MLB · resolved market
Minnesota Twins vs. Milwaukee Brewers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x538589f4b0ba89623a2067830f6e137c0ed13eb4414cb8d5755abf19e9f94419
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Minnesota Twinsof Minnesota Twins, Milwaukee Brewers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $537,909
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $534,169
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $537,909 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 302 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Minnesota Twins | 69c | 51,423$35,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,168.34 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 62c | 50,000$31,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,000 | 172 | 48.3%83 W · 89 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x689f…259cbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 13c | 48,423$6,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,379.99 | 102 | 41.2%42 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Minnesota Twins | 38c | 46,657$17,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,927.08 | 505 | 53.5%270 W · 235 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Milwaukee Brewers | 62c | 27,451$17,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,031.54 | 272 | 53.7%146 W · 126 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Minnesota Twins | 38c | 25,302$9,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,686.97 | 63 | 65.1%41 W · 22 L | +9.3wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Minnesota Twins | 75c | 22,080$16,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,595.13 | 983 | 49.8%490 W · 493 L | -18.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Minnesota Twins | 29c | 15,000$4,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,724.96 | 501 | 52.5%263 W · 238 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 41c | 14,897$6,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,155.51 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86d2…731dbacked Minnesota Twins | 39c | 13,038$5,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,952.96 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Minnesota Twins | 38c | 11,470$4,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,111.25 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Milwaukee Brewers | 37c | 10,357$3,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,807.46 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Milwaukee Brewers | 2c | 9,657$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.61 | 274 | 47.8%131 W · 143 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Milwaukee Brewers | 51c | 8,662$4,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,386.27 | 970 | 44.9%436 W · 534 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Milwaukee Brewers | 32c | 7,830$2,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,523.64 | 1,520 | 59.1%899 W · 621 L | +78.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Milwaukee Brewers | 63c | 7,164$4,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,510.44 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb939…da70backed Milwaukee Brewers | 62c | 6,731$4,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,173.45 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a55…5a54backed Minnesota Twins | 38c | 6,405$2,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,974.6 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Minnesota Twins | 68c | 5,699$3,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,843.1 | 3,041 | 48%1,461 W · 1,580 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Milwaukee Brewers | 62c | 5,645$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 234 | 57.7%135 W · 99 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Milwaukee Brewers | 40c | 5,629$2,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,251.78 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Minnesota Twins | 37c | 5,000$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,150 | 246 | 51.6%127 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 62c | 4,000$2,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,480 | 278 | 51.8%144 W · 134 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 3,506$2,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,035.25 | 4,405 | 44.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L | +80.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa90…c709backed Milwaukee Brewers | 61c | 3,300$2,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,013.65 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Minnesota Twins | 37c | 3,100$1,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,954.15 | 1,408 | 48.8%687 W · 721 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Minnesota Twins | 38c | 2,830$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,754.6 | 208 | 36.5%76 W · 132 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Milwaukee Brewers | 31c | 2,742$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.96 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6451…b57abacked Minnesota Twins | 39c | 2,571$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,570.76 | 155 | 42.6%66 W · 89 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 62c | 2,500$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550 | 454 | 51.3%233 W · 221 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Milwaukee Brewers | 62c | 2,500$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550 | 484 | 46.7%226 W · 258 L | -33.7wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 61c | 2,500$1,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,524.98 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Milwaukee Brewers | 62c | 2,479$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,540 | 350 | 56%196 W · 154 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Minnesota Twins | 37c | 2,424$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,527.32 | 366 | 48.9%179 W · 187 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0df…5974backed Milwaukee Brewers | 62c | 2,419$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 222 | 57.2%127 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Milwaukee Brewers | 49c | 2,299$1,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,131.43 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Milwaukee Brewers | 30c | 2,153$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.5 | 820 | 42.6%349 W · 471 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Minnesota Twins | 37c | 2,048$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290.24 | 2,311 | 51%1,179 W · 1,132 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Milwaukee Brewers | 62c | 2,016$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.92 | 205 | 55.6%114 W · 91 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 381 | 33.6%128 W · 253 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…a10abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…82c6backed Milwaukee Brewers | 62c | 1,918$1,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189.38 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Minnesota Twins | 53c | 1,854$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.37 | 869 | 48.4%421 W · 448 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Minnesota Twins | 59c | 1,847$1,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.94 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Minnesota Twins | 38c | 1,800$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120.99 | 959 | 50.1%480 W · 479 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Milwaukee Brewers | 62c | 1,713$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.06 | 452 | 53.8%243 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Milwaukee Brewers | 29c | 1,696$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.38 | 445 | 53.5%238 W · 207 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44b3…69aabacked Milwaukee Brewers | 63c | 1,642$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Minnesota Twins | 64c | 1,413$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.69 | 1,797 | 50.4%906 W · 891 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x986b…bdc6backed Minnesota Twins | 75c | 1,350$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.5 | 16 | 93.8%15 W · 1 L | +3.4wins | +0.21per pick | 72cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Minnesota Twins | 33c | 1,327$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.08 | 710 | 44.5%316 W · 394 L | -23.