NBA · resolved market

Will Cason Wallace lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbfc8ecf54bf0278136688b318ca9af3180394f29342a0e7b3aebf0690f01372e

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Apr 13, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $40,041
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $39,969

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,041 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x177a…aa8ebacked Yes	27c	907$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$244.89	20	30%6 W · 14 L	-2.2wins	-0.11per pick	41cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes	38c	885.15$339 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$338.51	221	40.3%89 W · 132 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed No	77c	858.22$657 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200.91	401	33.4%134 W · 267 L	+27.0wins	+0.07per pick	27cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x71f6…ea40backed No	64c	821$525 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$295.56	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1633…8bf6backed Yes	27c	755$204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$203.85	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+1.8wins	+0.18per pick	42cpaid	+25.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb25c…6d89backed Yes	36c	736$265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$264.96	34	50%17 W · 17 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf40b…7181backed Yes	36c	735$265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$264.6	31	38.7%12 W · 19 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x086a…1435backed Yes	22c	692.25$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.52	63	19%12 W · 51 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa400…ec34backed No	64c	679$435 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$244.44	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	+1.4wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x66a1…80d9backed Yes	4c	604.6$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.65	79	15.2%12 W · 67 L	+5.5wins	+0.07per pick	8cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9ea1…6487backed No	64c	601$385 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$216.36	40	47.5%19 W · 21 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5358…5243backed Yes	6c	547$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.29	56	28.6%16 W · 40 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-38.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c12…d725backed No	73c	519$379 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140.13	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+1.6wins	+0.18per pick	38cpaid	+85.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb85b…77dbbacked No	64c	499$319 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$179.64	37	37.8%14 W · 23 L	-4.1wins	-0.11per pick	49cpaid	-44.4%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6b02…cfc1backed No	73c	479$350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$129.33	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.2wins	-0.19per pick	53cpaid	-41.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa18…7693backed Yes	36c	463$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.68	29	41.4%12 W · 17 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd879…2f44backed Yes	5c	460.5$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.22	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	+7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa71…9767backed Yes	36c	429$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.44	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	+8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11e9…8e90backed No	73c	428$312 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115.56	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+0.8wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1f3…09e0backed Yes	36c	412$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.32	29	44.8%13 W · 16 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x46ce…c842backed Yes	18c	400.01$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.86	57	15.8%9 W · 48 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaffd…b072backed No	73c	367$268 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.09	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.25per pick	75cpaid	+33.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa05d…3e96backed No	64c	364$233 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$131.04	42	35.7%15 W · 27 L	-4.1wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6fcd…0c32backed Yes	19c	328$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.32	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.2wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	18c	322.56$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.79	1,132	17%192 W · 940 L	+2.5wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x848d…76c1backed Yes	11c	314$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.54	31	45.2%14 W · 17 L	+1.5wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7f7…e73bbacked Yes	16c	300$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.44	231	39.8%92 W · 139 L	+6.0wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a7d…d9fcbacked Yes	20c	295$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-58.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4516…ea0ebacked No	76c	290$221 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.29	29	44.8%13 W · 16 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe17a…c6fbbacked No	79c	286$227 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.78	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No	58c	284.91$164 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120.64	88	53.4%47 W · 41 L	+7.3wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd6b9…d0c7backed No	78c	256$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.32	30	33.3%10 W · 20 L	-1.9wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed Yes	32c	252.12$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.44	220	41.4%91 W · 129 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc362…7f4fbacked No	80c	251$201 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.2	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.1wins	+0.15per pick	56cpaid	+19.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7233…f0eabacked Yes	24c	251$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.24	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	21cpaid	-46.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cc7…8211backed Yes	36c	250$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	16	50%8 W · 8 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3024…0c79backed No	64c	250$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90	20	50%10 W · 10 L	+1.2wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7321…1812backed Yes	15c	249.25$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.39	20	35%7 W · 13 L	-1.3wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x28ca…5d19backed Yes	47c	245$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.18	60	48.3%29 W · 31 L	+2.8wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1f6…595cbacked Yes	15c	235$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.25	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-48.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd137…ceacbacked No	80c	231$185 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.2	18	61.1%11 W · 7 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	58cpaid	+64.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa815…9cbebacked Yes	8c	230.76$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.9	89	4.5%4 W · 85 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd70b…a152backed Yes	20c	230$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1446…0a30backed Yes	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	37	2.7%1 W · 36 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	4cpaid	-79.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5518…1211backed Yes	14c	198$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.72	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd091…e046backed Yes	19c	197$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.43	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f1f…feaebacked Yes	6c	190.78$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.39	58	39.7%23 W · 35 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes	54c	187.94$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.25	39	20.5%8 W · 31 L	-9.1wins	-0.23per pick	44cpaid	-64.6%equal weight	34-0.14 edge/pick
