TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$705,471
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$825,220

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $705,471 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 260 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Over23c38,941$8,806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,806.033,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed Over10c25,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,499.9921937%81 W · 138 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4fd…748bbacked Over49c23,059$11,279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,279.2814727.2%40 W · 107 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over17c21,066$3,623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,622.974,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Over28c19,778$5,617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,616.6964446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over20c12,644$2,581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,580.551,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over16c6,292$976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$975.632,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x34da…3435backed Under76c6,276$4,748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,528.42030%6 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-24.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x725d…42b0backed Over32c5,613$1,783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,782.543735.1%13 W · 24 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over30c5,606$1,668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,667.591,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d74…a37fbacked Under80c5,148$4,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,041.2620839.4%82 W · 126 L+0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid+33%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2217…1660backed Under79c5,058$4,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,050.1563544.4%282 W · 353 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under71c4,724$3,347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,376.962,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under69c4,507$3,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,393.864,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03b8…b4aebacked Under73c4,381$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,181.0823353.2%124 W · 109 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Under61c3,853$2,335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,518.741,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1da…27bdbacked Under68c3,656$2,487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,168.594472.7%32 W · 12 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x96ef…b406backed Under78c3,626$2,829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$797.123464.7%22 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under63c3,580$2,252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,328.0573536.3%267 W · 468 L-32.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x70ef…e6ddbacked Over10c3,570$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.9910840.7%44 W · 64 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9124…f819backed Under72c3,510$2,515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$995.326947.8%33 W · 36 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Under49c3,275$1,613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,662.8143737.8%165 W · 272 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Under64c3,158$2,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,125.3258926.8%158 W · 431 L-30.5wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-44.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed Over50c3,154$1,585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,585.2723857.6%137 W · 101 L+22.5wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Under66c3,024$1,989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,035.1541331%128 W · 285 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c3a…a56bbacked Over27c3,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80022643.4%98 W · 128 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under56c2,867$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,267.3820262.4%126 W · 76 L-0.3wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under79c2,862$2,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.982,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Under66c2,714$1,790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$924.4333740.4%136 W · 201 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under48c2,630$1,264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,366.512,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Under58c2,546$1,476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,070.424533.5%82 W · 163 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed Over23c2,515$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.0527931.9%89 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+60.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Under67c2,352$1,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$772.1175335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over31c2,286$712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$711.812,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f0b…a0d9backed Under74c2,062$1,519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.173961.5%24 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick57cpaid-4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over2c2,041$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.8251514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Under75c2,031$1,523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.8313461.9%83 W · 51 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf94f…9adabacked Under50c2,014$1,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,001.532763%17 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+27.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1eef…83aabacked Over53c2,004$1,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,052.477639.5%30 W · 46 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ec6…d9edbacked Over20c2,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40021631%67 W · 149 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-37.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Over50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00021759%128 W · 89 L+13.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Under76c1,930$1,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.4236235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under73c1,897$1,383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.771,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaf16…464ebacked Over11c1,762$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.8212117.4%21 W · 100 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6adf…4f5bbacked Over11c1,700$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.2816139.8%64 W · 97 L-0.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid+6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Over52c1,690$887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$886.9730626.5%81 W · 225 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under74c1,630$1,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.8583153.3%443 W · 388 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f7d…f097backed Over6c1,606$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.2210915.6%17 W · 92 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick14cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bb1…eac3backed Over12c1,604$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.3915920.1%32 W · 127 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Under57c1,555$884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671.661,06331.7%337 W · 726 L-33.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe392…c023backed Under71c1,400$993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.527543.6%120 W · 155 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3740…a935backed Under73c1,400$1,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.821166.4%140 W · 71 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbec0…9bddbacked Under74c1,334$985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.662633.9%212 W · 414 L-28.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-37.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Under53c1,259$663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.5498134.8%341 W · 640 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8a7…c881backed Over9c1,220$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.298347%39 W · 44 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under52c1,173$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.0419946.7%93 W · 106 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over6c1,162$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.761,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over30c1,150$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.441,14146.2%527 W · 614 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over20c1,126$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.662,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked Under74c1,098$816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.7430642.8%131 W · 175 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc54…db0ebacked Over10c1,062$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.3619653.6%105 W · 91 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under60c1,039$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.92,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over22c1,004$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.11,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd8ca…298dbacked Over10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005824.1%14 W · 44 L+4.1wins+0.07per pick17cpaid+127.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc32a…f7ebbacked Over3c1,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301219.1%11 W · 110 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick7cpaid+16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ebb…8220backed Under60c915.32$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.3228224.1%68 W · 214 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Over44c905.78$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.1258942.6%251 W · 338 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3baf…7d44backed Over28c878.47$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.5327032.2%87 W · 183 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Over53c873.04$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.0336539.7%145 W · 220 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e9f…3988backed Under80c853.04$678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.6923558.3%137 W · 98 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked Over2c833.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2021722.1%48 W · 169 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+23.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Under80c818.93$653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.0465948.6%320 W · 339 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Under74c752.27$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.4451032.5%166 W · 344 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x145a…5e86backed Over29c749.63$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.3921641.7%90 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Over20c661.64$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13046223.2%107 W · 355 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under61c631$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.4557541.7%240 W · 335 L-20.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over15c624.95$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.4469534.8%242 W · 453 L-48.8wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x90e7…6f0ebacked Under80c613.39$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.293865.8%25 W · 13 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+23.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x771c…ec16backed Under19c600$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4865726.3%15 W · 42 L+7.3wins+0.13per pick14cpaid+149.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6dce…4490backed Under75c599.98$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.47636.8%28 W · 48 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-22%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Over11c576.95$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.611,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d06…755bbacked Under64c554.43$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.419744.2%87 W · 110 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef04…f6e3backed Under56c549.21$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.474746.8%22 W · 25 L-5.2wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-28.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7776…be8dbacked Under71c538.82$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.822161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+24%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Under66c532.52$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.346445.5%211 W · 253 L-1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92eb…9fcdbacked Under47c531.91$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.9119738.1%75 W · 122 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+57.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51af…8720backed Over11c500.14$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.031915.8%3 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-53.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fd8…7749backed Under50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25016041.3%66 W · 94 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x581f…9d8ebacked Under74c500$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1325364.2%34 W · 19 L+7.6wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+30%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3c69…b1debacked Under49c500$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.52955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x613a…2185backed Under54c491$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.2646230.1%139 W · 323 L-13.8wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e6…9b21backed Under53c474.13$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.1325339.5%100 W · 153 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Under74c466.48$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.4979149.2%389 W · 402 L+28.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb76b…d1f0backed Under65c455.58$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.3714238.7%55 W · 87 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd38c…371ebacked Over23c429.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020133.8%68 W · 133 L+14.0wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+33.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2ea6…428abacked Under75c421.79$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.696747.8%32 W · 35 L-7.8wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-21.3%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xc1be…6471backed Under73c411.44$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.445944.1%26 W · 33 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-19.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x27f5…c45dbacked Under50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.48151.9%42 W · 39 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x250f…4fc6backed Over41c400$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16511156.8%63 W · 48 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fa9…09fabacked Over11c397.72$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4522932.8%75 W · 154 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+37.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.