TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x60b3…55cf

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
66
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NBA, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 61 out of 100; worst AI at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.6wins+0.33per pick49cpaid+113.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.73
Will Deni Avdija win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+144.5%+$238.76
Will the Los Angeles Clippers make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+25%+$52.6
Will the Philadelphia 76ers make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$21.76
Will the New York Knicks win more than 53.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+120.3%+$220.09
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$402Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$684.81
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2025–2026 NBA Central Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$156.64
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$357Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$94.92
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.8
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win more than 43.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$78.76
Will Domantas Sabonis be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$483Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+31.6%+$152.64
All 11 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick39cpaid+28.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Movies — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will The Perfect Neighbor win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$319.68
Will "Hamnet" win exactly 1 award at the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$24.75
Will Sinners win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.2
Will "Sinners" win Best Original Screenplay at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$68.64
Will Adolescence win Best New Scripted Series at the 41st Film Independent Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$138.32
Will Guillermo del Toro be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+29.9%+$14.03
Will Michael B. Jordan be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$17.15
Will Come See Me in the Good Light be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+170.3%+$158.76
Will Mr. Nobody Against Putin be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+212.5%+$36.72
Will Ariana Grande be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+112.8%+$103.35
Will Jay Kelly be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$122.36
All 11 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+83.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$194.67
Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$606Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+25%+$151.38
Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+669.2%+$1,160.58
Nothing Ever Happens: Israel Editionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$204.35
Will US or Israel strike Iran by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$49.49
Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$361Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+122.2%+$441.1
Will Trump say "Think about" during meeting with Netanyahu?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+69.5%+$127.92
Israel strike on Yemen by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+25%+$4.8
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+51.5%+$56.1
All 10 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-58.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Named storm forms before hurricane season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$58.05
Will April 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.43
Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$317Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$316.8
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.09
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$75.18
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.00ºC in December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$43.44
Will NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+49.3%+$35.64
All 8 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-41.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.42per pick67cpaid-57.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+43.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-39.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.80per pick20cpaid+400%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+400%+$368.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+334.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+334.8%+$305.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dundee FC vs. Motherwell FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+150%+$261
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+143.9%+$351.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LA CANCIÓN be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+127.3%+$176.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the Pacific Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$271Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+100%+$271
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$461Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+51.5%+$237.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Charlton Athletic FC vs. Portsmouth FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$102.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Stephen Heidt win the 2026 Idaho Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.