MLB · resolved market
Chicago Cubs vs. Washington Nationals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c2a42234825692176dfa6bcb224a500610f2f61015982680dc821b371eda96c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Washington Nationalsof Chicago Cubs, Washington Nationals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,042,931
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,136,921
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,042,931 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 252 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Washington Nationals | 51c | 184,923$93,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91,188.07 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dab…22e1backed Washington Nationals | 58c | 172,000$99,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72,239.96 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7542…7a20backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 120,260$65,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65,502.53 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d8c…9555backed Chicago Cubs | 37c | 103,976$37,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,965.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked Chicago Cubs | 58c | 62,069$36,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,000 | 262 | 57.3%150 W · 112 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeafc…e4c4backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 45,726$25,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,936.12 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Washington Nationals | 50c | 41,122$20,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,547.98 | 4,368 | 47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L | -79.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Chicago Cubs | 37c | 30,058$11,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,269.54 | 884 | 46.3%409 W · 475 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Chicago Cubs | 13c | 23,314$3,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,021.03 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 21,932$12,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,501.51 | 272 | 53.7%146 W · 126 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Chicago Cubs | 21c | 18,397$3,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,877.11 | 3,041 | 48%1,461 W · 1,580 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Washington Nationals | 76c | 18,274$13,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,385.68 | 441 | 54.2%239 W · 202 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Washington Nationals | 59c | 11,734$6,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,791.37 | 970 | 44.9%436 W · 534 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,300 | 983 | 49.8%490 W · 493 L | -18.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Chicago Cubs | 28c | 9,371$2,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,665.13 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Chicago Cubs | 44c | 8,527$3,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,752.06 | 991 | 49.9%495 W · 496 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99aa…6c5abacked Washington Nationals | 43c | 7,500$3,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,275 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Chicago Cubs | 21c | 5,503$1,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130.56 | 135 | 55.6%75 W · 60 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…3992backed Chicago Cubs | 58c | 5,172$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 158 | 59.5%94 W · 64 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Chicago Cubs | 0c | 5,062$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…2ff4backed Chicago Cubs | 58c | 4,310$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 129 | 60.5%78 W · 51 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Washington Nationals | 44c | 4,309$1,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,394.67 | 1,797 | 50.4%906 W · 891 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Chicago Cubs | 17c | 4,234$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.66 | 313 | 30.7%96 W · 217 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x689f…259cbacked Washington Nationals | 43c | 4,117$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,346.88 | 102 | 41.2%42 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Washington Nationals | 42c | 4,116$1,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,387.2 | 540 | 51.1%276 W · 264 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea39…9d34backed Chicago Cubs | 55c | 4,051$2,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,228.65 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e4…a1adbacked Washington Nationals | 71c | 4,000$2,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140.42 | 136 | 64.7%88 W · 48 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…3aaebacked Chicago Cubs | 58c | 3,879$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 129 | 59.7%77 W · 52 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 3,774$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 198 | 54%107 W · 91 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 2,700$1,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,551 | 624 | 47.6%297 W · 327 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Washington Nationals | 48c | 2,686$1,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,392.4 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74dd…df82backed Chicago Cubs | 28c | 2,609$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.48 | 127 | 33.9%43 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 2,507$1,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,205.96 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Washington Nationals | 45c | 2,412$1,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,318.18 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Washington Nationals | 43c | 2,400$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,368 | 208 | 36.5%76 W · 132 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Washington Nationals | 43c | 2,326$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.58 | 900 | 53.6%482 W · 418 L | +24.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6451…b57abacked Washington Nationals | 43c | 2,300$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300.37 | 155 | 42.6%66 W · 89 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ff…f058backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 2,086$1,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,181.51 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x537a…7447backed Chicago Cubs | 4c | 2,002$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.11 | 107 | 25.2%27 W · 80 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…e2c5backed Washington Nationals | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Chicago Cubs | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 484 | 46.7%226 W · 258 L | -33.7wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 1,956$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.23 | 274 | 47.8%131 W · 143 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Washington Nationals | 48c | 1,942$932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.69 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Washington Nationals | 42c | 1,856$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.45 | 712 | 53.4%380 W · 332 L | +12.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7594…8e81backed Washington Nationals | 63c | 1,635$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chicago Cubs | 40c | 1,598$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.79 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Washington Nationals | 43c | 1,570$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.9 | 1,293 | 47.3%611 W · 682 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Washington Nationals | 56c | 1,300$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.61 | 274 | 46.7%128 W · 146 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Chicago Cubs | 58c | 1,293$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.94 | 205 | 55.6%114 W · 91 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Washington Nationals | 72c | 1,266$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.32 | 820 | 42.6%349 W · 471 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 1,263$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.4 | 2,044 | 39.5%808 W · 1,236 L | -24.