TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Senegal vs. Iraq: Both Teams to Score in First Half

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$28,080
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$31,516

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,080 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes10c4,998$494 inLost-$494.272,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe4e…d0c6backed Yes11c2,757$300 inLost-$30011035.5%39 W · 71 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes20c2,035$407 inLost-$407.3531644.9%142 W · 174 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes19c1,393$266 inLost-$266.218,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No80c933.04$746 inWon+$186.613,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes27c839.44$226 inLost-$226.287651.1%448 W · 428 L+25.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes7c752.57$50 inLost-$5046223.2%107 W · 355 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb56b…28dbbacked Yes20c750$150 inLost-$1504216.7%7 W · 35 L-4.9wins-0.12per pick28cpaid-75.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6b9e…d362backed Yes20c617.5$124 inLost-$123.511436.8%42 W · 72 L+7.2wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes19c573$109 inLost-$108.872,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes10c481.18$50 inLost-$49.731,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes11c450$50 inLost-$49.54,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf984…24cebacked Yes19c331.58$63 inLost-$6310331.1%32 W · 71 L+0.5wins0.00per pick31cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe80f…3354backed Yes18c163.74$30 inLost-$3031728.1%89 W · 228 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a3f…a42abacked Yes19c61.49$12 inLost-$11.686618.2%12 W · 54 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-3.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked No80c38.52$31 inWon+$7.770648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6380…e633backed No79c25.32$20 inWon+$5.323577.1%27 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick71cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.