Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd7701519dcef41b28a721e4ba6cdb88b4fe459d32929c3218c40ac4b4906fe4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Virtus.proof Team Falcons, Virtus.pro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $216,464
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $240,746
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $216,464 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 190 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Team Falcons | 74c | 23,211$17,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,151.96 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Virtus.pro | 29c | 14,741$4,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,519.92 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Falcons | 75c | 9,091$6,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,784.82 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Falcons | 48c | 8,874$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,300 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Virtus.pro | 30c | 7,412$2,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,193.89 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Team Falcons | 65c | 7,073$4,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,577.35 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Virtus.pro | 33c | 7,064$2,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,729.22 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Virtus.pro | 32c | 5,686$1,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,862.14 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Team Falcons | 49c | 5,683$2,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,770.28 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Virtus.pro | 76c | 4,380$3,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,068.64 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Virtus.pro | 31c | 3,880$1,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,684.94 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Virtus.pro | 36c | 3,316$1,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,109.16 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Virtus.pro | 64c | 3,252$2,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155.18 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3601…44fbbacked Team Falcons | 59c | 3,199$1,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,877.05 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e62…f6ffbacked Virtus.pro | 53c | 2,200$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Virtus.pro | 33c | 2,195$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,468.34 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb55…51ddbacked Team Falcons | 79c | 2,016$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.93 | 359 | 60.4%217 W · 142 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Virtus.pro | 75c | 2,000$1,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.36 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked Team Falcons | 67c | 2,000$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,339.97 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Virtus.pro | 29c | 1,750$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,237.5 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Virtus.pro | 31c | 1,750$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,207.5 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Virtus.pro | 49c | 1,700$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.03 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39a7…bcb7backed Virtus.pro | 35c | 1,506$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.91 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed Team Falcons | 8c | 1,500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Virtus.pro | 25c | 1,496$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,122 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Virtus.pro | 37c | 1,495$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.8 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Virtus.pro | 34c | 1,454$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.88 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed Team Falcons | 69c | 1,400$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…92fbbacked Virtus.pro | 52c | 1,391$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.7 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Virtus.pro | 13c | 1,384$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,204.99 | 340 | 51.5%175 W · 165 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Virtus.pro | 46c | 1,263$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.1 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Team Falcons | 63c | 1,250$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.8 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b5…54c4backed Team Falcons | 46c | 1,193$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x581f…9d8ebacked Virtus.pro | 25c | 1,148$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…80d0backed Virtus.pro | 45c | 1,105$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.05 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0a…07c7backed Team Falcons | 74c | 1,042$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.02 | 90 | 63.3%57 W · 33 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b5…205abacked Virtus.pro | 50c | 1,007$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.69 | 319 | 53.9%172 W · 147 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Virtus.pro | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Team Falcons | 67c | 963$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.47 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Virtus.pro | 45c | 877.11$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.27 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad7f…d0d4backed Virtus.pro | 9c | 872.87$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.62 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +38%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…262bbacked Virtus.pro | 25c | 850.45$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.53 | 526 | 49.2%259 W · 267 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Team Falcons | 12c | 833.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.83 | 213 | 33.3%71 W · 142 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…5539backed Virtus.pro | 50c | 762.36$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.12 | 174 | 54%94 W · 80 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4d12backed Virtus.pro | 34c | 756.95$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.68 | 350 | 62.6%219 W · 131 L | +44.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked Virtus.pro | 21c | 700$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Virtus.pro | 72c | 659.99$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.8 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked Team Falcons | 58c | 651.77$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.03 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Virtus.pro | 38c | 636$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.27 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…a7abbacked Virtus.pro | 28c | 632.99$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.36 | 165 | 41.2%68 W · 97 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked Virtus.pro | 36c | 622.76$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.34 | 372 | 23.1%86 W · 286 L | -38.2wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Team Falcons | 61c | 600$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.73 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Team Falcons | 62c | 600$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…cca4backed Virtus.pro | 32c | 528.67$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.27 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe82d…d96bbacked Team Falcons | 72c | 522.47$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.87 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc159…f3c8backed Team Falcons | 4c | 520.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 192 | 38.5%74 W · 118 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Virtus.pro | 34c | 500.84$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.18 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Virtus.pro | 50c | 499.99$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.51 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked Virtus.pro | 54c | 499.99$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.68 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Virtus.pro | 28c | 499.98$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.99 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…dcb9backed Virtus.pro | 44c | 482.01$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.98 | 285 | 49.1%140 W · 145 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Team Falcons | 56c | 459.77$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.87 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62a9…3bb6backed Virtus.pro | 33c | 451.32$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.32 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa62b…0f85backed Team Falcons | 56c | 440.18$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.22 | 117 | 42.7%50 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Virtus.pro | 39c | 431.31$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.89 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Team Falcons | 52c | 399$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.48 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d8d…9fb0backed Team Falcons | 28c | 397.94$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.79 | 86 | 22.1%19 W · 67 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Team Falcons | 67c | 396.52$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.67 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Team Falcons | 64c | 394.08$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.21 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Virtus.pro | 25c | 393.79$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.88 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Virtus.pro | 46c | 387$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.59 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Team Falcons | 60c | 377.35$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.32 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Team Falcons | 74c | 361.82$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.75 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Team Falcons | 69c | 359$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.71 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed Virtus.pro | 19c | 349.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.85 | 437 | 38.4%168 W · 269 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Team Falcons | 17c | 321.79$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.24 | 653 | 37.2%243 W · 410 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Team Falcons | 54c | 313.26$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.73 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked Virtus.pro | 72c | 304.99$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.32 | 353 | 70%247 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Virtus.pro | 32c | 300$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 441 | 49.4%218 W · 223 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Virtus.pro | 29c | 295.01$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.68 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Team Falcons | 52c | 288.45$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 500 | 53%265 W · 235 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65e0…e51dbacked Team Falcons | 69c | 288.27$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 194 | 43.3%84 W · 110 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Virtus.pro | 26c | 280$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.2 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed Virtus.pro | 32c | 280$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.4 | 583 | 56.8%331 W · 252 L | +28.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Team Falcons | 51c | 263$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.13 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Virtus.pro | 37c | 255.26$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.82 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffc4…b347backed Team Falcons | 67c | 250$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.3 | 294 | 66%194 W · 100 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed Team Falcons | 21c | 239.62$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.5 | 354 | 30.5%108 W · 246 L | -27.2wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Virtus.pro | 36c | 232.27$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.4 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89bd…cc95backed Team Falcons | 50c | 220$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Team Falcons | 72c | 208.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 864 | 51.7%447 W · 417 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Virtus.pro | 36c | 205.28$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.9 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc646…e394backed Virtus.pro | 38c | 200$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 376 | 55.1%207 W · 169 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25c5…0031backed Team Falcons | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 89 | 18%16 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Virtus.pro | 22c | 200$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Virtus.pro | 36c | 190$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.6 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48ba…d81dbacked Virtus.pro | 33c | 187.97$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.25 | 563 | 43.9%247 W · 316 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked Virtus.pro | 55c | 180.95$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.95 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed Virtus.pro | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Virtus.pro | 48c | 177$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.9 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - DreamLeague Group ATeam Falcons won
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs Virtus.pro (+1.5)Virtus.pro won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.