MLB · resolved market
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x09d1e5d86edc2c900a228620b8eba41b89f695330312f384a36a40eb12ae5b8e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seattle Marinersof New York Yankees, Seattle Mariners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,794
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,216
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,794 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked New York Yankees | 40c | 13,533$5,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,449.37 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Seattle Mariners | 59c | 12,441$7,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100.88 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Seattle Mariners | 60c | 3,881$2,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,553.22 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked New York Yankees | 43c | 3,800$1,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,618 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked New York Yankees | 39c | 3,477$1,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,356.03 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Seattle Mariners | 59c | 2,542$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.37 | 173 | 46.2%80 W · 93 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed New York Yankees | 20c | 2,528$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.29 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed New York Yankees | 40c | 2,448$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.34 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Seattle Mariners | 61c | 2,272$1,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.27 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Seattle Mariners | 76c | 1,555$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.1 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Seattle Mariners | 62c | 1,500$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.65 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee4f…c0f0backed New York Yankees | 41c | 1,463$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Seattle Mariners | 67c | 1,214$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.81 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Seattle Mariners | 59c | 1,202$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493 | 452 | 52.4%237 W · 215 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Seattle Mariners | 60c | 899.2$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.68 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Seattle Mariners | 59c | 798.94$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.49 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed New York Yankees | 41c | 756.1$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Seattle Mariners | 60c | 616$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.95 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked New York Yankees | 34c | 450$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x776f…32b7backed New York Yankees | 41c | 421.95$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Seattle Mariners | 61c | 389.32$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.95 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Seattle Mariners | 60c | 379$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.6 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Seattle Mariners | 59c | 347.47$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.46 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked New York Yankees | 34c | 339$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.41 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…0f82backed New York Yankees | 39c | 258.97$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Seattle Mariners | 61c | 253.03$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.68 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Seattle Mariners | 62c | 188.82$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.75 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Seattle Mariners | 66c | 177.98$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.51 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked New York Yankees | 16c | 168.63$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.48 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed New York Yankees | 41c | 157.88$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.43 | 478 | 52.3%250 W · 228 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked New York Yankees | 29c | 146.01$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.18 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed New York Yankees | 41c | 146$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.86 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed New York Yankees | 39c | 141.03$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd60…3927backed New York Yankees | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x434a…91cbbacked New York Yankees | 41c | 124.89$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed New York Yankees | 36c | 97$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.92 | 182 | 44.5%81 W · 101 L | -14.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43ac…efa9backed New York Yankees | 39c | 95.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.44 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Seattle Mariners | 61c | 95.97$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.43 | 253 | 55.7%141 W · 112 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed New York Yankees | 37c | 95$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.16 | 464 | 44.4%206 W · 258 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked New York Yankees | 39c | 88.95$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.69 | 564 | 40.4%228 W · 336 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Seattle Mariners | 60c | 68.48$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.39 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3c…35cfbacked Seattle Mariners | 60c | 64$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed New York Yankees | 37c | 57.44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.51 | 215 | 47%101 W · 114 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed New York Yankees | 28c | 55.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.42 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed Seattle Mariners | 68c | 55.26$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.56 | 250 | 53.2%133 W · 117 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed New York Yankees | 30c | 49.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Seattle Mariners | 61c | 42.59$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.61 | 674 | 44.1%297 W · 377 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0617…08d9backed New York Yankees | 31c | 42.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Seattle Mariners | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49f0…285fbacked New York Yankees | 41c | 38.32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -9.7wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Seattle Mariners | 60c | 38$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 799 | 55.9%447 W · 352 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Seattle Mariners | 66c | 35.52$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.08 | 639 | 54.5%348 W · 291 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…a908backed Seattle Mariners | 60c | 30.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 97 | 55.7%54 W · 43 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed New York Yankees | 41c | 28.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed New York Yankees | 40c | 26.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 268 | 57.1%153 W · 115 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Seattle Mariners | 69c | 24.45$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 873 | 70.1%612 W · 261 L | +91.6wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)this page
- Seattle Mariners vs. New York YankeesSeattle Mariners won
- Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees: 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees: O/U 3.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees: O/U 4.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees: O/U 5.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees: O/U 6.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5)New York Yankees won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Seattle Mariners vs. New York YankeesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.