Movies · resolved market
Will All the Empty Rooms win Best Documentary Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5dca23cd8ee3dde3965b6875245936b74982319f34a04aacf3f7ab7c74267c83
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,951
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,951 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 218 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 70c | 8,212$5,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,442.31 | 299 | 26.4%79 W · 220 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc853…9d37backed No | 40c | 3,395$1,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,370.93 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…f218backed Yes | 69c | 2,164$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 66c | 2,015$1,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.63 | 482 | 36.3%175 W · 307 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a6…8fb7backed No | 30c | 1,954$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.88 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda9e…ac09backed No | 30c | 1,807$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed No | 38c | 1,564$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.04 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed Yes | 70c | 1,500$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…115ebacked No | 50c | 1,254$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed No | 30c | 1,138$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.7 | 285 | 28.8%82 W · 203 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x611f…1f84backed Yes | 59c | 1,118$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.38 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed Yes | 24c | 999.55$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.45 | 178 | 21.3%38 W · 140 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cf…90e6backed No | 41c | 974$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.34 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecc…53a9backed Yes | 57c | 962.15$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.04 | 237 | 41.4%98 W · 139 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab9…a08dbacked No | 30c | 944.93$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.55 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2d…ddd6backed No | 45c | 915$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.75 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…2b04backed Yes | 68c | 799.9$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.97 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 34c | 746.89$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.61 | 230 | 41.7%96 W · 134 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffa1…15bdbacked Yes | 50c | 675$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed No | 37c | 653.68$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.92 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 67c | 647$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.96 | 184 | 44%81 W · 103 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 32c | 615.92$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.13 | 231 | 30.3%70 W · 161 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb212…0f8ebacked Yes | 62c | 614$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.32 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…9e36backed Yes | 68c | 596.73$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.95 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes | 65c | 593.25$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.89 | 79 | 31.6%25 W · 54 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32d0…6070backed No | 32c | 588.35$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.27 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83e8…7b89backed Yes | 63c | 547$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.65 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ca…4ac0backed No | 76c | 535$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.6 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 72cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…7da2backed Yes | 64c | 516.32$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.11 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64be…c653backed Yes | 63c | 507.75$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.66 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 37c | 497.67$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.25 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1930…691cbacked Yes | 70c | 497.14$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.14 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5243…a73cbacked Yes | 49c | 488$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.88 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f3…e6aabacked No | 50c | 480$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 30c | 475.36$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.61 | 365 | 38.1%139 W · 226 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x177a…aa8ebacked Yes | 55c | 460$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d05…305bbacked Yes | 55c | 455$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.75 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5372…5f61backed Yes | 51c | 452$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.48 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe132…ca8dbacked Yes | 69c | 432.52$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.52 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa457…1a93backed No | 38c | 402$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.76 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb835…2e51backed No | 42c | 400.9$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +79.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaeed…074bbacked No | 30c | 368$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.4 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58d4…e1efbacked Yes | 59c | 361$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.01 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 45c | 349.88$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.04 | 167 | 41.9%70 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfde5…676cbacked Yes | 55c | 341.96$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.68 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf937…53a1backed No | 47c | 330.32$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.18 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked No | 31c | 292.38$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.18 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked No | 30c | 272.05$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.06 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d22…da8bbacked No | 41c | 272$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.52 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49dd…2a32backed Yes | 65c | 265$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.14 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -52%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 46c | 256.39$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.95 | 1,218 | 17.8%217 W · 1,001 L | -124.0wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9c…6216backed No | 35c | 254.5$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.94 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88fc…74a4backed Yes | 69c | 253.9$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.08 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc52f…0981backed No | 30c | 252.63$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdaf…eff6backed Yes | 69c | 250$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.8 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7371…cadebacked Yes | 68c | 250$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.24per pick | 68cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 59c | 243.77$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.41 | 106 | 32.1%34 W · 72 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc6…02ddbacked Yes | 59c | 239.42$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.94 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0367…1c15backed Yes | 49c | 238$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.38 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 29c | 234.66$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.16 | 70 | 20%14 W · 56 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70e7…4a70backed No | 41c | 233$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.53 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b79…360fbacked No | 38c | 212$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.56 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfe…e4debacked Yes | 62c | 211$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.48 | 38 | 15.8%6 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -70.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 77c | 200$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 473 | 28.3%134 W · 339 L | -32.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf4…59b4backed No | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5c…3912backed Yes | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 48c | 199.99$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.09 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 69c | 199.99$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 46c | 199.01$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.05 | 133 | 37.6%50 W · 83 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf55…7d8abacked No | 50c | 195$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 42c | 189.39$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.6 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0192…ba59backed Yes | 65c | 184.94$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.94 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 33c | 162.64$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.81 | 156 | 41.7%65 W · 91 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb862…5aaebacked No | 43c | 162$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.66 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72b2…5548backed Yes | 69c | 160.04$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.38 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…691fbacked Yes | 63c | 159$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.36 | 246 | 34.6%85 W · 161 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 55c | 148.3$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.34 | 129 | 38.8%50 W · 79 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe5e…b57dbacked Yes | 68c | 147.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.07 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd708…b9d2backed Yes | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf47f…c0b2backed Yes | 69c | 145.36$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x779a…b689backed Yes | 69c | 144.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.29 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +121.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbfc…e387backed No | 35c | 142.08$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.69 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x094a…e4a9backed No | 29c | 141.5$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.03 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe478…28eabacked Yes | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a0…4230backed Yes | 71c | 140.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.14 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed No | 32c | 138.04$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.74 | 52 | 15.4%8 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…4f06backed Yes | 73c | 137.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.56 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed No | 34c | 136$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.54 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x636a…ec94backed Yes | 68c | 130.65$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.65 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a2…c8dbbacked No | 46c | 128$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…70c5backed Yes | 65c | 127.14$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x453c…ae42backed Yes | 68c | 123.35$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.47 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84b6…bb42backed No | 32c | 123$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea80…e26abacked No | 46c | 123$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaddf…ce76backed Yes | 61c | 122.28$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48b2…114abacked No | 33c | 122$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f0…3eebbacked No | 40c | 121.17$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc51…f26cbacked No | 46c | 121$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 28c | 120.85$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.24 | 160 | 15.6%25 W · 135 L | -26.1wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd470…d7c2backed No | 46c | 120$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will All the Empty Rooms win Best Documentary Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?this page
- Will Armed Only with a Camera: The Life and Death of Brent Renaud win Best Documentary Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Children no More: Were and Are Gone win Best Documentary Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Perfectly a Strangeness win Best Documentary Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will The Devil Is Busy win Best Documentary Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.