Middle East · resolved market
Will Israel strike 2 countries in February 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x87d19ccad716414b1c357d0efc7d2464476be31f413b2bcaba9c83a38b2efcec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $123,606
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $129,874
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $123,606 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 249 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee9e…efb7backed Yes | 38c | 1,679$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044.44 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf3bc…43e9backed Yes | 36c | 1,445$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.8 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2756…42efbacked Yes | 39c | 1,411$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.71 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fb…db5cbacked No | 67c | 1,383$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.44 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -7.3wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbe…f1d5backed Yes | 36c | 1,338$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.32 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8465…6cd7backed Yes | 37c | 1,289$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.07 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc336…9f48backed Yes | 36c | 1,282$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.35 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa347…2a40backed No | 62c | 1,223$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.41 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.21per pick | 47cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1832…af9ebacked No | 64c | 1,191$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.24 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +108.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8132…a491backed No | 64c | 1,164$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.86 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0278…00e6backed No | 63c | 1,077$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.55 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x466e…ed99backed Yes | 38c | 1,061$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.82 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.17per pick | 36cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaa…b550backed No | 64c | 1,049$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.59 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd137…ceacbacked Yes | 13c | 1,034$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.58 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd907…f15fbacked No | 69c | 1,020$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.8 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33e2…e1babacked Yes | 31c | 1,011$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.59 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x646f…23c3backed Yes | 34c | 1,010$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.86 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f94…8ffebacked Yes | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45ff…bab6backed Yes | 32c | 986$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.48 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a10…e442backed No | 63c | 973$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.99 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x605c…83dcbacked No | 64c | 957$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.48 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e36…2479backed Yes | 36c | 949$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.36 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x46e7…f51ebacked No | 1c | 943.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…6beabacked Yes | 37c | 935$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.05 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59d7…0217backed No | 64c | 927$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.28 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…e4c8backed No | 62c | 918$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.16 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -4.5wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…f7eabacked Yes | 37c | 906$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.78 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 30cpaid | +216.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1184…1b67backed No | 70c | 903$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.61 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc450…a5b8backed Yes | 39c | 887$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.07 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf888…1c04backed Yes | 31c | 881$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.89 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…7523backed Yes | 36c | 852$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.28 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…d1bebacked No | 67c | 848$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.32 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b9…d0c7backed No | 68c | 835$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.8 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 35c | 830.05$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.09 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae18…1132backed Yes | 37c | 829$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.27 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34be…6797backed No | 69c | 804$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.76 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb547…a237backed No | 69c | 802$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.38 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42a0…4d9abacked No | 70c | 801$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.7 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5aca…cad6backed Yes | 39c | 791$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.51 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…9c76backed No | 66c | 780$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.8 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Yes | 39c | 761.46$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.46 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -10.5wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7170…ed44backed Yes | 31c | 757$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.33 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e8…ac57backed Yes | 33c | 741$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.47 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3702…829dbacked No | 68c | 708$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.44 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…2393backed Yes | 33c | 703$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.01 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca87…3701backed Yes | 31c | 694$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.86 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6789…52f9backed Yes | 30c | 684$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.8 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…09adbacked No | 69c | 678$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.82 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +4.5wins | +0.22per pick | 40cpaid | +92.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8257…da02backed No | 19c | 671.76$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.24 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x636c…ea28backed No | 69c | 669$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.61 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7add…f9f4backed No | 44c | 660.15$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.01 | 238 | 39.9%95 W · 143 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x864a…9ed1backed Yes | 12c | 656$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 31cpaid | +255.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf085…a01fbacked Yes | 32c | 653$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.04 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fe…ce76backed Yes | 77c | 652.74$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.74 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | +13.9wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +36%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ae…bb88backed No | 61c | 652$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.72 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc70…50c0backed Yes | 34c | 625$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82a7…afb5backed Yes | 14c | 605$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.09 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd4…c334backed No | 64c | 597$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.08 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c19…77cdbacked Yes | 36c | 596.97$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.06 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd29f…26b4backed No | 63c | 586$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.18 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa71c…d0a8backed Yes | 29c | 573$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.83 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a5a…779cbacked No | 69c | 570$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.3 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa6…3e62backed No | 60c | 558.42$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.36 | 313 | 44.1%138 W · 175 L | +19.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x770e…7640backed No | 13c | 558.3$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.77 | 206 | 17%35 W · 171 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12ef…f5cebacked No | 65c | 549$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.61 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde2b…73a0backed Yes | 31c | 522$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.18 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…bcf0backed Yes | 33c | 520$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.4 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a3a…ee52backed Yes | 33c | 500$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.23per pick | 14cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd46b…5dabbacked No | 65c | 499.48$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.65 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | +11.9wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x591c…390dbacked Yes | 31c | 497$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.93 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ab…d0a0backed No | 61c | 496$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.56 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8507…7f61backed No | 71c | 491$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.61 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0acc…debabacked No | 63c | 490$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.7 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9818…7cd3backed No | 61c | 487$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.07 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e0…ad86backed No | 67c | 484$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.28 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe309…44c2backed No | 64c | 476$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.64 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd77e…83a4backed Yes | 12c | 474$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.12 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a7…4d86backed Yes | 31c | 471$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.99 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.28per pick | 45cpaid | +77.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8718…6741backed Yes | 30c | 454$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.8 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 43cpaid | +93.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…5c87backed Yes | 17c | 447.4$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.75 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe17a…c6fbbacked No | 74c | 441$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.75 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Yes | 42c | 438.75$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.39 | 48 | 14.6%7 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x293b…c83bbacked No | 67c | 398$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.66 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8669…7111backed No | 64c | 398$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.72 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.39per pick | 53cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x92a6…8b84backed No | 30c | 392.7$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.81 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa996…e251backed Yes | 77c | 391.38$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.38 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23c1…704bbacked No | 63c | 390$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.7 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2950…ffeabacked Yes | 37c | 390$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.7 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 64c | 388.9$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.63 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | +9.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbcac…f545backed Yes | 16c | 387$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.08 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e0…a63bbacked No | 67c | 379$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.93 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14d4…cc6fbacked Yes | 31c | 374$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.06 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.24per pick | 45cpaid | +105.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7356…0b03backed Yes | 35c | 369.95$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.95 | 72 | 25%18 W · 54 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…97e9backed Yes | 41c | 369.25$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.42 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…a12fbacked No | 63c | 366$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.3 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -57%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a8…2a44backed No | 61c | 356$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.16 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5885…6562backed Yes | 37c | 353$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.39 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc797…753abacked Yes | 8c | 351.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.83 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | +150%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6a…21c3backed Yes | 31c | 326$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.94 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf955…bb33backed No | 72c | 325$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +181.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Israel strike 2 countries in February 2026?this page
- Will Israel strike 3 countries in February 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike ≤1 countries in February 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in February 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.