Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaca29ceff699b8779e1c9e345f704dae6f0f2c18a8ed5b175e150026b81a4d3e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof Team Falcons, Virtus.pro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $209,390
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $239,149
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $209,390 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 305 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Team Falcons | 71c | 15,716$11,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,543.39 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Falcons | 77c | 10,056$7,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,331.97 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed Virtus.pro | 25c | 9,000$2,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,260 | 290 | 42.1%122 W · 168 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Falcons | 74c | 7,264$5,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,914.64 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Virtus.pro | 38c | 4,586$1,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,729.49 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Virtus.pro | 23c | 4,005$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.41 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…40dfbacked Team Falcons | 56c | 3,963$2,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,745.87 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Virtus.pro | 29c | 3,477$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.57 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9d…f409backed Virtus.pro | 21c | 3,244$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.53 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f8…d85abacked Virtus.pro | 54c | 2,947$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Virtus.pro | 28c | 2,517$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.34 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Virtus.pro | 29c | 2,511$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.67 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Virtus.pro | 29c | 2,500$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked Virtus.pro | 28c | 2,500$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.99 | 145 | 15.2%22 W · 123 L | -16.5wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked Team Falcons | 60c | 2,424$1,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.94 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Virtus.pro | 36c | 2,065$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.3 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Team Falcons | 70c | 2,000$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked Virtus.pro | 29c | 2,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0738…6392backed Team Falcons | 61c | 1,990$1,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.7 | 212 | 64.2%136 W · 76 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Virtus.pro | 40c | 1,966$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.85 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Team Falcons | 46c | 1,841$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.04 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Virtus.pro | 44c | 1,813$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.89 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Virtus.pro | 18c | 1,774$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.86 | 207 | 40.1%83 W · 124 L | -14.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Virtus.pro | 43c | 1,557$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.82 | 192 | 42.7%82 W · 110 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…273dbacked Virtus.pro | 19c | 1,503$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.58 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | -13.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…db18backed Team Falcons | 71c | 1,490$1,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.03 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefee…d2b3backed Team Falcons | 79c | 1,429$1,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.69 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Virtus.pro | 14c | 1,360$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8756…3c83backed Team Falcons | 49c | 1,350$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.99 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Team Falcons | 76c | 1,342$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.19 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Virtus.pro | 1c | 1,329$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 162 | 32.7%53 W · 109 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Virtus.pro | 31c | 1,301$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.28 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x469f…3d4fbacked Virtus.pro | 42c | 1,249$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.69 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Virtus.pro | 44c | 1,121$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.1 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Virtus.pro | 27c | 1,089$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.73 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Virtus.pro | 26c | 1,088$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.79 | 669 | 47.1%315 W · 354 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8d75backed Team Falcons | 72c | 1,074$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.85 | 242 | 51.7%125 W · 117 L | +21.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked Virtus.pro | 29c | 1,048$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304 | 223 | 40.4%90 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe110…ade6backed Virtus.pro | 9c | 1,044$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Virtus.pro | 27c | 1,044$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.88 | 357 | 37%132 W · 225 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Virtus.pro | 10c | 1,041$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.09 | 713 | 42.5%303 W · 410 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Falcons | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.07 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…8060backed Virtus.pro | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Virtus.pro | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Virtus.pro | 21c | 999.97$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.99 | 291 | 43.6%127 W · 164 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Team Falcons | 72c | 969.18$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.18 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Virtus.pro | 5c | 935.3$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe5b…7658backed Virtus.pro | 3c | 899.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2712…306fbacked Virtus.pro | 7c | 899.4$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89ff…a8f2backed Team Falcons | 72c | 899.04$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.73 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Virtus.pro | 40c | 895.68$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 485 | 39.2%190 W · 295 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7205…8e0abacked Virtus.pro | 26c | 883.03$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.59 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…f5eebacked Team Falcons | 65c | 869.94$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.23 | 134 | 42.5%57 W · 77 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Team Falcons | 74c | 865.73$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.17 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Virtus.pro | 21c | 823.45$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.19 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed Team Falcons | 77c | 802$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.7 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04d3…cdacbacked Virtus.pro | 28c | 798.19$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.03 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | -7.2wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x40a2…844fbacked Team Falcons | 79c | 796.63$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.29 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfee…ed1fbacked Virtus.pro | 19c | 759$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.57 | 106 | 18.9%20 W · 86 L | -14.0wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -52%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f5…40d7backed Virtus.pro | 27c | 750$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.5 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd794…a787backed Virtus.pro | 29c | 749.98$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Team Falcons | 57c | 729.34$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.35 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Falcons | 68c | 728.99$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.89 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Team Falcons | 79c | 707.45$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.77 | 125 | 36%45 W · 80 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c22…0960backed Virtus.pro | 2c | 701.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Virtus.pro | 24c | 694.96$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.93 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45a7…bc63backed Virtus.pro | 4c | 666.85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.36 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Virtus.pro | 51c | 661.8$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.3 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44aa…d1d5backed Virtus.pro | 22c | 650$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Virtus.pro | 24c | 641.61$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.57 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Virtus.pro | 37c | 627.86$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.31 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffc4…b347backed Team Falcons | 58c | 615$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.35 | 294 | 66%194 W · 100 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Virtus.pro | 41c | 600$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.08 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Virtus.pro | 41c | 600$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.73 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed Team Falcons | 57c | 596.85$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.44 | 227 | 52.9%120 W · 107 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked Team Falcons | 58c | 595.39$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.77 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Virtus.pro | 25c | 591.99$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.1 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd206…bd2abacked Team Falcons | 72c | 575.08$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.45 | 159 | 57.2%91 W · 68 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Virtus.pro | 8c | 572.29$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.17 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked Virtus.pro | 19c | 558.1$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.26 | 372 | 23.1%86 W · 286 L | -38.2wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Virtus.pro | 23c | 554.97$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.64 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Virtus.pro | 38c | 547.11$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.55 | 683 | 45.8%313 W · 370 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Virtus.pro | 37c | 531.07$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.15 | 201 | 45.3%91 W · 110 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Virtus.pro | 27c | 530.35$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.68 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Virtus.pro | 53c | 504.63$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.24 | 108 | 33.3%36 W · 72 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc646…e394backed Team Falcons | 72c | 500$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.88 | 376 | 55.1%207 W · 169 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Team Falcons | 54c | 486.89$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.25 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Virtus.pro | 38c | 486.49$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.25 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Virtus.pro | 13c | 480.85$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.29 | 378 | 32.5%123 W · 255 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed Team Falcons | 65c | 472.99$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.6 | 286 | 50%143 W · 143 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Virtus.pro | 31c | 470.97$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1956…750ebacked Virtus.pro | 42c | 469.12$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.03 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Virtus.pro | 35c | 459.96$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.43 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee3…9d1ebacked Team Falcons | 65c | 452.51$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.88 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed Team Falcons | 62c | 440$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.2 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Virtus.pro | 26c | 434.92$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.08 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Virtus.pro | 25c | 433.37$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.34 | 335 | 41.2%138 W · 197 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Team Falcons | 71c | 416.94$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.8 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b6…d248backed Team Falcons | 56c | 407.47$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.61 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Team Falcons | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 203 | 67%136 W · 67 L | +14.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Athis page
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 WinnerVirtus.pro won
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs Virtus.pro (+1.5)Virtus.pro won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.