TailMyPicks
Market

Fifa International · resolved market

Senegal vs. Iraq: 1st Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$237,979
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$257,350

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $237,979 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 209 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Over38c23,503$8,933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,933.353,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ec6…d9edbacked Over4c21,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80021631%67 W · 149 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-37.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over55c11,905$6,603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,602.692,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under68c11,798$7,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,802.9864446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed Over2c8,761$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.6127931.9%89 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+60.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under64c7,713$4,908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,804.174,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over44c6,328$2,781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,781.372,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under57c5,783$3,269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,513.931,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked Over38c5,459$2,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,051.2322943.7%100 W · 129 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under56c5,222$2,902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,32074447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1da…27bdbacked Under59c4,305$2,524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,780.394472.7%32 W · 12 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0563…f41cbacked Under56c4,209$2,366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,843.0615040%60 W · 90 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under24c3,988$954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,033.631,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Under46c3,973$1,844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,128.8136235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc368…a3c4backed Over43c3,886$1,670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,67016953.3%90 W · 79 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under57c3,500$1,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50586452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0de8…6cf3backed Over44c3,409$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5006930.4%21 W · 48 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick33cpaid+11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa487…9439backed Under58c3,144$1,824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,319.216640.9%27 W · 39 L-8.4wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-13.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Under73c3,119$2,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$842.1313738.7%53 W · 84 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Under38c2,632$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,631.5741331%128 W · 285 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07ea…a6babacked Over59c2,305$1,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,36035244%155 W · 197 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21d5…442bbacked Over69c2,304$1,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,59010949.5%54 W · 55 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7ac…f764backed Over44c2,273$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0006543.1%28 W · 37 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Over45c2,222$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00031644.9%142 W · 174 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed Over17c2,076$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.1134924.4%85 W · 264 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Over60c2,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20024635.8%88 W · 158 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under56c1,786$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.7167447.6%321 W · 353 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e4e…1dfcbacked Under58c1,729$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729.389647.9%46 W · 50 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under56c1,679$947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$732.022,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6adf…4f5bbacked Over44c1,500$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66016139.8%64 W · 97 L-0.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid+6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Over36c1,500$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.9913447.8%64 W · 70 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb3a…d1ccbacked Over1c1,456$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4722933.6%77 W · 152 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over70c1,437$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.884,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked Under78c1,347$1,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.8530642.8%131 W · 175 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd86e…45cebacked Under57c1,288$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.848856.8%50 W · 38 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Under65c1,271$822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.0965036.9%240 W · 410 L-27.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Over21c1,199$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25046223.2%107 W · 355 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under56c1,175$657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.982,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9124…f819backed Over53c1,130$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6006947.8%33 W · 36 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Over15c1,113$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.8944130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Under55c1,084$596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.7733149.5%164 W · 167 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over47c1,065$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50089443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Under62c1,003$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.91,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Under59c988.2$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.691,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Under61c952.31$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.171,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Under26c929.06$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$688.8779149.2%389 W · 402 L+28.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under56c914.99$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.61,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Over67c897.33$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60036539.7%145 W · 220 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over37c896.23$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.042,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb76b…d1f0backed Under73c891.67$649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.6814238.7%55 W · 87 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d74…a37fbacked Under75c832.12$625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.0220839.4%82 W · 126 L+0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid+33%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb41a…0a9bbacked Under74c804.05$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.777047.1%33 W · 37 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+55.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over36c759.21$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.1369534.8%242 W · 453 L-48.8wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over58c747.41$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.571,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over43c743.36$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.432,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3baf…7d44backed Over18c735.66$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.727032.2%87 W · 183 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over52c706.04$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.342,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9516…0bcbbacked Over43c697.75$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30056240.6%228 W · 334 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc57a…1420backed Under29c687.31$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.311020%2 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-38.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed Under57c683$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.6924950.2%125 W · 124 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Over48c625.61$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30011645.7%53 W · 63 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over6c622.52$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.1951514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Under26c602$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.1377051.3%395 W · 375 L+29.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Under56c535.71$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.715538.2%21 W · 34 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbf4…ac20backed Under39c524.45$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.8434533.6%116 W · 229 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4f1b…9876backed Over42c523.28$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.632733%108 W · 219 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7a…9e24backed Under73c502.43$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.6613234.1%45 W · 87 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Over43c499.99$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21595739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c3a…a56bbacked Under27c499.99$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.3922643.4%98 W · 128 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Over40c468.43$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.3770648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe85d…0d61backed Over45c450$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.52931%9 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-30.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Under59c450$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18687237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over42c438.65$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.78,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Over5c424.58$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2337242.5%158 W · 214 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked Under56c350$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15445038.2%172 W · 278 L-28.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d33…4af5backed Over47c316.19$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502937.9%11 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62ff…5058backed Over43c313.95$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1357847.4%37 W · 41 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over5c313$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.611,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Under33c300.05$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.057136.6%26 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bab…50aabacked Over70c285.95$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20016753.9%90 W · 77 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under35c275.14$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.8483153.3%443 W · 388 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0ae…428cbacked Over30c264.29$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8037320.9%78 W · 295 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick19cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Over16c264.23$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.0643737.8%165 W · 272 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2bf3…4f00backed Under31c259.64$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.4948055.2%265 W · 215 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6903…b2edbacked Under49c255.59$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.354566.7%30 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x189e…5aaebacked Under25c250$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.7541551.8%215 W · 200 L+21.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over43c233.92$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.563,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1556…b722backed Over48c232.69$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11229639.5%117 W · 179 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03b8…b4aebacked Under45c224.64$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.6423353.2%124 W · 109 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffda…c1fcbacked Under57c219.66$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.453372.7%24 W · 9 L+5.7wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+28.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over34c211.21$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.6348328%135 W · 348 L-19.4wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Under77c209.57$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.21,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc243…5e94backed Under53c208$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.768651.2%44 W · 42 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked Under27c205.18$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.8830547.2%144 W · 161 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa681…8b89backed Over41c200$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8227028.9%78 W · 192 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x372e…4453backed Over44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8814829.1%43 W · 105 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x735c…55edbacked Under27c191.59$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.469835.7%35 W · 63 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-26.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b0e…4778backed Under65c185.03$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.761030%3 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.26per pick56cpaid-51.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under56c179.97$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.591,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40b3…bf2ebacked Under22c177.55$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.6212429%36 W · 88 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.