AI · resolved market
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https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x331ef908bdfd259bb5e6b018c9beb9323224b54c1a53aeeea6d2363de19426f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $641,075
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $603,377
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $641,075 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 588 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bf1…bf1dbacked No | 6c | 18,409$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 5c | 16,685$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.63 | 183 | 11.5%21 W · 162 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2837…f18abacked Yes | 20c | 13,500$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,800 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed No | 3c | 9,545$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.17 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +5.5wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 4c | 9,280$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.75 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca1…5d5abacked No | 6c | 9,169$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 4c | 8,796$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.09 | 256 | 0.8%2 W · 254 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -97.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed No | 2c | 7,500$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.61 | 629 | 1.3%8 W · 621 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb776…deb6backed Yes | 34c | 7,285$2,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,815.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +195%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed No | 76c | 7,247$5,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,482.83 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e9…22f7backed No | 5c | 6,663$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc45f…7324backed No | 8c | 6,451$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x829b…4892backed No | 2c | 6,311$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6636…bf37backed No | 6c | 6,155$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.09 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e7…33d0backed No | 11c | 4,510$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…5b3abacked No | 8c | 4,482$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x187c…8708backed No | 8c | 4,350$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 6c | 4,266$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.66 | 186 | 7%13 W · 173 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffef…d7dbbacked No | 6c | 4,242$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.03 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98d1…1d6ebacked No | 5c | 3,721$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e31…2c60backed No | 80c | 3,700$2,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,960 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62a5…fcc8backed Yes | 21c | 3,687$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,903 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +370%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked No | 6c | 3,672$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.31 | 190 | 11.6%22 W · 168 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x239d…5fe2backed Yes | 59c | 3,620$2,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,466.84 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 5c | 3,605$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.01 | 117 | 5.1%6 W · 111 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf4…73afbacked No | 80c | 3,600$2,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,880 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2490…4918backed No | 6c | 3,567$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba8c…efe9backed No | 5c | 3,484$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 9c | 3,363$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.67 | 94 | 35.1%33 W · 61 L | +13.1wins | +0.14per pick | 21cpaid | +167%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0013…83bebacked No | 80c | 3,170$2,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,536 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5081…a309backed No | 4c | 3,141$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.33 | 71 | 7%5 W · 66 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed No | 4c | 3,125$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.66 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06b1…0a71backed No | 80c | 3,030$2,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,424 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f23…90dbbacked No | 19c | 2,979$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.23 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0345…b68fbacked No | 6c | 2,706$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -69%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf9…c90dbacked No | 5c | 2,606$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a9…b7aebacked No | 5c | 2,484$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9982…23c1backed Yes | 24c | 2,408$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,835.67 | 64 | 18.8%12 W · 52 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e34…63f7backed No | 4c | 2,400$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bc…152abacked No | 65c | 2,396$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe140…78d4backed No | 5c | 2,181$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…887dbacked No | 4c | 2,180$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 76 | 7.9%6 W · 70 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7712…0c28backed No | 25c | 2,159$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.9 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00f7…7cd3backed No | 5c | 2,134$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6b0…ce9ebacked Yes | 27c | 2,123$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,542.58 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5b…4ef4backed No | 5c | 2,119$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.47 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 8c | 2,031$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.77 | 297 | 7.7%23 W · 274 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc433…478ebacked No | 5c | 1,866$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52f9…e1c7backed No | 5c | 1,852$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed4…ac30backed No | 5c | 1,852$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffff…35bebacked Yes | 30c | 1,847$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,301.53 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43b6…a36bbacked No | 5c | 1,831$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18c7…77b2backed No | 5c | 1,830$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 1c | 1,750$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 217 | 13.4%29 W · 188 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf351…6284backed No | 70c | 1,747$1,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230.69 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf27d…e6d3backed Yes | 16c | 1,724$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,447.3 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 12cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a9…c455backed No | 30c | 1,673$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.02 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 5c | 1,665$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.44 | 304 | 2%6 W · 298 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb268…8bb7backed No | 7c | 1,659$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x853c…bd03backed Yes | 64c | 1,631$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.72 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac51…ae90backed No | 4c | 1,627$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed No | 5c | 1,607$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.15 | 211 | 0.9%2 W · 209 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 7cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 71c | 1,597$1,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.35 | 479 | 38%182 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed No | 4c | 1,566$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.38 | 86 | 5.8%5 W · 81 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…1f85backed No | 7c | 1,540$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 11c | 1,502$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.8 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2fd…f0b5backed No | 71c | 1,491$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.61 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -4.0wins | -0.34per pick | 42cpaid | -84.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3acc…973dbacked Yes | 29c | 1,463$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038.73 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.23per pick | 35cpaid | +78.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked No | 2c | 1,402$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 105 | 61.9%65 W · 40 L | +17.4wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa579…aad0backed No | 4c | 1,365$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6789…52f9backed No | 70c | 1,364$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.02 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0303…fcd1backed No | 73c | 1,300$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.06 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x546a…1abbbacked Yes | 29c | 1,293$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.03 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +155.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x85ef…67eebacked No | 5c | 1,287$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842f…4a02backed No | 5c | 1,273$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc5…610ebacked No | 8c | 1,251$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.74 | 54 | 5.6%3 W · 51 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 15cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e7c…596cbacked Yes | 37c | 1,230$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.76 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2110…5850backed Yes | 78c | 1,200$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.99 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeff5…48fabacked No | 6c | 1,196$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c6…c2dfbacked Yes | 29c | 1,180$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.19 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +109.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0218…52c0backed No | 2c | 1,150$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.55 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79ad…a9f1backed Yes | 18c | 1,113$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.23 | 73 | 30.1%22 W · 51 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a84…f8a5backed No | 70c | 1,098$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad0…bf3dbacked Yes | 76c | 1,063$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.04 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -42%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ed…ec87backed Yes | 29c | 1,048$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.08 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76fd…e8c4backed No | 71c | 1,045$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.61 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd71…d127backed No | 72c | 1,042$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.27 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab88…e0a4backed No | 79c | 1,034$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.86 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…5103backed No | 5c | 1,033$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bbb…5c80backed Yes | 20c | 1,015$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7252…6d4dbacked No | 8c | 1,013$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 78c | 1,004$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.15 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac88…9b35backed No | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc484…4cd5backed No | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc60…af79backed No | 69c | 999.97$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.98 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18fa…3730backed Yes | 30c | 985$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.5 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 43cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd16…23a2backed No | 4c | 983.6$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2232…a794backed No | 71c | 977$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.32 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +83.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…7d35backed No | 5c | 971.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…e7cabacked Yes | 31c | 971.09$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.09 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- GPT ads by March 31?this page
- GPT ads by December 31?No won
- GPT ads by January 31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.