TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xeccc…f0f8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
103
Categories scored
3
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 59 out of 100; worst MLB at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLBlast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT8653.5%46 W · 40 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 86 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago Cubs vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$24.55
Chicago Cubs vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Soxbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago White Sox vs. Chicago Cubsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$11.79
Seattle Mariners vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$18.86
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+100%+$15
Chicago Cubs vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigersbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
Los Angeles Angels vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$22.63
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Yankeesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Angels vs. Miami Marlinsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Seattle Marinersbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$16.8
Minnesota Twins vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.8
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Detroit Tigers vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Showing 25 of 86 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1675%12 W · 4 L+3.2wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+28.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$28.21
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8.2
United States vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7.2
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$9.8
Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$9.75
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$9.59
Spain vs. Austria: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$12.27
Spread: Senegal (-1.5)backed Senegal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$6.8
Norway vs. France: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$9
Japan vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$8.6
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+98%+$9.9
Spread: Germany (-3.5)backed Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$14.7
All 16 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+37%+$11.1
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.