TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Senegal vs. Iraq: Senegal 1st Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,882
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,228

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,882 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa2c3…ac23backed Over69c428.24$295 inWon+$132.7595739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under31c253.65$79 inLost-$78.638,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under28c176.9$49 inLost-$48.994,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bab…50aabacked Over72c166.94$120 inWon+$46.9416753.9%90 W · 77 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f3c…c98cbacked Over72c138.89$100 inWon+$38.894663%29 W · 17 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under31c124.45$39 inLost-$38.583,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a09…cdffbacked Over70c106.09$74 inWon+$31.836235.5%22 W · 40 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-38.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Under29c96.89$28 inLost-$27.71,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under28c70.25$20 inLost-$19.853,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4010…eacfbacked Over72c69.44$50 inWon+$19.449459.6%56 W · 38 L+7.0wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9892…fd59backed Under31c64.52$20 inLost-$2046243.5%201 W · 261 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under31c59.96$18 inLost-$18.333,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b99…4b3abacked Under29c56.34$16 inLost-$16.344327.9%12 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb24…d79fbacked Over71c56.34$40 inWon+$16.349561.1%58 W · 37 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under28c49.99$14 inLost-$142,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc54…db0ebacked Over71c40$28 inWon+$11.619653.6%105 W · 91 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b79…e5d8backed Over72c27.78$20 inWon+$7.7823142.4%98 W · 133 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Over73c27.44$20 inWon+$7.4420067.5%135 W · 65 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick67cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5380…9592backed Over74c27.03$20 inWon+$7.0333847.9%162 W · 176 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Over67c23.04$15 inWon+$7.62,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9152…1311backed Over71c20$14 inWon+$5.81346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.15per pick61cpaid-30.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.