Middle East · resolved market
Israel strike on Yemen by December 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f963830a01d58888281fea01087f596685245bedfc135a38577037118673785
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $99,845
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $110,958
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,845 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8fe…ce76backed No | 69c | 15,692$10,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,929.64 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | +13.9wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +36%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fd…4b39backed Yes | 52c | 13,763$7,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,109.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 14c | 4,549$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.9 | 428 | 18.7%80 W · 348 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f9…9ad6backed No | 36c | 4,386$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,786.37 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +10.0wins | +0.26per pick | 44cpaid | +77.9%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x711c…8495backed No | 69c | 3,530$2,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100.18 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,700$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 358 | 8.7%31 W · 327 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…5ff2backed No | 78c | 1,657$1,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.38 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 27c | 1,433$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.87 | 134 | 19.4%26 W · 108 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 5c | 1,401$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc3…b21fbacked No | 47c | 1,363$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.99 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2d…f8aebacked No | 46c | 1,323$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.2 | 404 | 33.7%136 W · 268 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 2c | 1,273$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 141 | 29.8%42 W · 99 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc9…1ec7backed Yes | 24c | 1,260$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.12 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 8c | 1,163$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.9 | 221 | 7.2%16 W · 205 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d9…2c8cbacked No | 73c | 1,054$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.94 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -6.2wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 3c | 1,000$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.01 | 476 | 9.9%47 W · 429 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7b…160dbacked Yes | 61c | 869.98$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9f…35e5backed No | 70c | 714.55$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.55 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce31…19c4backed Yes | 11c | 709.87$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.22 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +4.6wins | +0.13per pick | 23cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed No | 53c | 698$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.52 | 353 | 55.5%196 W · 157 L | +36.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0d05…305bbacked Yes | 19c | 570$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.5 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 42cpaid | -66%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x19cd…f7ffbacked Yes | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked Yes | 40c | 479.59$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.14 | 194 | 28.9%56 W · 138 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 22c | 451.55$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.89 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…f04ebacked Yes | 6c | 430.24$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.59 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.20per pick | 16cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 14c | 430.14$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.08 | 243 | 8.2%20 W · 223 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8b…1e05backed Yes | 12c | 424.68$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0241…162abacked No | 80c | 404$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.8 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84fd…2f81backed No | 34c | 400$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 40c | 400$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 458 | 43.7%200 W · 258 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Yes | 19c | 398$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.32 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 26cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36b0…f5bebacked No | 80c | 378$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f49…7458backed No | 56c | 354.91$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.91 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecb…b5e3backed No | 80c | 344$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.8 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cf…90e6backed Yes | 21c | 341$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.93 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked Yes | 19c | 337.91$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.85 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked No | 78c | 320.33$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.84 | 118 | 51.7%61 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7176…6f9fbacked Yes | 20c | 311$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.2 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c69…51cabacked Yes | 10c | 305.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 135 | 18.5%25 W · 110 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -16%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…1214backed Yes | 15c | 305$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.75 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed No | 76c | 281.88$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.73 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 78c | 256.49$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.49 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x350e…6539backed Yes | 40c | 256.23$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.27 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 19c | 251.06$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.27 | 589 | 27.2%160 W · 429 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 30c | 241.27$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.64 | 857 | 25.2%216 W · 641 L | -115.1wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3e35…384fbacked Yes | 15c | 233$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.95 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x293b…09a9backed Yes | 22c | 225$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02ee…5adebacked Yes | 18c | 216$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.88 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4c…be9fbacked No | 78c | 210$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.54 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 57cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7532…c6fcbacked No | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc343…48a4backed Yes | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 27c | 199.73$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.95 | 678 | 41.6%282 W · 396 L | -20.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes | 31c | 189.86$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.93 | 423 | 29.1%123 W · 300 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf85…86e1backed Yes | 11c | 179.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad7e…f9ebbacked Yes | 32c | 170$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.9 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7d…a315backed Yes | 12c | 159$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb7…6cd5backed Yes | 9c | 153$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7534…d51bbacked No | 74c | 153$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.78 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +86.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90be…c800backed Yes | 51c | 150$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 153 | 31.4%48 W · 105 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda64…9bc5backed No | 80c | 150$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x662c…bfe7backed No | 60c | 150$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe753…e9bcbacked Yes | 12c | 150$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23c1…704bbacked No | 80c | 145$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe539…5345backed Yes | 20c | 145$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 56c | 141.48$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.66 | 408 | 28.9%118 W · 290 L | -29.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x533d…e5ecbacked Yes | 20c | 139$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17a5…e00abacked No | 54c | 130.8$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.26 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7860…07a8backed Yes | 41c | 130.61$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.55 | 30 | 80%24 W · 6 L | +8.6wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x0417…ddecbacked Yes | 12c | 130.07$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76f8…5145backed Yes | 20c | 130$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +42%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa938…a1ffbacked Yes | 20c | 129$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 11c | 128$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc713…891fbacked Yes | 10c | 128$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d4…5735backed No | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8624…b484backed No | 80c | 124$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…da18backed Yes | 16c | 121.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb9…9725backed Yes | 9c | 119.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | +7.0wins | +0.13per pick | 23cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x09be…76d5backed No | 78c | 118$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.96 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc362…7f4fbacked Yes | 20c | 118$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfec…09a7backed Yes | 10c | 117$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed Yes | 23c | 114.09$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 427 | 38.9%166 W · 261 L | +30.7wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3702…829dbacked Yes | 20c | 113$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x636a…09aabacked Yes | 20c | 110$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d6…bca9backed No | 79c | 107$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.47 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 18c | 105$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 160 | 46.3%74 W · 86 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf58d…a617backed Yes | 21c | 103$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.63 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 0%0 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf59f…3be9backed No | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 157 | 43.9%69 W · 88 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84fa…1327backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 143 | 35%50 W · 93 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d42…8fbbbacked No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 118 | 56.8%67 W · 51 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd502…4974backed No | 78c | 97$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.34 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc336…9f48backed No | 80c | 96$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x45ff…bab6backed Yes | 20c | 96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4c…44d8backed Yes | 15c | 92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…cd55backed No | 78c | 89$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.58 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c7…f199backed Yes | 26c | 88$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5880…a675backed Yes | 13c | 82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce25…4e7dbacked Yes | 22c | 81$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb279…e223backed No | 80c | 80$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.