NBA · resolved market

Will Dyson Daniels lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeda784d9708b20c0fcfe51cbab121b3016f09e1b2d1be7deccfeeac7d6e3d59a

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Apr 13, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $239,337
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $233,704

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $239,337 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 381 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x9cdd…3e97backed Yes	1c	3,656$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.39	67	64.2%43 W · 24 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	62cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa906…84e4backed Yes	34c	1,947$670 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$669.78	21	57.1%12 W · 9 L	+1.8wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4bcd…e98bbacked Yes	36c	1,803$641 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$641.12	20	60%12 W · 8 L	+1.0wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6578…ba32backed No	50c	1,669$836 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$833.08	24	50%12 W · 12 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb85b…77dbbacked No	66c	1,574$1,039 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$535.16	37	37.8%14 W · 23 L	-4.1wins	-0.11per pick	49cpaid	-44.4%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2604…13ccbacked No	65c	1,553$1,008 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$545.28	30	43.3%13 W · 17 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe136…cacebacked Yes	34c	1,492$507 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$507.28	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+1.8wins	+0.12per pick	41cpaid	+32.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x76f8…5145backed Yes	34c	1,465$498 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$498.1	27	66.7%18 W · 9 L	+5.4wins	+0.20per pick	47cpaid	+39.4%equal weight	62+0.10 edge/pick
0x5784…4018backed No	66c	1,434$942 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$491.86	20	50%10 W · 10 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9ec3…3adcbacked No	47c	1,356$637 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$718.68	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x91be…2641backed Yes	34c	1,316$451 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$451.3	30	36.7%11 W · 19 L	-2.2wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf298…12f8backed No	65c	1,314$855 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$459.24	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x506a…1b43backed No	47c	1,304$613 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$691.12	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+29.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…7523backed No	66c	1,240$818 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$421.6	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-1.3wins	-0.08per pick	43cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x290d…9e42backed No	65c	1,221$795 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$426.2	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-2.3wins	-0.14per pick	49cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x98cb…a127backed No	47c	1,191$560 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$631.23	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc40a…1f50backed Yes	44c	1,186$521 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520.54	16	50%8 W · 8 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x41fb…f72ebacked Yes	53c	1,176$623 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$623.28	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.6wins	-0.40per pick	65cpaid	-67.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x66a7…6569backed No	47c	1,165$548 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$617.45	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-1.7wins	-0.14per pick	56cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe43b…3497backed No	66c	1,164$768 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$395.76	28	53.6%15 W · 13 L	+1.8wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8151…3421backed No	65c	1,133$731 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$402.18	25	48%12 W · 13 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64c9…6bdebacked No	66c	1,114$741 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$373.3	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	+1.8wins	+0.08per pick	40cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x163a…70a2backed Yes	53c	1,105$586 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$585.65	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-2.1wins	-0.19per pick	37cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4b8c…26fdbacked Yes	53c	1,101$584 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$583.53	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-1.4wins	-0.11per pick	42cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a55…1272backed No	65c	1,097$714 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$383.11	17	82.4%14 W · 3 L	+5.3wins	+0.31per pick	51cpaid	+76.4%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0x0fe6…d8e3backed No	47c	1,096$515 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$580.88	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+1.9wins	+0.15per pick	39cpaid	+55.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x45ff…bab6backed Yes	34c	1,069$365 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$364.53	22	59.1%13 W · 9 L	+2.5wins	+0.11per pick	48cpaid	+26.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f52…a35abacked Yes	35c	1,062$372 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$371.7	25	48%12 W · 13 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+30.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b69…6622backed No	65c	1,050$683 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$367.5	11	81.8%9 W · 2 L	+2.7wins	+0.24per pick	58cpaid	+52%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8e96…c895backed No	47c	994$467 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$526.82	18	61.1%11 W · 7 L	+2.9wins	+0.16per pick	45cpaid	+37.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xad90…9090backed Yes	37c	989$366 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$365.61	32	34.4%11 W · 21 L	-1.6wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a6e…88adbacked Yes	34c	964$328 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$327.76	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x671a…ee5abacked Yes	39c	957$377 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$376.58	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71d2…e109backed Yes	36c	935$338 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$338.29	34	35.3%12 W · 22 L	-2.5wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x46ce…c842backed Yes	4c	930.42$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.25	57	15.8%9 W · 48 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8718…6741backed Yes	53c	909$482 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$481.77	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-3.1wins	-0.25per pick	42cpaid	-48.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbb2e…7c01backed No	66c	908$597 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$310.97	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	+2.1wins	+0.12per pick	44cpaid	+50.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x74b8…0c87backed Yes	53c	907$481 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$480.71	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0b2f…c453backed No	66c	903$593 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$310.38	24	54.2%13 W · 11 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6956…dd15backed No	47c	900$423 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$477	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	+29.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc04c…44ffbacked No	65c	893$580 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$312.55	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-37.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09be…76d5backed Yes	34c	892$303 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$303.28	25	56%14 W · 11 L	+2.5wins	+0.10per pick	46cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc713…891fbacked Yes	38c	890$334 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$334.21	32	59.4%19 W · 13 L	+1.4wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cc2…40d7backed Yes	34c	887$297 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$297.35	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	-1.3wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fbd…1598backed Yes	34c	885$305 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$304.89	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-1.4wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6576…f0abbacked Yes	53c	875$464 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$463.75	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	+0.8wins	+0.07per pick	39cpaid	+47.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3702…829dbacked No	64c	862$552 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$310.42	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-41.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9bd…4d4cbacked Yes	53c	860$456 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$455.8	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+1.9wins	+0.24per pick	38cpaid	+67.