MLB · resolved market
Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc34b66129fd8fc93a7a6c22513ff55f3de8cb9b3ee6322bdef4d0d81797da9f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,889
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,587
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,889 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 55c | 43,149$23,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,341.78 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 49c | 20,222$9,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,909 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 40c | 20,136$8,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,004.11 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 52c | 7,271$3,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,780.92 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 46c | 5,992$2,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,753.36 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 62c | 3,046$1,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,157.48 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 48c | 1,600$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 35c | 1,594$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.88 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 48c | 1,418$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.46 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Under | 48c | 1,359$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.67 | 173 | 46.2%80 W · 93 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Under | 62c | 1,332$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.22 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Under | 48c | 1,200$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Under | 51c | 1,039$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.22 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 63c | 1,025$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.75 | 383 | 53.5%205 W · 178 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Under | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 48c | 872.14$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.2 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Under | 48c | 618.15$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.44 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under | 68c | 602.2$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.93 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 39c | 577.13$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.03 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Over | 49c | 563.83$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.28 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 61c | 539.29$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 49c | 500.14$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.51 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Under | 50c | 496.08$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.08 | 442 | 45.5%201 W · 241 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 48c | 479.31$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.63 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Over | 50c | 469.5$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.75 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Under | 62c | 452.51$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.89 | 473 | 58.4%276 W · 197 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef98…68f7backed Under | 56c | 328.59$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.23 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Under | 62c | 305.19$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.92 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17d9…84afbacked Over | 51c | 289$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.44 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 39c | 274$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.12 | 707 | 37.6%266 W · 441 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Over | 51c | 230.16$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.38 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Over | 52c | 227.31$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.38 | 399 | 53.6%214 W · 185 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Under | 49c | 222.45$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.45 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Under | 50c | 210$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf5…e71cbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Over | 50c | 190.16$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.79 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked Under | 62c | 155.09$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.88 | 406 | 58.4%237 W · 169 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…d9e6backed Under | 62c | 155.09$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.88 | 552 | 59.6%329 W · 223 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 41c | 144.04$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.95 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 48c | 143.6$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.43 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Under | 49c | 126$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.02 | 799 | 55.9%447 W · 352 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Under | 65c | 115$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.55 | 1,000 | 58.8%588 W · 412 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Under | 48c | 110.42$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.42 | 151 | 53%80 W · 71 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dce…b2acbacked Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb8…7017backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 133 | 44.4%59 W · 74 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf15…a1febacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 151 | 47.7%72 W · 79 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b94…09dcbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Over | 51c | 99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.42 | 464 | 44.4%206 W · 258 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed Over | 44c | 88.29$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.84 | 182 | 44.5%81 W · 101 L | -14.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 51c | 88.05$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.91 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05b2…953bbacked Over | 41c | 84$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.44 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 38c | 81$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.01 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Over | 42c | 63.39$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.78 | 1,056 | 44.3%468 W · 588 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x091a…8287backed Over | 52c | 50.94$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.49 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…caa6backed Over | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Under | 50c | 49.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 476 | 52.9%252 W · 224 L | +17.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x434a…91cbbacked Over | 45c | 49.19$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.35 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 48c | 41.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.58 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Over | 36c | 40.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 470 | 56.6%266 W · 204 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1f…1e14backed Under | 64c | 40.17$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.46 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +10.1wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed Over | 46c | 37.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.32 | 250 | 53.2%133 W · 117 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Under | 48c | 36.92$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 305 | 54.4%166 W · 139 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Over | 33c | 33.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 733 | 55.3%405 W · 328 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 51c | 33.21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 788 | 54.6%430 W · 358 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x624b…d3dbbacked Under | 62c | 28.23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 105 | 57.1%60 W · 45 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 53c | 26.66$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.43 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfac1…a156backed Over | 51c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ce…feb1backed Over | 52c | 20.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -8.4wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…5df1backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5this page
- Seattle Mariners vs. New York YankeesSeattle Mariners won
- Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees: 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees: O/U 3.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees: O/U 4.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees: O/U 5.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees: O/U 6.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5)New York Yankees won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Seattle Mariners vs. New York YankeesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.