TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: Senegal (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Senegalof Senegal, Iraq
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,757,690
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,780,083

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,757,690 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 894 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc1da…fefabacked Senegal56c400,000$224,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175,999.954143.9%18 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Iraq40c272,165$109,723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109,723.1177152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Iraq40c213,920$85,292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85,292.234,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc430…1ebfbacked Senegal60c160,000$96,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63,999.998932.6%29 W · 60 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd81e…e3d0backed Iraq44c140,000$61,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61,599.9916546.1%76 W · 89 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d4f…e5f3backed Senegal56c123,451$69,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54,318.631952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fd8…ce32backed Iraq40c96,500$38,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,599.9513330.1%40 W · 93 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Iraq44c87,491$38,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,495.9551032.5%166 W · 344 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23d8…0288backed Iraq40c75,999$30,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,399.6917949.2%88 W · 91 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6d1…286abacked Iraq44c62,305$27,414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,414.1317447.1%82 W · 92 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Senegal59c49,532$29,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,317.068,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Senegal59c34,825$20,708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,117.741,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed Senegal58c29,611$17,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,436.736758.2%39 W · 28 L+6.7wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+18.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Senegal60c27,598$16,447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,151.271,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Senegal69c24,563$16,836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,726.852,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d5d…191dbacked Iraq44c22,727$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0006842.6%29 W · 39 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2114…84c5backed Iraq44c22,727$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0008348.2%40 W · 43 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+55.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x839e…0d3cbacked Senegal60c20,500$12,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,20013639%53 W · 83 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf421…cff4backed Iraq44c20,455$9,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,00010849.1%53 W · 55 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52ed…8db7backed Senegal50c18,523$9,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,282.284553.3%24 W · 21 L+5.0wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+25.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe3cb…ac21backed Senegal57c17,106$9,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,355.4713151.1%67 W · 64 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Senegal62c16,256$10,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,116.162,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73bc…46cebacked Senegal59c15,069$8,949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,120.0217852.2%93 W · 85 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4fd…748bbacked Iraq39c15,036$5,861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,861.3814727.2%40 W · 107 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x379a…5122backed Iraq44c13,636$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,0009948.5%48 W · 51 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e4e…1dfcbacked Iraq44c12,461$5,483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,482.939647.9%46 W · 50 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7225…659abacked Senegal57c12,123$6,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,212.692846.4%13 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Senegal61c12,118$7,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,726.0774752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Iraq43c12,061$5,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,180.151,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Iraq40c11,991$4,767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,766.6374447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf377…4159backed Iraq39c11,613$4,529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,529.215328.3%15 W · 38 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf298…ada5backed Senegal60c10,000$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,0006943.5%30 W · 39 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-22.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4582…619ebacked Senegal60c10,000$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,0008735.6%31 W · 56 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-36.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Iraq42c10,000$4,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,20022752.4%119 W · 108 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ad1…9198backed Iraq40c10,000$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,999.998453.6%45 W · 39 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed Iraq39c10,000$3,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,899.9838026.6%101 W · 279 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Iraq42c9,565$3,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,999.321849.5%108 W · 110 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc41d…74fdbacked Iraq43c9,500$4,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,08514139%55 W · 86 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked Senegal61c8,449$5,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,295.0422943.7%100 W · 129 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Iraq44c8,000$3,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,52036250.8%184 W · 178 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x59f4…c1f1backed Iraq38c7,942$3,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,045.518135.8%29 W · 52 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+33.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Iraq39c7,045$2,757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,757.363,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a6b…96e1backed Iraq11c6,768$745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$744.8225821.3%55 W · 203 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick20cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Iraq43c6,500$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,80050243.4%218 W · 284 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Iraq43c6,282$2,692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,692.4147144.8%211 W · 260 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Iraq43c6,133$2,658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,658.361,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed Senegal66c6,037$3,976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,061.1812047.5%57 W · 63 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Iraq43c6,000$2,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,58048441.9%203 W · 281 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Iraq40c6,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,399.9522451.3%115 W · 109 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe97…6347backed Senegal60c5,824$3,511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,313.2512958.1%75 W · 54 L+13.4wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+25%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xea48…c596backed Iraq44c5,318$2,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,339.921428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-36.