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Washington Nationals | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.36 | 161 | 46.6%75 W · 86 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x425d…86e1backed Chicago Cubs | 4c | 1,125$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 53 | 18.9%10 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Washington Nationals | 43c | 1,074$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.1 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f17…2c20backed Chicago Cubs | 42c | 882.14$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Chicago Cubs | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 947 | 34.4%326 W · 621 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3050…1a35backed Chicago Cubs | 58c | 805.55$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.22 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac6…a8cebacked Chicago Cubs | 58c | 793.1$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | -7.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…8a9bbacked Chicago Cubs | 56c | 785.71$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0926…6721backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 689.65$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.1 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Washington Nationals | 55c | 639.45$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.76 | 214 | 49.5%106 W · 108 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Chicago Cubs | 56c | 584.97$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.58 | 1,635 | 49.3%806 W · 829 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b18…be5abacked Chicago Cubs | 57c | 578.95$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc313…e128backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 577.16$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314 | 379 | 41.2%156 W · 223 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Chicago Cubs | 23c | 555$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.87 | 205 | 23.4%48 W · 157 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Washington Nationals | 45c | 554.86$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.98 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf44…3a7ebacked Washington Nationals | 57c | 543.02$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38ee…0c1cbacked Chicago Cubs | 56c | 539.2$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Washington Nationals | 44c | 503$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.68 | 291 | 53.6%156 W · 135 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad54…006abacked Washington Nationals | 47c | 473.7$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.06 | 581 | 60.4%351 W · 230 L | +30.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…2b75backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 465.51$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.34 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Washington Nationals | 43c | 465$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.05 | 1,141 | 46.3%528 W · 613 L | +36.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Washington Nationals | 60c | 442.02$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.63 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Chicago Cubs | 10c | 426$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.02 | 346 | 58.1%201 W · 145 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee4f…c0f0backed Chicago Cubs | 36c | 416.67$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 408.83$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 623 | 46.2%288 W · 335 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Chicago Cubs | 27c | 402.98$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.07 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cf…0e95backed Washington Nationals | 43c | 400$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 145 | 45.5%66 W · 79 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed Washington Nationals | 76c | 387$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.88 | 1,106 | 79.6%880 W · 226 L | +32.1wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…dd03backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 374.13$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23d1…52c5backed Chicago Cubs | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 61cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37e2…4b92backed Chicago Cubs | 24c | 333.33$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 125 | 44%55 W · 70 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x434a…91cbbacked Chicago Cubs | 32c | 333.3$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.23 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Washington Nationals | 59c | 325.21$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.34 | 4,087 | 57.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L | +66.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…aa25backed Chicago Cubs | 58c | 323.28$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.5 | 288 | 51%147 W · 141 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e7…af6bbacked Chicago Cubs | 57c | 313$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.41 | 456 | 51.1%233 W · 223 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d14…663fbacked Chicago Cubs | 57c | 310$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.7 | 168 | 56.5%95 W · 73 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…1787backed Chicago Cubs | 3c | 305.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 168 | 40.5%68 W · 100 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked Washington Nationals | 43c | 301.99$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.13 | 284 | 52.5%149 W · 135 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 592 | 52.7%312 W · 280 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b89…9f72backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 280$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.6 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Chicago Cubs | 35c | 266.39$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.04 | 869 | 48.4%421 W · 448 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce00…7d1dbacked Chicago Cubs | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 182 | 52.2%95 W · 87 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b25…edc5backed Chicago Cubs | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -9.4wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed Chicago Cubs | 34c | 251.19$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.53 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4453backed Chicago Cubs | 56c | 248.09$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.93 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -4.7wins | -0.31per pick | 58cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Washington Nationals | 60c | 233.33$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.33 | 384 | 53.9%207 W · 177 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a21…4aa9backed Washington Nationals | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02e7…2519backed Chicago Cubs | 52c | 230.77$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a49…651abacked Chicago Cubs | 58c | 220$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.6 | 235 | 51.9%122 W · 113 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago Cubs vs. Washington Nationalsthis page
- Chicago Cubs vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 5.5Over won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 6.5Over won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 7.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-4.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-5.5)Washington Nationals won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago Cubs vs. Washington NationalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.