed Baltimore Orioles44c29.77$13 inWon+$16.7163954.5%348 W · 291 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6cdf…58e1backed Detroit Tigers64c23.44$15 inLost-$1546255.8%258 W · 204 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Baltimore Orioles67c21.59$14 inWon+$7.121,72550.1%864 W · 861 L-4.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c80…e19bbacked Detroit Tigers64c15.63$10 inLost-$1022450%112 W · 112 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf766…9251backed Baltimore Orioles69c15$10 inWon+$4.651,46463.5%929 W · 535 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.