MLB · resolved market
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x345574550340163693c192e919ff8b330f2b2bb3cc6fef72e8b0827f22ab0fb6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $149,129
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $201,615
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $149,129 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 55c | 39,311$21,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,690.02 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 45c | 30,531$13,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,868.79 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Over | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 54c | 9,841$5,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,526.68 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 54c | 9,582$5,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,407.72 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 41c | 8,680$3,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,536.38 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Over | 45c | 7,500$3,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,360 | 452 | 52.4%237 W · 215 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Under | 56c | 5,370$3,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,362.8 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 61c | 4,766$2,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,858.74 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 46c | 3,926$1,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,812.27 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 46c | 3,769$1,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,731.53 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0df…5974backed Under | 55c | 3,662$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,662.42 | 222 | 57.2%127 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Under | 56c | 3,580$2,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,575.2 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Over | 44c | 3,407$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,498.86 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 45c | 3,177$1,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,438.03 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 45c | 3,013$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.96 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Over | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 54c | 2,779$1,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,284.74 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Over | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Under | 54c | 1,851$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.46 | 204 | 55.9%114 W · 90 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 1c | 1,805$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.33 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 46c | 1,434$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.73 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 45c | 1,121$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.15 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 44c | 1,049$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.75 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Over | 45c | 1,005$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.25 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 56c | 896$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.24 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Over | 45c | 890$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.5 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 40c | 862.04$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.45 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Over | 46c | 833.25$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.06 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9621…0a73backed Under | 54c | 741.04$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.04 | 186 | 58.6%109 W · 77 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Under | 61c | 707.93$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.09 | 473 | 58.4%276 W · 197 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 46c | 556$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.05 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Over | 45c | 555$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.75 | 187 | 41.2%77 W · 110 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 53c | 474.22$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.88 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa7…3767backed Over | 47c | 468.09$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…aa25backed Under | 54c | 463.65$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.65 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x694d…e762backed Under | 75c | 448.04$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.01 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Over | 45c | 417$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.43 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Under | 53c | 390.19$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.39 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 53c | 388$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.87 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Over | 45c | 379$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.55 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b25…edc5backed Under | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -7.3wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Over | 9c | 343$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.33 | 1,056 | 44.3%468 W · 588 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Under | 61c | 327.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 45c | 321.2$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.54 | 483 | 39.8%192 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Under | 77c | 282.2$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.17 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a49…651abacked Under | 54c | 280$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.8 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce00…7d1dbacked Under | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.78 | 179 | 52.5%94 W · 85 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Under | 53c | 226.42$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.42 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1d…a01abacked Under | 54c | 214.75$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.75 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa845…6b8fbacked Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea5…26e3backed Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 194 | 54.6%106 W · 88 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…944dbacked Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Under | 70c | 183.3$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.07 | 799 | 55.9%447 W · 352 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 64c | 165.55$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.23 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked Under | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 406 | 58.4%237 W · 169 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…d9e6backed Under | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 552 | 59.6%329 W · 223 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91bc…28d6backed Under | 54c | 148.15$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.15 | 197 | 54.8%108 W · 89 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 45c | 138$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.1 | 546 | 42.5%232 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Over | 45c | 135$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.75 | 450 | 45.8%206 W · 244 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee8a…69acbacked Under | 54c | 129.63$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.63 | 146 | 55.5%81 W · 65 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Under | 62c | 120.77$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.89 | 1,000 | 58.8%588 W · 412 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 54c | 107.74$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.64 | 787 | 54.6%430 W · 357 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b89…9f72backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x702e…ff44backed Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 264 | 44.3%117 W · 147 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed Under | 53c | 99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.53 | 182 | 44.5%81 W · 101 L | -14.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Over | 18c | 96.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 464 | 44.4%206 W · 258 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…f3a4backed Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Over | 46c | 80$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8956…755fbacked Under | 53c | 79.97$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.59 | 216 | 56%121 W · 95 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x369e…d016backed Under | 55c | 75.91$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.29 | 115 | 60.9%70 W · 45 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0477…631cbacked Under | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 171 | 55.6%95 W · 76 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Under | 56c | 71.6$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Under | 54c | 68.81$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.65 | 253 | 55.7%141 W · 112 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 55c | 68.19$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.74 | 268 | 57.1%153 W · 115 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3c…35cfbacked Over | 44c | 64$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.16 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 60c | 62$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 707 | 37.6%266 W · 441 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3971…44debacked Under | 73c | 59$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 65cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1607…2c65backed Under | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 219 | 54.8%120 W · 99 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Under | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 232 | 55.2%128 W · 104 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Over | 46c | 42.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 305 | 54.4%166 W · 139 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 47c | 41.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 2,944 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,543 L | +4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32e2…af02backed Under | 54c | 38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67d3…b524backed Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeccc…f0f8backed Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2b…51debacked Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 222 | 57.7%128 W · 94 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 47c | 33.74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…a908backed Over | 45c | 31.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 97 | 55.7%54 W · 43 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa087…d888backed Under | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92dc…eb9dbacked Over | 47c | 25.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9a81…9070backed Over | 45c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 272 | 52.9%144 W · 128 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ceb…4716backed Under | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x76e8…f211backed Under | 80c | 18.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41c8…424fbacked Under | 61c | 17.13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.68 | 203 | 62.6%127 W · 76 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x624b…d3dbbacked Under | 63c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 105 | 57.1%60 W · 45 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5this page
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit TigersDetroit Tigers won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 3.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 4.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 5.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit TigersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.