TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5880…a675

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
90
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: NBA, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 60 out of 100; worst Weather at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+29.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
AI — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$16.34
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$133
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.16
Will Google Gemini score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.16
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$373Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$536.31
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$470Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$469.67
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$97.34
Will OpenAI GPT score at least 35% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$317Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$105.5
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.35 (HIGH) by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$36.4
GPT ads by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+244.8%+$88.04
Another critical Cloudflare incident by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+138.1%+$408.9
Google Gemini Parlaybacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+26.6%+$3.99
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+259.8%+$72.21
Will Gemini win the okbet trading competition?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$16.8
Will Grok have a MacOS desktop app live by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$22.12
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+28.2%+$27.06
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on December 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+40.8%+$20.59
Will Sam Altman say "Trump" or "Election" on The Tonight Show on December 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$33.66
Will the assassination of Charlie Kirk be the #1 searched news on Google this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$25.52
All 19 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Peace" be said at the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.02
Will Frankenstein win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.4
Will Geeta Gandbhir - The Perfect Neighbor win Best Director of a Documentary Film at the 78th DGA Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+122.2%+$242.55
Will Marshall Curry - SNL50: Beyond Saturday Night win Best Director of a Documentary Series or News at the 78th DGA Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+222.6%+$101.43
Will Wicked: For Good win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+51.5%+$65.96
Will Joel Edgerton be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$24.96
Will Cynthia Erivo be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$19.55
Will 2000 Meters to Andriivka be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+177.8%+$50.56
Will Apocalypse in the Tropics be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+96.1%+$42.63
Will Tiffany Little Canfield & Bernard Telsey (Wicked: For Good) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$43.7
Will It Was Just an Accident be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+301.6%+$191.51
Will No Other Choice be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$17.64
Will Josh Safdie be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$13.63
Will Bugonia be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$84
All 14 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT1225%3 W · 9 L-3.2wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-52.8%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
Weather — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.83
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 9 be between 70 and 80?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.02
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$491Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$490.56
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$157.58
Will NYC have less than 3 inches of precipitation in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$75.81
Will NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19.32
Will NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25.77
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+33.3%+$17.5
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$47.25
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in November 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$74.39
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+39.1%+$9.27
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by December 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+194.1%+$122.76
All 12 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT1181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.2wins+0.29per pick52cpaid+75.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+348.4%+$76.15
Will Luka Doncic lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$170.83
Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+25%+$7.4
Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in blocks during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$27.52
Will Dyson Daniels lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$26.22
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$114.4
Will the Washington Wizards have the worst record in the NBA?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$138.32
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win more than 43.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+149.4%+$68.29
Will the Boston Celtics make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+32.3%+$23.11
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win more than 35.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.83
Will Keon Ellis be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+92.3%+$73.44
All 11 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+37.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia occur by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.98
1k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in Q1 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.54
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$156.21
Israel x Syria security agreement by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.88
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$402Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+132.6%+$533.52
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+400%+$59.2
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+194.1%+$160.38
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+78.6%+$77.88
Israel strike on Yemen by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.66
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$42.9
All 10 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick14cpaid+313.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+22%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trove FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$21.75
HumidiFi FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+143.9%+$63.72
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aberdeen FC vs. Celtic FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$823Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$822.75
Aberdeen FC vs. Celtic FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$311Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+95.3%+$296.7
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.89per pick11cpaid+809.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Southern Illinois Salukis vs. Evansville Aces: O/U 142.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$726.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Poker Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Poker — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nik Airball be the biggest winner in the Hustler Casino Million Dollar Marathon?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+51.5%+$39.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AHL: Milwaukee Admirals vs. Grand Rapids Griffinsbacked Milwaukee Admirals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+33.2%+$83.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX have exactly 10 launches in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+28.2%+$52.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$14.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Maduro's rule survive a US military engagement?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$44.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be greater than 3.5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Los Angeles Chargers make the playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$57.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bruno Mars have a #1 hit in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$377Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$377.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anderson Silva win his boxing match against Tyron Woodley?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$18
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tulane make the College Football Playoff?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$44.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will three people dissent the December Fed decision?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$101.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Charlton Athletic FC vs. Portsmouth FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$97.92
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.