TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0fe6…d8e3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
105
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NBA, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 56 out of 100; worst World Politics at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT1662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$68
CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$158.2
Will Seattle have between 3 and 3.5 inches of precipitation in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,316Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$511.84
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$132.6
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$32.32
Will February 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$266Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$367.14
Will Seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+28.2%+$36.08
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$184.23
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.19ºC in January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+26.6%+$3.57
Will January 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$204.69
Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$167.68
Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+25%+$18.8
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$339Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+61.3%+$207.48
Will fewer than 1550 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$98.8
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$127.2
Will NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$267Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+72.7%+$194.08
All 16 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ghada Omar as Yor Forger (SPY x FAMILY Season 3) win Best Anime Voice Artist Performance (Arabic) at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.13
Will All the Empty Rooms win Best Documentary Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$37.84
Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+300%+$393.75
Will "Frankenstein" win exactly 2 awards at the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.96
Will It Was Just an Accident win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.06
Will Frankenstein win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$28
Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$223.82
Will Liz Patrick - SNL50: The Anniversary Special win Best Director of Variety at the 78th DGA Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$149.28
Will Joel Edgerton be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$43.55
Will Emma Stone be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$312Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+35.1%+$109.72
Will Adam Sandler be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+26.6%+$79.38
Will Wunmi Mosaku be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$68.4
Will Ariana Grande be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$67.47
Will Paul Mescal be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+455.6%+$63.96
Will Benicio Del Toro (One Battle After Another) win Best Supporting Actor – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+29.4%+$68.78
All 15 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+27.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.54
Will Netanyahu visit NYC by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$432Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$136.56
Trump invokes War Powers against Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+194.1%+$423.06
Will Israel strike 2 countries in February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$49.92
Nothing Ever Happens: Israel Editionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+63.9%+$16.77
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+138.1%+$19.04
Will Trump say "Venezuela" during meeting with Netanyahu?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$86.35
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+194.1%+$28.38
Will Israel strike 3 countries in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50.12
Odds of Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31 over 50% by January 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$56.27
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$532Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+63.9%+$340.08
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+78.6%+$298.32
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$487Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$486.67
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+222.6%+$261.51
All 14 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick39cpaid+55.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Miami Heat make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$459.2
Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.66
Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in blocks during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$123.12
Will Dyson Daniels lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$515Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$580.88
Will the New York Knicks win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$376Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$375.54
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+418.1%+$364.76
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+119.8%+$171.16
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win more than 43.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$620Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+120.3%+$745.84
Will the Washington Wizards win more than 20.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$207.35
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.4
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025–2026 NBA Central Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.04
Will the Memphis Grizzlies make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$469Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$164.84
Will Lauri Markkanen be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$35.88
All 13 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+26.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$59.28
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$178.2
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+150%+$89.4
Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$386Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$385.71
Will Google Gemini score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$264.5
Will Google Gemini score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$205
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.44
Will Sergey Brin be 3rd richest person on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+150%+$192
Will OpenAI GPT score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$316Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$315.52
GPT ads by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+233.3%+$209.3
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$94.95
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+257.1%+$298.08
All 12 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-73%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-19.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick29cpaid+57.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid-11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-31.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-36.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.78
Will CA River Plate vs. CA Tucumán end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$679Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$180.39
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Team Falcons make it to the Blast Open Rotterdam Grand Final? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$399Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$399.3
Map 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?backed Even · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.48
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $8 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$451Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+212.5%+$958.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran strike Ras Laffan Industrial City again by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$493Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$289.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Brugge advance to the round of 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$644Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+33.3%+$214.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be exactly two announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+28.2%+$7.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trove FDV above $60M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$10.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the Pacific Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dundee FC vs. Motherwell FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$267Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$267.35
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.