Movies · resolved market
Will The Perfect Neighbor win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8ff777a713d11be58f6c003910295dcdeb68d082294423c4e26a15a3f8d29fa3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $183,495
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $183,495 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 251 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 65c | 12,322$8,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,048.7 | 177 | 51.4%91 W · 86 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed Yes | 1c | 11,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 53 | 11.3%6 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed No | 35c | 8,627$3,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,611.65 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc775…6b22backed Yes | 1c | 8,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.21per pick | 9cpaid | +344.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x56eb…076abacked Yes | 67c | 6,845$4,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,579.37 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25d7…895dbacked Yes | 1c | 4,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b4…1e3ebacked Yes | 62c | 2,673$1,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,670.24 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab9…a08dbacked No | 32c | 1,863$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,257.57 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8733…0626backed No | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eeb…0ca9backed Yes | 75c | 1,334$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 41cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 32c | 1,184$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.92 | 299 | 26.4%79 W · 220 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6794…b4cdbacked Yes | 68c | 1,032$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0336…4bb0backed No | 35c | 1,025$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.48 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4207…b81bbacked No | 33c | 1,007$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +198.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x897a…b17ebacked Yes | 66c | 1,000$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa71c…d0a8backed Yes | 53c | 999$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.47 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x49dd…2a32backed No | 35c | 960$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.35 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -52%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc04c…44ffbacked No | 34c | 939$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.74 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 66c | 843.47$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.04 | 482 | 36.3%175 W · 307 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe80e…9211backed Yes | 68c | 818.64$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.17 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -52%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed45…929dbacked Yes | 62c | 794$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.28 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9778…1d7bbacked No | 47c | 754$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.62 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b92…7585backed Yes | 47c | 746$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.62 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…f8a1backed No | 30c | 708$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.6 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce12…0e76backed No | 41c | 700.89$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ef…095ebacked Yes | 72c | 668$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.96 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -50%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x904d…8fd8backed No | 38c | 664.84$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.84 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d7c…a11bbacked No | 35c | 650$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x968f…a539backed No | 26c | 641$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.34 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +38%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d03…ef8ebacked Yes | 65c | 641$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.65 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…7da2backed Yes | 68c | 626.45$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.14 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…2b04backed Yes | 64c | 599.98$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.99 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…7523backed Yes | 74c | 590$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.6 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4559…f02bbacked No | 38c | 555$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.75 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed Yes | 60c | 515.31$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.95 | 178 | 21.3%38 W · 140 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 33c | 511.95$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.07 | 230 | 41.7%96 W · 134 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7771…009fbacked Yes | 65c | 507.15$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.08 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x173a…eb85backed Yes | 65c | 502$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.3 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf100…2fcabacked No | 53c | 502$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb44…d3d2backed Yes | 65c | 500$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd41…3796backed Yes | 66c | 479$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.14 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +5.6wins | +0.24per pick | 45cpaid | +107.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1970…398dbacked Yes | 48c | 469.23$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.77 | 49 | 18.4%9 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32d0…6070backed No | 31c | 455.44$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.25 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 39c | 452.25$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.4 | 167 | 41.9%70 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60b3…55cfbacked No | 28c | 444$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.68 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc6…02ddbacked Yes | 46c | 440.64$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.81 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe6e…059bbacked Yes | 73c | 409.05$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 34c | 406.98$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.89 | 133 | 37.6%50 W · 83 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a13…4593backed Yes | 60c | 406.81$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.09 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.20per pick | 32cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf4…59b4backed No | 29c | 400$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff7…a220backed Yes | 70c | 386$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.2 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d6…bca9backed No | 38c | 379$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.98 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd708…b9d2backed Yes | 69c | 376.81$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2b…f025backed No | 35c | 373$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.45 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b32…c8a9backed Yes | 65c | 373$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.45 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Yes | 50c | 361.17$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.28 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed No | 36c | 344$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.64 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 64c | 335$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.99 | 106 | 32.1%34 W · 72 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 37c | 309.8$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.91 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90a0…40afbacked Yes | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7371…cadebacked Yes | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.24per pick | 68cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82b9…c6cebacked Yes | 65c | 306.28$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7d…d6ebbacked No | 32c | 299.99$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.99 | 331 | 23.9%79 W · 252 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7786…7914backed Yes | 66c | 284$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.44 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf47f…c0b2backed Yes | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…ddaabacked Yes | 61c | 275.53$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.43 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 34c | 273.95$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.25 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 67c | 272.99$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.01 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd22a…ac22backed Yes | 63c | 242$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.46 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c3…9cefbacked No | 37c | 242$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.46 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 39c | 235.76$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.92 | 156 | 41.7%65 W · 91 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb835…2e51backed No | 25c | 227.08$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.08 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +79.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 65c | 225$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.25 | 365 | 38.1%139 W · 226 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e79…e974backed No | 28c | 224$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.28 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 36c | 222.2$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.21 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 32c | 215.89$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.12 | 56 | 12.5%7 W · 49 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -76%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf53c…00acbacked No | 47c | 212$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.36 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3f…0fa5backed Yes | 65c | 210.16$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.6 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1184…1b67backed No | 53c | 207$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.29 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd49…7fe8backed No | 32c | 200$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe132…ca8dbacked Yes | 76c | 200$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 285 | 28.8%82 W · 203 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa5…8f79backed Yes | 54c | 196.81$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cf…90e6backed Yes | 66c | 176$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.16 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd263…54a7backed No | 35c | 173.98$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.09 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 65c | 166.87$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.8 | 672 | 32%215 W · 457 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…ce82backed No | 35c | 166$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaece…87f3backed No | 33c | 164.93$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.16 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b91…297bbacked Yes | 70c | 161.18$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.07 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +105.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f50…fc3fbacked Yes | 49c | 159.32$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.42 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 53c | 158.55$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.73 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…e465backed No | 35c | 157.2$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.18 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +73.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe309…44c2backed Yes | 70c | 157$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.9 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3156…7d39backed No | 36c | 154$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3395…7c66backed Yes | 49c | 152.62$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x636a…ec94backed Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Yes | 76c | 149.24$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.41 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.42per pick | 62cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 34c | 147.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.85 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc8…05b5backed Yes | 68c | 147.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa5de…882dbacked Yes | 68c | 147.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will The Perfect Neighbor win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?this page
- Will Come See Me in the Good Light win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Cutting Through Rocks win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Mr. Nobody Against Putin win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes won
- Will The Alabama Solution win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.