Fifa International · resolved market
Senegal vs. Iraq: Senegal 1st Half O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0432a38e9d00bce6eb803625ba850fa26c147841c7dcb01608644fa407878672
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,104
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,134
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,104 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 65c | 5,105$3,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,771.84 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Over | 29c | 3,911$1,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,138.34 | 229 | 43.7%100 W · 129 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Over | 56c | 3,000$1,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,694.96 | 432 | 48.4%209 W · 223 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Under | 65c | 1,806$1,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.2 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 67c | 545.08$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.22 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc386…386fbacked Over | 39c | 530.97$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.44 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee4…80f2backed Under | 61c | 519.97$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.99 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Under | 66c | 499.99$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 53c | 475.07$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.14 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 60c | 465.24$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.32 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a65…e883backed Under | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -6.9wins | -0.12per pick | 61cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c86…6a80backed Over | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 148 | 39.9%59 W · 89 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 35c | 266.43$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.25 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 39c | 251.91$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.52 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb2…02b0backed Over | 36c | 250$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 365 | 34.2%125 W · 240 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x701e…6137backed Over | 34c | 248$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.76 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -5.4wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…2888backed Under | 66c | 234$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.56 | 272 | 27.6%75 W · 197 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Under | 66c | 227.27$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.27 | 74 | 71.6%53 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Over | 67c | 214.88$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.97 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Over | 75c | 148.76$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.57 | 432 | 46.8%202 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Over | 37c | 136.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 295 | 29.8%88 W · 207 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x304c…def8backed Over | 77c | 128.26$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.76 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 63c | 116.76$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 65c | 109.33$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.37 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8b…5e62backed Over | 33c | 106.06$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…b55cbacked Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2064…0ab1backed Over | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 109 | 54.1%59 W · 50 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ea…105dbacked Over | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 177 | 35%62 W · 115 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Under | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 572 | 52.4%300 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05ad…dda9backed Over | 36c | 97.22$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 66c | 88.2$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.28 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Over | 19c | 65.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Over | 34c | 59.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb24…d79fbacked Over | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 95 | 61.1%58 W · 37 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b79…e5d8backed Over | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 231 | 42.4%98 W · 133 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Over | 34c | 49.6$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Over | 34c | 47.62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d9…c993backed Over | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 29c | 42.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 200 | 67.5%135 W · 65 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb020…92f3backed Over | 37c | 41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 233 | 43.3%101 W · 132 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecf…75d2backed Over | 35c | 31.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 123 | 40.7%50 W · 73 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8278…ad93backed Over | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2763…abe6backed Over | 34c | 29.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 66c | 29.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.19 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Over | 64c | 27.44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 177 | 60.5%107 W · 70 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 66c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dfb…f1b7backed Under | 45c | 22.65$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.36 | 782 | 34.3%268 W · 514 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Under | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 548 | 59.5%326 W · 222 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c34…266dbacked Under | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 256 | 55.1%141 W · 115 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Under | 67c | 19.94$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.58 | 660 | 56.8%375 W · 285 L | +34.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Senegal vs. Iraq: Senegal 1st Half O/U 1.5this page
- Senegal vs. Iraq: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: Iraq 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: Iraq 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: Iraq 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: Iraq O/U 0.5Under won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: Iraq O/U 1.5Under won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: Iraq O/U 2.5Under won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 0.5Over won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 1.5Over won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 2.5Over won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5Over won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 4.5Over won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 5.5Under won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 6.5Under won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 7.5Under won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 8.5Under won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: Senegal 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: Senegal 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: Senegal O/U 0.5Over won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: Senegal O/U 1.5Over won
- Senegal vs. Iraq: Senegal O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: Iraq (-1.5)Senegal won
- Spread: Iraq (-4.5)Senegal won
- Spread: Senegal (-1.5)Senegal won
- Spread: Senegal (-2.5)Senegal won
- Spread: Senegal (-3.5)Senegal won
- Spread: Senegal (-4.5)Senegal won
- Spread: Senegal (-5.5)Iraq won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.