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Senegal60c5,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,00036247.2%171 W · 191 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5faf…1183backed Senegal60c5,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0009823.5%23 W · 75 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-33.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa18c…d792backed Iraq38c4,900$1,862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,861.9824058.8%141 W · 99 L+19.8wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Senegal59c4,877$2,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,977.1920262.4%126 W · 76 L-0.3wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…e7a9backed Iraq43c4,800$2,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,063.9744144%194 W · 247 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Iraq41c4,563$1,852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,852.272,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x75f0…2b66backed Iraq11c4,446$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.0129030.7%89 W · 201 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Senegal60c4,326$2,596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,730.4128162.6%176 W · 105 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a22…7b00backed Senegal79c4,114$3,259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$854.543467.6%23 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8c2…3048backed Iraq40c4,000$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,60019148.2%92 W · 99 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e9d…e88bbacked Senegal60c3,580$2,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,432.053100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Iraq44c3,500$1,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,54047643.3%206 W · 270 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Iraq42c3,497$1,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,460.392,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc092…0cd9backed Senegal58c3,448$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,448.285729.8%17 W · 40 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69ff…0d1dbacked Senegal58c3,448$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,448.2811254.5%61 W · 51 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30da…a11dbacked Senegal58c3,448$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,448.2827820.1%56 W · 222 L-17.2wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-26.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Iraq42c3,361$1,428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,427.911,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked Senegal58c3,339$1,937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,402.3716647%78 W · 88 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-5.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x58aa…a481backed Senegal60c3,333$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,333.336048.3%29 W · 31 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2412…b5a1backed Senegal60c3,333$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,333.338355.4%46 W · 37 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x944e…8c94backed Iraq40c3,333$1,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,333.1814348.3%69 W · 74 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2ed…4418backed Senegal62c3,226$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,225.8112428.2%35 W · 89 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Iraq44c3,200$1,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40837850.5%191 W · 187 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Iraq43c3,200$1,376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,375.9947442.8%203 W · 271 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8228…b2fbbacked Iraq44c3,163$1,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,391.768251.2%42 W · 40 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62fb…4d60backed Senegal52c3,009$1,577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,431.916847.1%32 W · 36 L+7.7wins+0.11per pick36cpaid+20.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc82f…66a7backed Senegal59c3,000$1,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,230.0133235.5%118 W · 214 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ede…4284backed Senegal59c2,940$1,735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,205.3918738%71 W · 116 L+0.6wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Senegal58c2,900$1,682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2187972.2%57 W · 22 L+10.3wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+24.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Iraq42c2,877$1,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,194.861,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8987…02f3backed Iraq46c2,817$1,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,295.6514342.7%61 W · 82 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+24.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Iraq44c2,800$1,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,23238351.4%197 W · 186 L-1.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Senegal58c2,586$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,086.2189443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad4b…e93dbacked Senegal59c2,581$1,523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,058.172254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Senegal57c2,561$1,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,101.2140343.7%176 W · 227 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93fb…3e4abacked Senegal57c2,533$1,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,089.057241.7%30 W · 42 L+4.9wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+1.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Senegal59c2,500$1,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,024.9911443%49 W · 65 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Iraq42c2,469$1,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,033.461,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Iraq42c2,446$1,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,024.51,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Iraq44c2,400$1,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,05635251.7%182 W · 170 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4307…df08backed Senegal60c2,312$1,387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$924.653542.9%15 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid+20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7fb…e5fdbacked Senegal54c2,168$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,007.6511256.3%63 W · 49 L+9.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Iraq43c2,106$898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$897.952,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7544…b575backed Iraq43c2,000$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85022047.7%105 W · 115 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x475b…02b4backed Senegal60c2,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8003557.1%20 W · 15 L+5.5wins+0.16per pick41cpaid+67.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8716…57c8backed Iraq43c2,000$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85032647.9%156 W · 170 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Senegal57c2,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86013762.8%86 W · 51 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Iraq42c2,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.9738526.8%103 W · 282 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7516…8bebbacked Iraq42c2,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.9711657.8%67 W · 49 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.