MLB · resolved market
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x515cbccedc0e127857fd2b9411a20798d42d29e5b637c8cbe4389dae53b29563
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Detroit Tigersof Cleveland Guardians, Detroit Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $487,978
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $505,580
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $487,978 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 233 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 110,483$55,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,162.54 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Detroit Tigers | 49c | 82,912$40,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,000.1 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…dcd2backed Cleveland Guardians | 1c | 68,910$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.1 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +9.9wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 64,165$33,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,954.18 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Cleveland Guardians | 32c | 63,158$20,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,302.87 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…82c6backed Detroit Tigers | 48c | 45,000$21,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,399.98 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Detroit Tigers | 75c | 30,323$22,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,558.99 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Detroit Tigers | 55c | 30,001$16,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,409.6 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 30,000$15,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,599.99 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Detroit Tigers | 62c | 28,149$17,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,567.53 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Detroit Tigers | 47c | 20,934$9,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,095.08 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Detroit Tigers | 48c | 19,327$9,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,093.26 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,300 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Detroit Tigers | 54c | 9,289$5,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,276 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 7,500$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 6,271$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Detroit Tigers | 48c | 6,000$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,120 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Detroit Tigers | 50c | 5,001$2,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,517.75 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Detroit Tigers | 69c | 3,187$2,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.03 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd942…f9d3backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 2,953$1,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,594.78 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Detroit Tigers | 52c | 2,725$1,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,308.19 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 2,500$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Detroit Tigers | 62c | 2,328$1,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.75 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4951…3038backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 2,303$1,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,197.76 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Detroit Tigers | 48c | 2,140$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.71 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Detroit Tigers | 46c | 2,012$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.35 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Detroit Tigers | 51c | 2,011$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.66 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Detroit Tigers | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.98 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74ab…ee2bbacked Detroit Tigers | 70c | 1,857$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 1,600$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Detroit Tigers | 56c | 1,553$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.88 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Detroit Tigers | 48c | 1,486$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.82 | 310 | 52.6%163 W · 147 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 2c | 1,410$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 370 | 32.7%121 W · 249 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Detroit Tigers | 74c | 1,369$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.01 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 1,307$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.6 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb68b…9b23backed Detroit Tigers | 48c | 1,250$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cab…f595backed Cleveland Guardians | 1c | 1,200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cleveland Guardians | 4c | 1,184$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.06 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Detroit Tigers | 47c | 1,174$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.43 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed Detroit Tigers | 49c | 1,140$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.49 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…0517backed Detroit Tigers | 46c | 1,090$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.6 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc07b…6ee4backed Cleveland Guardians | 18c | 1,082$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.82 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…dd03backed Detroit Tigers | 66c | 1,054$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.25 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Detroit Tigers | 46c | 1,024$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.96 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Detroit Tigers | 48c | 1,001$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.52 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x807f…9615backed Detroit Tigers | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Detroit Tigers | 51c | 978.14$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.94 | 473 | 58.4%276 W · 197 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Detroit Tigers | 47c | 943.4$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 925$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 895.49$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.48 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Detroit Tigers | 59c | 792.49$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.51 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 791.86$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.41 | 190 | 51.1%97 W · 93 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64e7…50d1backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e2…4b92backed Cleveland Guardians | 17c | 735.29$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…a10abacked Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 711.63$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.05 | 171 | 50.3%86 W · 85 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8443…2988backed Detroit Tigers | 48c | 706.25$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.25 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Detroit Tigers | 47c | 700$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb88…0e4cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 613.66$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.24 | 104 | 65.4%68 W · 36 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f88…c6e8backed Cleveland Guardians | 10c | 600$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Detroit Tigers | 47c | 596$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.88 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Detroit Tigers | 67c | 585.7$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.58 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Detroit Tigers | 50c | 570.1$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.05 | 182 | 48.4%88 W · 94 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Detroit Tigers | 48c | 491.24$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.27 | 478 | 52.3%250 W · 228 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Cleveland Guardians | 20c | 475.91$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.3 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe963…6753backed Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 450.07$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.04 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Detroit Tigers | 49c | 442.85$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.74 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Detroit Tigers | 58c | 432.36$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.54 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Cleveland Guardians | 36c | 431.74$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.61 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Cleveland Guardians | 32c | 421.22$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.58 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 420$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.6 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Detroit Tigers | 51c | 392.15$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.15 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed Cleveland Guardians | 36c | 383.95$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.78 | 549 | 45.4%249 W · 300 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9698…2504backed Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 383.76$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.16 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…8200backed Detroit Tigers | 46c | 374.86$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.42 | 227 | 44.9%102 W · 125 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 371.86$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.76 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 367.14$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.24 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d14…663fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 362.94$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.99 | 168 | 56.5%95 W · 73 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 321.97$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.5 | 546 | 42.5%232 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Detroit Tigers | 48c | 296$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.92 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Detroit Tigers | 47c | 274.17$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.76 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 31c | 273.34$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.34 | 1,056 | 44.3%468 W · 588 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 270.02$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.81 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbeec…2f66backed Cleveland Guardians | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8151…74eebacked Detroit Tigers | 52c | 238.1$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.3 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0926…6721backed Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 227.27$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.73 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0385…acafbacked Detroit Tigers | 51c | 227.18$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.32 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Detroit Tigers | 73c | 211.29$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.46 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Detroit Tigers | 47c | 210$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.3 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…0f82backed Detroit Tigers | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0af1…1901backed Detroit Tigers | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked Detroit Tigers | 51c | 196.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.07 | 406 | 58.4%237 W · 169 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…d9e6backed Detroit Tigers | 51c | 196.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.07 | 552 | 59.6%329 W · 223 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa1…2c8abacked Detroit Tigers | 51c | 196$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.04 | 90 | 41.1%37 W · 53 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17d9…84afbacked Detroit Tigers | 48c | 194$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.88 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04a0…a986backed Detroit Tigers | 49c | 193.88$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.88 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Detroit Tigers | 50c | 192.2$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.1 | 375 | 46.9%176 W · 199 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigersthis page
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 3.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 4.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 5.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-2.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit TigersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.