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9ea1…6487backed No	66c	854$563 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$291.13	40	47.5%19 W · 21 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4984…69d2backed No	65c	848$549 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$298.99	29	37.9%11 W · 18 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x31a8…1f07backed Yes	36c	841$299 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$298.66	32	40.6%13 W · 19 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b63…52cfbacked No	66c	839$554 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$285.26	7	85.7%6 W · 1 L	+2.6wins	+0.37per pick	48cpaid	+117.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8d24…a2e9backed Yes	35c	817$283 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$282.73	22	50%11 W · 11 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8b02…a23bbacked Yes	37c	816$299 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$298.8	20	60%12 W · 8 L	+2.3wins	+0.12per pick	48cpaid	+36%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x293b…09a9backed No	65c	814$530 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$284.32	26	42.3%11 W · 15 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fa8…2bcdbacked No	65c	810$527 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$283.5	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.4wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+61.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x636a…09aabacked Yes	35c	807$285 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$284.92	20	45%9 W · 11 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4b72…cd8ebacked Yes	53c	799$423 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$423.47	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-1.2wins	-0.12per pick	42cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1f3…09e0backed Yes	34c	798$275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$274.72	29	44.8%13 W · 16 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xec92…1214backed No	65c	798$519 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$279.3	32	40.6%13 W · 19 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf049…29fdbacked Yes	35c	788$272 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$272.03	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-1.8wins	-0.12per pick	39cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x322a…3274backed Yes	35c	788$278 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$277.89	29	51.7%15 W · 14 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6478…49f3backed Yes	53c	785$416 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$416.05	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-1.3wins	-0.12per pick	48cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x354c…b301backed Yes	34c	774$264 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$263.94	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	-2.1wins	-0.11per pick	42cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x546a…1abbbacked Yes	53c	765$405 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$405.45	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+1.0wins	+0.09per pick	46cpaid	+26.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff74…24f0backed No	56c	765$428 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$336.6	20	60%12 W · 8 L	+2.2wins	+0.11per pick	49cpaid	+56.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8737…2bffbacked Yes	34c	762$259 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$259.08	29	55.2%16 W · 13 L	+1.7wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+23.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3af9…2cdbbacked No	64c	754$483 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$271.44	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	+0.8wins	+0.07per pick	38cpaid	+2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e4e…6533backed Yes	34c	747$254 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$253.98	10	40%4 W · 6 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x465c…6e53backed Yes	53c	743$394 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$393.79	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+1.2wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	+28.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x993c…eae0backed No	65c	743$483 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$260.05	24	58.3%14 W · 10 L	+2.1wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	+23.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf06d…db77backed Yes	37c	734$272 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$271.58	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2bb…4569backed No	47c	731$344 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$387.43	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	-44.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa71…9767backed Yes	35c	725$254 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$253.53	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	+8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc450…a5b8backed No	47c	723$340 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$383.19	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+0.7wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67f2…6a72backed No	65c	721$471 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$250	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-1.0wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e47…db27backed No	64c	715$460 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$254.69	18	61.1%11 W · 7 L	+3.5wins	+0.19per pick	42cpaid	+47%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa9ab…d0a0backed Yes	34c	711$242 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$241.74	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	-3.9wins	-0.21per pick	52cpaid	-46.7%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x090a…cd55backed No	68c	704$478 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$226.12	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	-1.3wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa18…7693backed No	66c	692.5$454 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$238.61	29	41.4%12 W · 17 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b63…bb9cbacked Yes	53c	691$366 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$366.23	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed No	74c	689.4$511 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$178.3	221	40.3%89 W · 132 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aca…cad6backed No	63c	688$433 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$254.56	23	56.5%13 W · 10 L	+2.7wins	+0.12per pick	45cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0241…162abacked No	61c	685$417 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$267.8	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	-1.1wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22ec…4477backed Yes	35c	681.3$238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$237.83	27	37%10 W · 17 L	-3.4wins	-0.13per pick	50cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes	12c	677.6$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.05	401	33.4%134 W · 267 L	+27.0wins	+0.07per pick	27cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3d0f…af26backed Yes	42c	671$284 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$284.33	20	60%12 W · 8 L	+1.7wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+27.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1bf…a751backed No	66c	668$441 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$227.12	21	57.1%12 W · 9 L	+1.4wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe27…9623backed Yes	53c	661$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350.33	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.6wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+37.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8959…50f8backed Yes	35c	656$233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$232.65	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	-1.4wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf955…bb33backed No	65c	655$427 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$227.68	20	30%6 W · 14 L	-3.4wins	-0.17per pick	47cpaid	-41.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa9e5…d252backed No	65c	654$425 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$228.9	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17be…7a33backed No	65c	650$423 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$227.5	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	-3.1wins	-0.14per pick	42cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6951…cb02backed No	66c	642$421 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$220.52	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-1.3wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe62…6d76backed Yes	53c	641$340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$339.73	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	61cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd008…e9dbbacked No	47c	641$301 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$339.73	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+2.0wins	+0.20per pick	40cpaid	+67.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xaef9…0acbbacked No	47c	640$301 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$339.2	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	+1.6wins	+0.09per pick	32cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5322…95e1backed No	47c	640$301 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$339.2	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d93…7f30backed No	47c	639$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$338.67	15	40%6 W · 9 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5884…3191backed Yes	35c	638$221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220.75	27	44.4%12 W · 15 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Dyson Daniels lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event