MLB · resolved market
Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x823b02713ae3ebece7b6570713ef1e4960b7acb442a497f0c39f8b5b48e40913
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seattle Marinersof Seattle Mariners, New York Yankees
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $973,296
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $986,207
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $973,296 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 401 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5dab…22e1backed New York Yankees | 59c | 216,142$127,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127,682.29 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Seattle Mariners | 44c | 201,334$87,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113,658.63 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed New York Yankees | 59c | 158,066$93,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93,258.73 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Seattle Mariners | 41c | 124,200$50,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73,261.52 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked New York Yankees | 53c | 67,925$36,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,000 | 260 | 56.9%148 W · 112 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Seattle Mariners | 43c | 45,000$19,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,650 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked New York Yankees | 57c | 39,659$22,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,605.58 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Seattle Mariners | 36c | 30,000$10,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,200 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Seattle Mariners | 40c | 27,500$11,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,375 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c72…7e7ebacked Seattle Mariners | 40c | 25,500$10,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,300 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed New York Yankees | 59c | 24,978$14,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,764.98 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed New York Yankees | 36c | 19,620$7,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,035.21 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed New York Yankees | 32c | 15,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Seattle Mariners | 40c | 12,500$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,499.98 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30c1…9f91backed Seattle Mariners | 40c | 12,500$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,499.97 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Seattle Mariners | 59c | 12,320$7,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,007.04 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Seattle Mariners | 42c | 10,885$4,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,356.54 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Seattle Mariners | 42c | 10,875$4,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,307.49 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d18…4972backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 10,057$5,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,429.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe963…6753backed Seattle Mariners | 42c | 10,003$4,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,801.74 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Seattle Mariners | 66c | 10,000$6,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,399.99 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Seattle Mariners | 64c | 9,287$5,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,330.91 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Seattle Mariners | 66c | 8,382$5,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,852.9 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Seattle Mariners | 59c | 8,053$4,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,326.66 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…82c6backed Seattle Mariners | 40c | 8,000$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,799.98 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad4…6866backed New York Yankees | 35c | 7,777$2,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,721.93 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56a6…e5aebacked Seattle Mariners | 41c | 6,880$2,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,059.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +188.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked New York Yankees | 38c | 6,097$2,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,306.2 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…3992backed New York Yankees | 53c | 5,660$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 156 | 59%92 W · 64 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Seattle Mariners | 37c | 5,405$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,405.41 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Seattle Mariners | 41c | 5,254$2,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,083.96 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed New York Yankees | 40c | 5,240$2,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,074.84 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Seattle Mariners | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000.17 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb25…62edbacked New York Yankees | 29c | 4,956$1,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,448 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…2ff4backed New York Yankees | 53c | 4,727$2,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,513.98 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed New York Yankees | 62c | 4,708$2,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,919.24 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Seattle Mariners | 41c | 4,422$1,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,610.69 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…3aaebacked New York Yankees | 53c | 4,245$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 127 | 59.1%75 W · 52 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked New York Yankees | 59c | 4,167$2,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,458.27 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked New York Yankees | 60c | 4,143$2,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,469.8 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x689f…259cbacked New York Yankees | 47c | 4,109$1,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,931.17 | 96 | 39.6%38 W · 58 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Seattle Mariners | 41c | 4,035$1,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,380.89 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked New York Yankees | 57c | 4,000$2,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,279.99 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed New York Yankees | 44c | 3,900$1,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,709.18 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Seattle Mariners | 40c | 3,855$1,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,313 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked New York Yankees | 46c | 3,550$1,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,629.5 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0df…5974backed New York Yankees | 60c | 3,274$1,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,964.45 | 222 | 57.2%127 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed New York Yankees | 62c | 3,075$1,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,906.5 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Seattle Mariners | 42c | 2,809$1,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,625.19 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…20c0backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 2,707$1,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,164.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Seattle Mariners | 41c | 2,629$1,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,538.44 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Seattle Mariners | 42c | 2,598$1,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,506.7 | 173 | 46.2%80 W · 93 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa90…c709backed New York Yankees | 61c | 2,510$1,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,531 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed New York Yankees | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…0c43backed New York Yankees | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6451…b57abacked Seattle Mariners | 41c | 2,488$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,467.79 | 148 | 41.2%61 W · 87 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Seattle Mariners | 42c | 2,142$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,253 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x968b…87f6backed Seattle Mariners | 40c | 2,100$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.35per pick | 53cpaid | +82.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed New York Yankees | 60c | 2,083$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.8 | 204 | 55.9%114 W · 90 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked New York Yankees | 60c | 2,080$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,247.77 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Seattle Mariners | 42c | 2,048$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,198.08 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…00c9backed Seattle Mariners | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -30%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…a10abacked Seattle Mariners | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180 | 171 | 50.3%86 W · 85 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Seattle Mariners | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked New York Yankees | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Seattle Mariners | 41c | 1,951$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,151.22 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Seattle Mariners | 40c | 1,725$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.27 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Seattle Mariners | 42c | 1,650$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957 | 195 | 34.4%67 W · 128 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Seattle Mariners | 41c | 1,650$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.56 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Seattle Mariners | 36c | 1,601$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.69 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Seattle Mariners | 41c | 1,600$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2de2…11a9backed Seattle Mariners | 38c | 1,579$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.95 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Seattle Mariners | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed New York Yankees | 28c | 1,486$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.16 | 319 | 57.4%183 W · 136 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed New York Yankees | 35c | 1,414$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.01 | 182 | 48.4%88 W · 94 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea39…9d34backed New York Yankees | 41c | 1,269$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.55 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Seattle Mariners | 52c | 1,207$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.35 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6654…2f15backed New York Yankees | 60c | 1,194$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.26 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20ed…7f85backed New York Yankees | 59c | 1,176$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98e1…3241backed New York Yankees | 32c | 1,169$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.3 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Seattle Mariners | 40c | 1,111$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.6 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +7.3wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed New York Yankees | 23c | 1,110$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.4 | 205 | 23.4%48 W · 157 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Seattle Mariners | 59c | 1,100$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.84 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38d7…e3b3backed New York Yankees | 28c | 1,062$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.27 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf221…649fbacked New York Yankees | 49c | 1,044$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.39 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Seattle Mariners | 40c | 1,021$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.6 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed New York Yankees | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d82…7d33backed Seattle Mariners | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Seattle Mariners | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Seattle Mariners | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed New York Yankees | 54c | 999.98$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.99 | 338 | 64.2%217 W · 121 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Seattle Mariners | 69c | 991.62$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.42 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74dd…df82backed New York Yankees | 39c | 969$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.38 | 120 | 35%42 W · 78 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd9…3165backed Seattle Mariners | 66c | 950.26$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed New York Yankees | 60c | 909.56$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.89 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…0517backed New York Yankees | 58c | 863$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.54 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed New York Yankees | 18c | 849$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.82 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…8a9bbacked Seattle Mariners | 54c | 839.67$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.25 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…7ed7backed New York Yankees | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x26d3…8a20backed Seattle Mariners | 64c | 794.74$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.21 | 63 | 71.4%45 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankeesthis page
- Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees: 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees: O/U 3.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees: O/U 4.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees: O/U 5.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees: O/U 6.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5)New York Yankees won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Seattle Mariners vs. New York YankeesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.