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Minnesota Twins | 38c | 1,282$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.84 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74dd…df82backed Milwaukee Brewers | 34c | 1,211$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.82 | 127 | 33.9%43 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Minnesota Twins | 39c | 1,141$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.89 | 570 | 53.3%304 W · 266 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Minnesota Twins | 28c | 1,080$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.76 | 900 | 53.6%482 W · 418 L | +24.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7b…6e9dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 16c | 1,063$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Milwaukee Brewers | 61c | 1,042$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.55 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…aa25backed Milwaukee Brewers | 62c | 1,008$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625 | 288 | 51%147 W · 141 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Minnesota Twins | 44c | 1,005$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.95 | 1,855 | 44%817 W · 1,038 L | -31.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea39…9d34backed Milwaukee Brewers | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 318 | 47.5%151 W · 167 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 299 | 47.2%141 W · 158 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Minnesota Twins | 7c | 946.43$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.18 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Milwaukee Brewers | 62c | 918.01$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.82 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Milwaukee Brewers | 62c | 856.25$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.39 | 1,635 | 49.3%806 W · 829 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x772b…1840backed Milwaukee Brewers | 9c | 805$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.45 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc96a…396abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 62c | 800$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +338.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Minnesota Twins | 68c | 715.58$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.35 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…bb89backed Milwaukee Brewers | 75c | 635.62$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478 | 124 | 50%62 W · 62 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Minnesota Twins | 37c | 630.03$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.92 | 1,848 | 49.6%917 W · 931 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Milwaukee Brewers | 63c | 600$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 1,012 | 51.2%518 W · 494 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab61…fb2bbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 60c | 566.95$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.8 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c91…b4d2backed Milwaukee Brewers | 63c | 562.43$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.23 | 127 | 52.8%67 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Minnesota Twins | 37c | 553$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.39 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 538.27$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 816 | 57.1%466 W · 350 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…72bcbacked Minnesota Twins | 68c | 528.8$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.49 | 251 | 53%133 W · 118 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd75a…d264backed Milwaukee Brewers | 57c | 518$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.06 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e73…ac97backed Milwaukee Brewers | 43c | 516.94$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.32 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Minnesota Twins | 38c | 508.63$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.35 | 235 | 48.9%115 W · 120 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 503.8$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.31 | 3,460 | 51.2%1,773 W · 1,687 L | +107.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 7c | 500$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.43 | 947 | 34.4%326 W · 621 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Minnesota Twins | 38c | 500$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 874 | 53%463 W · 411 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb46…48efbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 61c | 500$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 148 | 49.3%73 W · 75 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 62c | 479.05$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.34 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 13c | 451.49$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.18 | 120 | 24.2%29 W · 91 L | -11.8wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8b…37c8backed Minnesota Twins | 68c | 438.57$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.34 | 99 | 70.7%70 W · 29 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 45c | 418.08$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.59 | 1,153 | 42.8%494 W · 659 L | -37.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 16c | 407.67$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.02 | 177 | 45.8%81 W · 96 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Milwaukee Brewers | 16c | 407.67$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.98 | 222 | 41%91 W · 131 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 405.34$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.5 | 491 | 60.7%298 W · 193 L | +41.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc132…c5f0backed Milwaukee Brewers | 45c | 403.67$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.95 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Minnesota Twins | 73c | 402.33$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.54 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Milwaukee Brewers | 40c | 386.79$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.26 | 733 | 55.3%405 W · 328 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce00…7d1dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 62c | 382.1$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.9 | 182 | 52.2%95 W · 87 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…6e09backed Milwaukee Brewers | 55c | 350$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.5 | 280 | 31.1%87 W · 193 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad43…1a69backed Milwaukee Brewers | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Minnesota Twins | 38c | 340$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 1,418 | 43.4%616 W · 802 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Milwaukee Brewers | 56c | 338.79$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.72 | 3,219 | 51.2%1,649 W · 1,570 L | +148.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 325.5$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.05 | 481 | 45.3%218 W · 263 L | -15.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc92c…6f15backed Milwaukee Brewers | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 277 | 57%158 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Minnesota Twins vs. Milwaukee Brewersthis page
- Minnesota Twins vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 15.5Under won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 16.5Under won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-2.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Minnesota Twins vs. Milwaukee BrewersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.