Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa6ad4ad4d0c08d16c118d40f0189df0d4b6445cdf24b8fabebe9f2d70da22dff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof Team Falcons, Virtus.pro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $201,706
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $246,548
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $201,706 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 213 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Team Falcons | 76c | 6,414$4,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,558.63 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Team Falcons | 64c | 5,405$3,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,923.88 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Virtus.pro | 36c | 4,526$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Team Falcons | 75c | 4,193$3,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050.94 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Virtus.pro | 34c | 3,439$1,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170.55 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e62…f6ffbacked Virtus.pro | 48c | 3,090$1,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,477.07 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Virtus.pro | 32c | 2,924$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.76 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Falcons | 64c | 2,762$1,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.92 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Virtus.pro | 56c | 2,553$1,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,431.95 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Falcons | 55c | 2,250$1,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018.46 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Virtus.pro | 18c | 2,191$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.09 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Virtus.pro | 27c | 1,825$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Virtus.pro | 37c | 1,730$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.74 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Virtus.pro | 30c | 1,720$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.89 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…92fbbacked Virtus.pro | 53c | 1,705$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.54 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8d75backed Virtus.pro | 29c | 1,702$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.24 | 242 | 51.7%125 W · 117 L | +21.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…80d0backed Team Falcons | 30c | 1,686$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,186.39 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5054…0aafbacked Team Falcons | 75c | 1,458$1,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.57 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Virtus.pro | 24c | 1,453$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.58 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3621…2d2dbacked Virtus.pro | 16c | 1,444$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.74 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +7.6wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d8d…9fb0backed Virtus.pro | 3c | 1,429$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.05 | 86 | 22.1%19 W · 67 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Team Falcons | 63c | 1,382$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.01 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Virtus.pro | 39c | 1,300$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.68 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Virtus.pro | 29c | 1,250$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.17 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd206…bd2abacked Virtus.pro | 30c | 1,250$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.46 | 159 | 57.2%91 W · 68 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked Team Falcons | 50c | 1,170$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Falcons | 62c | 1,154$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.56 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Falcons | 65c | 1,111$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.68 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Team Falcons | 72c | 1,108$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.19 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked Virtus.pro | 30c | 1,107$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.63 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Team Falcons | 58c | 1,081$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.29 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Team Falcons | 63c | 1,050$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89bd…cc95backed Virtus.pro | 23c | 1,036$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.57 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Virtus.pro | 24c | 1,009$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.46 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed Virtus.pro | 28c | 1,007$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.88 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8227…0bccbacked Team Falcons | 70c | 1,002$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.65 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Team Falcons | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Virtus.pro | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Team Falcons | 72c | 978$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.84 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Virtus.pro | 30c | 857$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.94 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…514cbacked Virtus.pro | 34c | 818.17$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 338 | 45.6%154 W · 184 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd56b…342dbacked Team Falcons | 67c | 816.74$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.52 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x758f…dfb7backed Team Falcons | 74c | 808.32$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.32 | 346 | 67.9%235 W · 111 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf29…da00backed Team Falcons | 77c | 805.07$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.43 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked Virtus.pro | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 223 | 40.4%90 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Team Falcons | 50c | 788.23$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.46 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3601…44fbbacked Virtus.pro | 37c | 777.25$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.69 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Team Falcons | 3c | 760.56$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.75 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Team Falcons | 49c | 757.42$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.92 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Virtus.pro | 73c | 750$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.5 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6117…2fafbacked Team Falcons | 77c | 748.08$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.06 | 173 | 73.4%127 W · 46 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Virtus.pro | 23c | 745.17$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.03 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Team Falcons | 54c | 701.04$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.56 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c27…cb5bbacked Team Falcons | 72c | 700$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…a7abbacked Virtus.pro | 28c | 683$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.24 | 165 | 41.2%68 W · 97 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Team Falcons | 62c | 650$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Team Falcons | 62c | 600$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…51dbbacked Virtus.pro | 32c | 571.2$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.78 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…b170backed Virtus.pro | 54c | 551.48$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed Team Falcons | 73c | 550$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.5 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b5…205abacked Virtus.pro | 30c | 536.57$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.18 | 319 | 53.9%172 W · 147 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked Team Falcons | 76c | 509.17$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.23 | 395 | 50.1%198 W · 197 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked Virtus.pro | 28c | 499.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x672d…dbd7backed Virtus.pro | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 400 | 47.5%190 W · 210 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Team Falcons | 54c | 468.56$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.65 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9852…111abacked Team Falcons | 70c | 428.57$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Virtus.pro | 26c | 416.65$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.02 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Team Falcons | 10c | 413$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.41 | 213 | 33.3%71 W · 142 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed Virtus.pro | 28c | 406.25$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.75 | 583 | 56.8%331 W · 252 L | +28.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x008b…c1cfbacked Virtus.pro | 28c | 405$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.45 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdec9…b8abbacked Team Falcons | 77c | 400$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.71 | 147 | 50.3%74 W · 73 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Virtus.pro | 8c | 400$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Virtus.pro | 46c | 397.89$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.14 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Team Falcons | 71c | 391.22$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.18 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3216…0cc7backed Team Falcons | 61c | 390$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.6 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Team Falcons | 64c | 372.73$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.82 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c1…8174backed Virtus.pro | 55c | 352.11$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.75 | 249 | 47.8%119 W · 130 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Team Falcons | 71c | 339.23$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.91 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed Virtus.pro | 15c | 335.16$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.53 | 354 | 30.5%108 W · 246 L | -27.2wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Team Falcons | 68c | 309.91$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.09 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Team Falcons | 25c | 307.92$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.25 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Team Falcons | 61c | 300$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.5 | 170 | 54.7%93 W · 77 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Team Falcons | 66c | 299.13$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.21 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Team Falcons | 75c | 298$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.5 | 410 | 50.2%206 W · 204 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Team Falcons | 74c | 283.82$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.79 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…5539backed Virtus.pro | 32c | 271$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.29 | 174 | 54%94 W · 80 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Team Falcons | 56c | 264.64$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.47 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Team Falcons | 76c | 261.64$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.79 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Virtus.pro | 35c | 260.01$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed Virtus.pro | 67c | 260$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.74 | 537 | 58.8%316 W · 221 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…39bcbacked Team Falcons | 71c | 254.83$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.83 | 327 | 56.9%186 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked Team Falcons | 74c | 250$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Falcons | 36c | 250$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Team Falcons | 44c | 234.39$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.74 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Virtus.pro | 27c | 222$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.94 | 285 | 44.9%128 W · 157 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…26dabacked Team Falcons | 39c | 220.71$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.33 | 211 | 44.1%93 W · 118 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Falcons | 48c | 219.65$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.41 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Team Falcons | 72c | 207.88$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.87 | 500 | 53%265 W · 235 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Virtus.pro | 46c | 206.53$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.34 | 441 | 49.4%218 W · 223 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87c0…244ebacked Virtus.pro | 43c | 202.33$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - DreamLeague Group ATeam Falcons won
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 WinnerVirtus.pro won
- Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs Virtus.pro (+1.5)Virtus.pro won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.