TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x34da…3435

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
77
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Middle East, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 62 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2030%6 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-24.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+525%+$52.5
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,505Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,505
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$270
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$184
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$359Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$359
Egypt vs. IR Iran: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+118.6%+$118.65
Spread: Belgium (-2.5)backed Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$127.27
New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$4,748Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+32.2%+$1,528.4
Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+25%+$250
Spread: France (-1.5)backed Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 0 DR Congo?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$516Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$516
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$620Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$620
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$76
Will Poland qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 20 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1275%9 W · 3 L+4.1wins+0.34per pick41cpaid+74.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
Middle East — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$540
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$996Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+141%+$1,404
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$690
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+133.6%+$66.82
Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$401Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+172.7%+$692.93
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$625Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+202.9%+$1,268.46
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$348Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+197%+$685.51
Nothing Ever Happens: Iran Strike Editionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+25%+$3
Will Israel strike ≤1 countries in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+25%+$5
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+78.6%+$11.79
All 12 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT1181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick62cpaid+28%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
World Politics — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.6
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+40.6%+$11.78
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$3,990Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+51.8%+$2,065.16
Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the April meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$4.5
Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+58.8%+$11.75
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Will Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.57
Will Rastriya Swatantra Party win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+94.2%+$10.36
Will Matt Goodwin – Reform win the Gorton and Denton by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$19.2
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 11 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Celtics vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$8.6
Clippers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+38.9%+$7.33
Pelicans vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Mavericks vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+25%+$4
All 4 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+54.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+48.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+108.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+29.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+27.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick67cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+426.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Sean Strickland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$426.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+150%+$22.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$195.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$14.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Abacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+85.7%+$54.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoevenbacked Usyk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$80
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+53.8%+$7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Moonbirds FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+35.8%+$7.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+31.6%+$4.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+27.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+27.2%+$5.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.