Middle East · resolved market
Will Israel strike 3 countries in February 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x25888734b421f81a61e9867c898bbf0de6b67ceaa2e5024da71a7f2774a1e68c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,657
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,230
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,657 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5a93…bd58backed Yes | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9939…d3bebacked Yes | 3c | 5,060$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.04 | 78 | 12.8%10 W · 68 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fe…ce76backed Yes | 12c | 1,796$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.69 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | +13.9wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +36%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f31…7f8ebacked Yes | 5c | 1,085$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6311…0b56backed Yes | 3c | 1,024$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +246.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4eeb…cf91backed Yes | 26c | 840.04$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.21 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 16c | 830.09$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.21 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0711…f03cbacked Yes | 3c | 800$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.03 | 337 | 41.2%139 W · 198 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b1…7754backed Yes | 12c | 796$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.52 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 40cpaid | +84.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec3…3adcbacked Yes | 30c | 788$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.4 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee4…9964backed Yes | 15c | 773$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.95 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb0c…0ab8backed Yes | 7c | 716.7$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c7…be6fbacked Yes | 12c | 673$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.76 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x036f…31a9backed Yes | 12c | 645$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.4 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 2c | 614.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 228 | 2.6%6 W · 222 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccb…6c69backed Yes | 12c | 532$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.84 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb8…eea6backed Yes | 12c | 526$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.12 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f6…595cbacked Yes | 15c | 503$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.45 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c42…a64bbacked Yes | 15c | 493$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.95 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9a…f183backed No | 70c | 479$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.7 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf59f…3be9backed Yes | 17c | 452.06$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 157 | 43.9%69 W · 88 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…5c87backed Yes | 5c | 446.3$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.09 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57ab…434bbacked Yes | 12c | 445$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.4 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 6c | 442.32$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.57 | 153 | 24.8%38 W · 115 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Yes | 3c | 419.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 48 | 14.6%7 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…73cdbacked Yes | 6c | 395$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.93 | 563 | 36.6%206 W · 357 L | +44.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7170…ed44backed Yes | 11c | 388$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.68 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b1…0005backed Yes | 12c | 344$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.28 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50eb…c59fbacked Yes | 13c | 344$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.72 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd137…ceacbacked No | 71c | 343$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.81 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x217e…09debacked Yes | 29c | 343$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.81 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6509…4674backed Yes | 14c | 336$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.04 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2eb…5751backed Yes | 12c | 318$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.16 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce25…4e7dbacked No | 74c | 300$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 713 | 5.6%40 W · 673 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2425…3dd1backed Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 121 | 39.7%48 W · 73 L | +13.8wins | +0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe309…44c2backed Yes | 26c | 300$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c42…1616backed Yes | 26c | 289$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.14 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a7…afb5backed No | 74c | 289$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.14 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87d6…9357backed Yes | 12c | 284$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.08 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x636c…ea28backed Yes | 12c | 248$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1424…2c7fbacked Yes | 10c | 203.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.31 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…887dbacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 147 | 7.5%11 W · 136 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 10c | 180.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 413 | 6.8%28 W · 385 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 10c | 176.3$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 247 | 6.9%17 W · 230 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea6…b249backed Yes | 7c | 166.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ea…b02abacked Yes | 13c | 160$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 105 | 13.3%14 W · 91 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a10…e442backed Yes | 41c | 159$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.19 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb28…74f4backed No | 59c | 159$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.19 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96b4…85b5backed Yes | 27c | 158.39$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed Yes | 9c | 157.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa756…b167backed Yes | 15c | 155$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -3.9wins | -0.33per pick | 41cpaid | -89.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x926a…3b1ebacked No | 70c | 154$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b34…9e82backed Yes | 16c | 152.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | +154.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d22…da8bbacked Yes | 12c | 147$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95c6…fbb0backed Yes | 18c | 142.1$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.82 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +49%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 10c | 136.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 419 | 5.3%22 W · 397 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc493…b8f3backed Yes | 14c | 125$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ac…990dbacked Yes | 11c | 100.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7db7…a678backed Yes | 70c | 100.14$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7769…9991backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +317.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…a12fbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -57%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 462 | 5%23 W · 439 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa488…f562backed Yes | 15c | 98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 12c | 96.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 857 | 25.2%216 W · 641 L | -115.1wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x44b5…11a3backed No | 70c | 95.8$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.74 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7356…0b03backed Yes | 21c | 95.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 72 | 25%18 W · 54 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a92…d2e9backed No | 61c | 87$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.93 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x910a…91a9backed Yes | 39c | 87$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.93 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +4.6wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +131.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…f8a1backed No | 64c | 74$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.64 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0f…98e8backed Yes | 36c | 74$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7243…83f0backed Yes | 15c | 73.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x612f…aa53backed No | 74c | 70$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 17c | 63.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 344 | 32.3%111 W · 233 L | -31.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0f33…81f6backed No | 70c | 59.2$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x340b…f8dcbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +7.8wins | +0.24per pick | 10cpaid | +202.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6430…f4dbbacked Yes | 70c | 42.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x695c…10a1backed No | 29c | 39.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.22 | 202 | 43.1%87 W · 115 L | +30.9wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed No | 79c | 30.29$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.45 | 161 | 73.9%119 W · 42 L | +12.6wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a68…51d4backed Yes | 74c | 28.22$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2d…689fbacked No | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3b…92f8backed Yes | 75c | 18.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe8…6d0abacked No | 54c | 18.53$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -45%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3978…2f24backed No | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.65 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +4.4wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Israel strike 3 countries in February 2026?this page
- Will Israel strike 2 countries in February 2026?Yes won
- Will Israel strike ≤1 countries in February 2026?No won
- Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in February 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.