0xb338…1ff0backed Yes	36c	187$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.32	33	39.4%13 W · 20 L	-3.0wins	-0.09per pick	48cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4346…2241backed Yes	20c	179$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.8	28	50%14 W · 14 L	+2.1wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x163a…70a2backed Yes	27c	167$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.09	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-2.1wins	-0.19per pick	37cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xea45…e748backed Yes	39c	162.8$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.05	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	+19.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	16c	160.1$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.01	1,554	37.3%579 W · 975 L	-48.1wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x846d…4ab2backed Yes	22c	157$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.54	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	+20.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe433…1700backed Yes	20c	154$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.8	26	42.3%11 W · 15 L	-1.3wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf021…0da3backed No	80c	154$123 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.8	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.08per pick	53cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd9b…b6aabacked Yes	27c	147$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.42	31	48.4%15 W · 16 L	+1.9wins	+0.06per pick	42cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No	52c	139.13$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.11	67	62.7%42 W · 25 L	+5.1wins	+0.08per pick	55cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x27f4…0430backed Yes	17c	138$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.98	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	+1.5wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6587…4f63backed Yes	25c	135$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.75	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x63c2…ca53backed No	64c	134$86 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.24	23	56.5%13 W · 10 L	+2.0wins	+0.09per pick	48cpaid	+38.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f66…ad61backed Yes	20c	132$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.4	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-1.9wins	-0.17per pick	44cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf7ef…79d6backed No	80c	132$106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.4	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x356f…639fbacked Yes	11c	131.4$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.17	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	+141.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe918…d166backed Yes	20c	130$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	30	33.3%10 W · 20 L	-5.1wins	-0.17per pick	50cpaid	-45.5%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd47c…1e9fbacked Yes	66c	126.2$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.29	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.66per pick	66cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf085…a01fbacked No	80c	120$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24	24	50%12 W · 12 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02a5…c0edbacked Yes	36c	119$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.84	32	46.9%15 W · 17 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+17%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc336…9f48backed Yes	22c	119$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.18	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfb5f…f3dcbacked Yes	11c	118$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.98	26	34.6%9 W · 17 L	-2.6wins	-0.10per pick	45cpaid	-35%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb890…a592backed Yes	20c	117$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.4	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+1.4wins	+0.10per pick	44cpaid	+65.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x358d…7602backed No	80c	117$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.4	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6c7…f199backed No	80c	110$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22	22	31.8%7 W · 15 L	-2.1wins	-0.09per pick	41cpaid	-47.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes	23c	109.75$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.78	150	10%15 W · 135 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-33.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d17…1e5ebacked No	79c	108$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.72	23	56.5%13 W · 10 L	+1.3wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+60%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5395…9d41backed No	73c	107$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.89	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb50c…8c30backed Yes	20c	103$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.6	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadd8…8f4bbacked Yes	14c	101$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.14	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93ae…ba41backed Yes	35c	94.8$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.18	45	44.4%20 W · 25 L	+1.9wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	+38.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x02f9…54dbbacked Yes	24c	91.91$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.9	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x758b…0a1cbacked No	75c	87.91$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.98	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+3.0wins	+0.28per pick	36cpaid	+94.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1560…1279backed Yes	17c	87$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.02	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-1.0wins	-0.11per pick	22cpaid	-64.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc9a…cc24backed No	72c	83$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.24	19	26.3%5 W · 14 L	-4.7wins	-0.25per pick	51cpaid	-61.1%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x168e…aa56backed No	72c	82$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.96	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	+28.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x91be…2641backed Yes	28c	82$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.96	30	36.7%11 W · 19 L	-2.2wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1428…7fafbacked Yes	26c	81.47$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.92	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-1.4wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaefa…f98ebacked No	76c	80$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.2	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ae…44adbacked Yes	25c	78$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.5	30	33.3%10 W · 20 L	-3.0wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-36.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3fff…7e0abacked Yes	17c	76.4$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.12	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	26cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f75…2cf5backed Yes	32c	74.99$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0cb…ab6abacked Yes	20c	73$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.6	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-3.1wins	-0.22per pick	44cpaid	-43.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x43d7…54a7backed No	80c	73$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.78	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+0.6wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd134…5558backed Yes	14c	72$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.08	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	-14%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8765…ed81backed Yes	24c	71$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.04	76	22.4%17 W · 59 L	+6.1wins	+0.08per pick	14cpaid	+132.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xca36…bb1dbacked Yes	27c	71$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.17	20	45%9 W · 11 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc713…891fbacked No	78c	67$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.74	32	59.4%19 W · 13 L	+1.4wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe53d…8ab8backed Yes	28c	67$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.76	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x365f…d215backed Yes	22c	67$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.74	16	50%8 W · 8 L	+2.1wins	+0.13per pick	37cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1298…bc58backed Yes	25c	63.22$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-46.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x54af…415ebacked Yes	28c	58$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.24	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-1.9wins	-0.15per pick	46cpaid	-23%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Cason Wallace lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event