MLB · resolved market
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Miami Marlins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e0f8bcb8f5993748f7ff14590efdb8c8d02ed8f07b6792de4aab91217c33a57
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pittsburgh Piratesof Pittsburgh Pirates, Miami Marlins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $339,197
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $305,660
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $339,197 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 237 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7542…7a20backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 120,000$56,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,599.87 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 63,531$34,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,973.32 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf958…db13backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 39,427$18,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,421.7 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe244…f755backed Miami Marlins | 0c | 30,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 21,616$11,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,200.62 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 50c | 13,111$6,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,555.5 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 10,621$5,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,901.82 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 10,077$5,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,647.32 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35f8…daa1backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 6,191$3,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,909.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 6,131$3,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,871.03 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,880 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 51c | 5,492$2,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,665.43 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Miami Marlins | 34c | 5,262$1,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,796.27 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 5,141$2,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,416.41 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 5,120$2,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,355.15 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99aa…6c5abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 4,281$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.07 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 3,872$2,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,820.13 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Miami Marlins | 49c | 3,775$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,849.69 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Miami Marlins | 54c | 3,705$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 70c | 3,107$2,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.19 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0385…acafbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d6…730abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 2,748$1,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,285.8 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 2,500$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.95 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 2,188$1,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115.88 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 2,094$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.34 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Miami Marlins | 1c | 2,070$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 69c | 2,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…0f82backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 1,887$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.9 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 1,818$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.46 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 1,595$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.65 | 204 | 55.9%114 W · 90 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 1,569$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 1,558$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.58 | 310 | 52.6%163 W · 147 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.99 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Miami Marlins | 19c | 1,499$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.72 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 1,467$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.45 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Miami Marlins | 31c | 1,284$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.73 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 1,200$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0926…6721backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 1,191$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.02 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 1,125$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.5 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…dd03backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 72c | 1,117$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.35 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 52c | 1,089$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.43 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…0517backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 1,065$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.55 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 66c | 1,044$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.07 | 873 | 52.7%460 W · 413 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 1,024$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.28 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 944.75$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.03 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 926.08$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.29 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 69c | 899.47$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.4 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9621…0a73backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 729.17$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 186 | 58.6%109 W · 77 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 728$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.16 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Miami Marlins | 47c | 697.3$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.82 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d3…8a20backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 65c | 693.1$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.58 | 63 | 71.4%45 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc630…fbe4backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 666.67$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -5.7wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x05d9…ecd7backed Miami Marlins | 52c | 640.38$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +43%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a26…1589backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Miami Marlins | 41c | 576.66$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.7 | 349 | 52.7%184 W · 165 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Miami Marlins | 37c | 555$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.95 | 801 | 59.2%474 W · 327 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 525$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.5 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70e9…836abacked Miami Marlins | 3c | 509.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 213 | 23.5%50 W · 163 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe963…6753backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 52c | 507.57$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.64 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 71c | 478.02$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.79 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Miami Marlins | 47c | 446.4$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.81 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 438$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.86 | 279 | 52%145 W · 134 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02b5…2ff8backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 430$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.1 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -7.7wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…d084backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 424.84$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.67 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 412.9$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.06 | 478 | 52.3%250 W · 228 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x434a…91cbbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 403.32$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.09 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Miami Marlins | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 370 | 52.2%193 W · 177 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4b…d965backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 52c | 399.99$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.99 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…aa25backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 398.94$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.5 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 395.95$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.36 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Miami Marlins | 25c | 375.94$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.83 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 80c | 372$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.4 | 1,099 | 79.7%876 W · 223 L | +33.4wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe814…be87backed Miami Marlins | 41c | 327.81$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.1 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 324.38$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.43 | 473 | 58.4%276 W · 197 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b25…edc5backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -7.3wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x537a…7447backed Miami Marlins | 22c | 273.18$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 106 | 25.5%27 W · 79 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce00…7d1dbacked Miami Marlins | 47c | 265.96$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 179 | 52.5%94 W · 85 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a49…651abacked Miami Marlins | 47c | 265$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.55 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd942…f9d3backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 50c | 238.52$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.26 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 66c | 238.12$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.23 | 486 | 60.5%294 W · 192 L | +40.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 234.72$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.38 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Miami Marlins | 38c | 223.46$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.48 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Miami Marlins | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 220$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.4 | 612 | 50.5%309 W · 303 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Miami Marlins | 51c | 218.8$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.59 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf5…e71cbacked Miami Marlins | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Miami Marlins | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…d396backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 506 | 47%238 W · 268 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Miami Marlins | 53c | 199.98$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.99 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 179$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.13 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 162$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.52 | 283 | 47.3%134 W · 149 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa845…6b8fbacked Miami Marlins | 48c | 156.25$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea5…26e3backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 156.25$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 194 | 54.6%106 W · 88 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3814…17bcbacked Miami Marlins | 47c | 150$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Miami Marlins | 48c | 147.92$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 151 | 53%80 W · 71 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Miami Marlinsthis page
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 5.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 6.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-2.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-4.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Miami MarlinsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.